The stick shift might survive the electric revolution
robbreport.com
robbreport.com
The biggest magic tricks to teaching were (1) teaching him to think about gear changes before actually doing them, and (2) being relaxed about mistakes.
For (1) I would drive, and have him tell me when to shift. This gets over the intellectual hurdle of coordinating engine speed with road speed.
For (2), I just said, "OK, you're going to stall the car, and you're going to grind the gears. Everybody does. It's no big deal. Here, watch, I'll do it." Then I'd stall & grind the gears, show him to get out of the grinding, and laugh about it. I think anxiety is the biggest problem.
I'm sure if it's your own son or daughter, it gets more complicated :)
But theoretically not on hard braking as plainly engine have enough inertia that it wouldn't get to "engine braking" phase when you just slammed on brake. You'd be braking both car and engine.
On light braking, sure.
I've never bothered to think more about it, because it doesn't cause me any trouble doing that, and afaik there's no harm to the car doing it this way, but maybe somebody has advice on how to use hill assist without finding it so annoying? (Or news that in most cars, hill assist is better than the ones I've used?)
[0] Biting point being where you pull your foot gradually off the clutch, not all the way but to the point that the front of the car bonnet starts to rise slightly, which is the point that you can remove the hand-break as you keep declutching without rolling backwards down the hill. Was one of the trickier things for me when learning to drive, but incredibly easy once you're used to it.
I find that automatic drivers aren't used to engaging with the handbrake, which is the real secret to starting up a hill.
You just have to feel the car pushing foward while the parking brake is still engaged and just release the parking brake while the car starts moving forward.
I’d saved up for a while when I was 20ish, and I wanted a NEW car. Only thing I could get a loan for was the cheapest offering - a stripped manual Honda Fit. I fell in love with it and ordered one from Japan (they didn’t have a fully stripped version for sale in my town, so it was a “special” order).
Long story short, I learned to drive stick for the first time when I picked it up from the lot with zero miles and had to drive it home, and then to work the next day… that first commute was UGLY. But I more or less had the hang of it by the time I got home that night. I still drive that car daily almost two decades later - and I absolutely still love it. It’s never needed one thing beyond regular maintenance in all those 150k miles. They literally don’t make ‘um like that any more.
In first gear, I have them release it slowly until the car starts going, then have them push it in until the car rolls to a stop. Take breaks, explain what the clutch is doing. Repeat until they start getting bored.
Then introduce the brake pedal. Tada! You can stop more quickly now.
Finally, the gas pedal. You can push it until the engine shrieks in protest! If only there were a way to get it to quiet down but still keep your speed....
Of course, you need a very large, very flat surface for this method to work. But I've had a lot more success since starting to do it this way.
After an hour or so, he had mastered the engaging the clutch and I began to add the next steps. A couple sessions and he had the whole thing down.
Eventually I taught him how to double-clutch, rev-match when downshifting, and even how to float the shift with no clutch at all.
Today he owns a manual trans performance car (Z06) and has a great fondness for manuals.
I will say I blip rev-match downshift on the street almost all the time, that's definitely useful for smooth driving in most scenarios.
https://www.topgear.com/car-news/top-gear-advice/top-gears-g...
Most modern cars I do different sides of my top foot rather than heel and toe.
[0]: https://www.curbsideclassic.com/blog/history/the-audi-500-un...
Most of these things are unnecessary and damaging to a synchronised manual. They aren't saving wear on any part of the transmission. About the only useful application of changing gear without using the clutch when the clutch cable fails.
Unless you are in a manual American truck or a very old British one (the European trucks had synchros). Those are rapidly going to automated transmissions these days in any case.
Old Saabs with 2-stroke engines were like that too.
Double-clutching reduces the speed difference between the shafts that the synchros have to absorb, thereby reducing wear. It also lets you shift faster on track, or at all in a car with cranky synchros.
The '86 BRAT I used to own was very leisurely about the 3-2 downshift without double clutching, and downright lethargic from 2-1. If you wanted to be ready to pull away from a stop sign promptly, double clutching it into 1st as you rolled to a stop was necessary.
