Do you think it is remotely plausible that:

P(causing death | minor violation ) > P(causing death | ~ minor violation)

Also:

P(reckless driving | without cops) > P(reckless driving | cops)

Here let me one step further and present data:

> California to Stop Towing, Impounding Vehicles of Unlicensed Drivers

https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/california-impounding-...

"According to a study conducted by the California Department of Motor Vehicles, unlicensed drivers are almost three times more likely to cause a fatal crash than licensed drivers."

https://www.berginjurylawyers.com/blog/auto-accident/unlicen...

Is NYTimes so journalistically lazy/corrupt that they couldn't connect two obvious pieces of facts?