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It's funny they say it's "hard to see any such trend in the data" of arrests in a post-Ferguson America when the data is so apparent and its meaning so contested that it has its own Wikipedia article.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ferguson_effect

It would be totally illogical to pretend that such massive sweeping change in public perception of policing would have no effect on the activity of the police themselves.

The rebuttal was explaining the trend that does exist.

Where do they explain that the trend doesn't exist? They make no statement that applies over time.

You just don't get the message ig? Maybe if you just stop thinking and accept that 2+2=5 it will make sense :)