I can see shifting without the clutch adding wear to the synchros, but I've definitely had to do that too when the clutch went out on the '76 TR6 I used to own. Which admittedly had a very forgiving transmission, thank goodness.
Meanwhile, I haven't put enough miles in our '47 CJ-2A to master a smooth 2-1 downshift without grinding the gears, even with double clutching. That promises to take some practice. Practice that'll have to wait until the steering is sorted well enough to get it inspected, plated, and get it up to 3rd on a paved road. 2nd gets it moving quite quickly enough, thank you very much.
Rereading this before posting makes it sound like I've owned only terrible cars. I assert that they have character, and that's what matters. And only the BRAT was a daily driver. Apart from it, my daily drivers have all been pretty reliable and sensible cars.
Done correctly, I seriously doubt any are any more damaging to a synchronized manual than regular old shifting.
Race car gearboxes like crashboxes and unsynchronized sequential gearboxes have stronger gear dogs with more backlash (bigger gaps between the dogs) to allow them to be shifted without synchronization.
Double clutching is pointless. Just putting more wear on the throwout bearing.
there's no practical advantage, but it's not abuse either unless done very poorly. it's just fun to practice.
anyway, if you just double clutch 1/2 the time and float the rest, your net throw-out bearing wear would be the same. ;-)
"While double clutching is not necessary in a vehicle that has a synchronized manual transmission, the technique can be advantageous for smoothly upshifting in order to accelerate and, when done correctly, it prevents wear on the synchronizers which normally equalize transmission input and output speeds to allow downshifting."
Knowing what can happen and what one can do is important!
Same goes for no brakes! What are the options?
Downshift
Turn engine off. (Deffo practice that one)
Emergency brake.
Take exit, side road, shoulder...
Controlled crash.
That last one saved me. Was in a '73 beetle on a racing slot type freeway and boom! No brakes and about 20 seconds before I arrived at what would be a wall of cars. No exits. No e-break.
Shit!
I ground the car to a stop. Literally. Downshifted, then engine off, then ease it into the wall...
Scary and it trashed a nice beetle, but slamming into the other cars was gonna be way worse.
Watching the tach is pretty unintuitive for someone who's never driven one, too.
The idea is to very slowly feather it in and out at the edge of friction to transmit just enough power to slowly get going smoothly.
I have an 88 CRX, it can easily get going with clutch alone.
If you let it out fast you’d get a lurch, but letting it out as slowly as you can and sacrificing a bit of clutch would surely get the car moving slowly, whatever the power. Though if it isn’t flat, it wouldn’t work. More power or heavier flywheel would probably help.
Newer cars have better engine computers which have made this a lot easier. In a modern engine the computer controls the idle air supply. It also can control the ignition timing, which provides very fast feedback. Between those, if you're careful feathering, the revs will drop a bit at first but the ECU will quickly bring on some more power to compensate.
An engine with lots of torque at idle is actually the worst for this learning exercise as it makes it too easy.
Any small 4 cylinder that I've had the chance to drive can easily get going without throttle if you're careful enough with the clutch play. Of course it makes no sense to drive like this for real but as an exercise in learning how to feather the clutch, it's great.
I still had a horrible first drive from the dealer to the house, probably stalled 20 times (lots of small hills in Daly City, near SF) and annoyed some drivers behind me, but it worked out in the end.
I have a question. Let’s say you’re riding in 4th and need to come to a quick stop. Do you press the brake pedal in and downshift to 3rd then 2nd then 1st quickly? Or do you press the brake pedal and the clutch in and eventually shift into first once you’re able to resume normal driving?
If it's a quick stop then usually I'll just slow down and then clutch in and shift to neutral as the car stops. Then I shift into 1st. Sometimes this transition happens quickly, such as if it's red long enough that I'll be slowing to 5mph or less or it's red, then turns green right as I'm slowed to about 5mph. Just depends on the intersection, traffic, etc.
If I'm slowing down to a red light that I know is about to change, or traffic is about to move, then yeah, I'll rev match downshift through the gears. I never really go into first in this case though, because my car's manual transmission is tuned such that you almost never need first except when you're going into motion from a complete stop; so I'd just downshift to 2nd or 3rd depending on the speed of traffic.
I lived on a country road and learned when I was 12 by stealing my mother's car (a Fiat 500) before she got home from work. Two or three goes and I was away. Admittedly concentrating on the clutch I did forget to steer and went off-road a couple of times.
Never did anything as exciting as you but I do feel like maybe being a passenger for so many years gives you an ear for when a gear change is needed, and you hear "sorry, wrong gear" and feel the lack of acceleration or whatever. As for /why/, I just imagined cycling up a hill.
Rented a car in the EU and it was manual! In the US it is always automatic, unless it is a sport or special rental...
I enjoy driving manuals, but I don't think it's worth being attached to. ICEs are a crude and inefficient technology, and are inevitably going to disappear outside of a few limited niches. Few electric cars are ever likely to have manual gearboxes.
As a more frequent motorcyclist than driver, I'm not going to miss riding behind stinky vehicles, diesel 4WD's in particular (not that I'm usually behind them for long).
I could potentially use one for my normal car drive. My truck uses are a different matter.
To really put the ICE down will require a much better battery scenario. Replacements are coming due for early owners soon. As that painful discussion plays out, so will better fuels for ICE tech.
I too look forward to the day when the ICE is just not a thing. I see that being a while yet.
And that continues to mean teaching young ones to drive manual.
And TWO brakes, one for each wheel ? How it is even possible for human to have that much coordination to rein in that monster ?!
I mean I’m taking my kids to daycare. Not focusing on lanes, speed, gears, rpm’s makes lets me focus more on road, traffic and cars ahead. Why people insist being a Luddite on even most frivolous things is a virtue?
Then the car broke down last year and we went for bmw 5 series, which you can't even buy in manual (just to be clear I would never pay full price for these otherwise great cars, rather 20-25% for ca 6 years old).
Its so much easier especially for longer driving. My mental load decreased by up to 50%, with also the help of laser projection of speed, limits and navigation on dashboard. With 2 small kids, having a car thats too sporty is actually a major drawback anyway (so ie Tesla's 0-100 times leave me uninterested, why would one do this to your closest ones), unless driver self-centered a-hole. With family in mind, I wouldn't go back. Sport mode makes it already more agile than I (and rest of family) want, basically 0 lag on gas pedal.
I'm currently rocking a 20 year old Nissan Micra "Twister" with an auto gearbox - a proper granddad car (I am as it turns out). It weighs about two kilos and has about 2 BHP but it is a bit of a Q ship. I've seen off some expensive cars at roundabouts with some local knowledge a careful choice of lane and a stomp on power when it counts. It does make some odd noises when turning right (a CV boot is quite fucked). Lane one on a roundabout is often quicker than lane two due to less curvature, unless you can transition from lane two to one to straighten it out.
An auto always has some drive engaged so a standing start is often quicker but in a manual you can stomp on the accelerator and run up say 4000 RPM and give your clutch a good old work out whilst using the brake to hold in place. If you have enough power, you can start off in second or ideally you have one of those flappy paddle jobs and stay in first for about a half second and then change up as you go.
I prefer a manual box - you feel more engaged with the vehicle but then an auto can also be played with too. You can make it change up and down when you get the hang of it by blipping the throttle and getting to know what it wants to do in certain circumstances.
Quality engineering 8)
Are you really talking about a MG MGB? Mind you, your final para. description fits what the Morris Garage churned out back in the day.
I went to school in Abingdon (Oxon) which is where the MG sort of wobbled onto the roads originally.
I haven't seen a MGB for a while but I have driven a Midget a few times (I'm 52). My dad had a Midget back in the day after his Austin 7 passed away (it cost him £5) and the Midget was what he was driving when courting my mum. Apparently they had to use her tights to replace the fan belt when it failed (yeah, whatevs).
I was probably the result ...
The electrical system, though... at one point my dad couldn't pass the state inspections due to the reverse lights and multiple garages were unable to diagnose the problem. So he rigged a switch under the steering wheel to turn them on manually.
IMO, the best part of a manual performance car is chirping tires (or fully breaking them loose!) on a 2nd to 3rd shift in a turbo car with no-lift-shift.
If you grind them a lot they'll still fail, but until they do there's no degradation to the way the gears mesh and transfer power.
I drove one later, 25-32. It was fine, I don’t miss stop and go traffic with a stick shift.
I wanted in my heart of hearts to get a manual version of my car (a mini) but i talked myself out of it after getting stuck in a traffic jam for 2 hours in a rental.
The automatic still has paddle shifters so you can kind of drive it like a manual.
It's not like a real manual though, there's no tactile feedback to changing gears or knowing what gear you're in by the position of the shifter, so I don't use it all the time.
Don't teach family members stick shift. Save yourself the headache, and point them to driving school.
My last stick car (I'm between cars right now) was a WRX STi. I was teaching my son how to drive it when he made an unfortunate 3rd-gear-to-2nd (while looking for 4th). It was quite an experience.
Luckily, no damage done to car or people. Just a great story for telling later.
The best was snow!
Tip for parents who are teaching snow driving in a front wheel drive vehicle: get the car moving and set the emergency brake. The rear tires will lock and the rear end will be all over the place. Pick a wide road with a forgiving shoulder.
They will have to counter steer and keep the front of the car under control. Later, trigger a slide with that brake (assuming your car has one you can use that way) and watch them handle it like a champ!
We had a good time frankly. Drove an older, manual car. Minor damage was not a big deal. Made the whole experience nice, reasonably relaxed, fun.
Automatic is very much the minority here and almost everyone learns to drive on stick, even if they switch to automatic later.
While I won't deny that people like that exist here as well, not once have I encountered someone personally or in the form of a news article (in my native language) with strong opinions on the matter.
Edit: when I say "here" I mean my home country, not trying to speak for all of Europe of course
Myself having done 10y consecutively of both, auto is a better experience overall. Except when you need that bit of immediate power from smaller engines. This is for my normal A to B driving, I don’t race.
In Norway there's been discussions about phasing out teaching stick as standard - partly because of demand, partly because driving schools need to upgrade their fleets, and want to avoid the need for two sets of cars.
- Someone makes a joke about how you should get a manual, that way nobody will steal it (because the thieves won’t know how to drive), and
- Someone makes a comment about how they visited the UK and decided to rent a car, and either they paid extra for an automatic or they saved money and drove manual.
> It seems to me as if it is either treated as an arcane art, something to be shunned, a trait of "masculinity", or a trait of toxicity and pretentiousness.
I have no idea why you sense this from American culture.
The internet. And it applies to much more than this
You know that in your local social circle very few people have opinions about such trivial topics and you rightly see those with strong opinions as weirdos
But then you go on the internet and something in our monkey brain makes it hard to remember that comments on a thread are not a representative sample. Which is very bad because the kind of people who take the effort to comment on an internet thread are also the kind of people who have weirdly strong opinions one way or another
And because negative opinions are much more likely to be expressed than positive ones you end up basing your model of some other place (the US for europeans, europe for americans, other countries and so on) on samples which over represents the most toxic and negative opinions
These days they are harder to find, and that means you have to pay the "automatic tax" on many models. So I would be frustrated to lose the option.
Our current car, a Volkswagen GTI, still has a stick, but it does seem like it could be our last. Even some valets do not know how to park the thing!
All car sharing cars are automatic, but other than that, it's really a matter of taste and/or budget. Some people buy manual cars because they're cheaper. Russian-made cars are almost all manual-only, and are cheaper than imported ones.
I got my license on manual, and... I just don't drive lol. Mainly because almost everywhere I go it's easier, cheaper, and sometimes faster to get there on public transit or taxi.
The vast majority of the cars on our roads in the UK are still manual, but the tide is changing and not just with the introduction of EVs. There exists a legal quirk whereby you're not licensed to drive a manual car if you've passed your driving test in an automatic. Until that legislation is updated, I expect there to remain a strong demand for manual transmissions amongst learner and new drivers.
Personally, I'm of an age where simplicity and convenience are valued more in my life. Parallels include choosing Apple devices where I'd previously been all-in on Windows, Linux and Android; consoles over gaming PCs; and I'd also include home automation despite the initial set-up. Both our family cars are currently (non-EV for now) automatics and I can't see myself or my partner ever voluntarily going back to manual cars. I can push a single button to start, select drive and go. Even the handbrake is automatic.
Anecdotally, my social group is very much of the same mindset. Increased traffic on our small island has all but removed any romantic idealism around driving a sporty manual car on an open road. Now that driving here is more of a chore than a pleasure, anything that helps ease the burden is going to become the default.
Another difference I think is that with the stick, driver needs to be more prepared for moments to come on the road. Like you know that you are going to shift when you see the change in terrain ahead of you and so on. While with automatic this awareness is not required so you can expect the driver without stick to make more sudden changes. Of course not a rule.
That being said it is shifting (haha) slowly- I think in the last couple of years the majority of new cars sold have been automatic. But most people buy used anyway so manual is going to be around for a long time yet.
EDIT: Unrelated, but there is also a common myth in Iceland that manual transmission is illegal in San Francisco. I have no idea where it comes from, but after having lived in SF and returning to Iceland I’ve had more then one people ask me about this. (I even owned a manual 4-speed VW bus [known as VW Ryebread in Iceland] while living there).
I passed my test in a manual car in Britain, but I never bought a car. I've rented them when abroad, and have an account with the pay-per-minute electric cars, but at this point I don't want to drive a manual if there's an automatic available.
I'd be willing to bet I'm quite representative of other city based drivers who have the option of public transport, walking or cycling. That's why I don't see the demand for manual dropping any time soon.
How recent do you mean? I know you get manufacturer brands like "5.1 GTI Automatic" on the back, but I can't remember ever seeing a warning sticker.
> Currently, manual cars still account for 70 per cent of the 31.7 million cars on UK's roads [1]
so it must have been a fair while ago.
[1] https://www.directlinegroup.co.uk/en/news/brand-news/2022/th...
The manual gearbox you can buy in any sports car today has obscenely long ratios. Partly this is common sense - almost every sports car for sale today is turbocharged, you don’t need a close ratio box. The other reason if emissions, long gone are the days of the top gear being long, with standardised emission test cycles that have prolonged driving periods at town speeds, now all gears are optimised for lower revs.
It’s not uncommon to find you only need 2nd gear for anything from 30 to 80, i.e. the speeds you’ll spend most of your time on a nice set of twisties.
Why 2010? That’s when the borg warner DSGs broke into the mainstream. No human can match their efficiency nor their shift speed. The only remaining reason in sportscars is for driver engagement. Since then the traditional slushbox auto has caught up, i have a ZF in one of my cars and it’s every bit as fast and just as smooth changing as the DSG in my last VAG.
- A car with a two-speed automatic transmission
- A concept with fake shifting and a fake clutch
- A modded classic car where the first two gears are admittedly not very useful
I don't think those speak well towards manual transmissions continuing to exist in the EV world, at least in the sense that enthusiasts would want them to.
I totally get the disdain for torque-converter automatic transmissions, but an EV drivetrain avoids basically all of the downsides that people have come to expect from an automatic.
As an EV driver I’m baffled as to why anyone would want manual. The only real advantages afaik in ICE are better torque control and engine braking, both of which don’t make any sense in an EV. Maybe in an incredibly wimpy EV
I'd argue the majority of manual fans are into them not for any utilitarian reason, rather it's all about the enjoyment that comes from controlling a fun (i.e interesting powerband, characterful sound) engine with a satisfying shifter. Think of it like playing a musical instrument.
I highly doubt manuals will catch on for EVs because the electric motors are super smooth and their torque makes gears irrelevant (the Porsche Taycan being an outlier here).
For example, a friend of mine taught remedial algebra at the U of W. She'd write on the board:
2 + x = 5
and ask the students what the value of "x" was. They all fell over into a quivering heap of jelly at the word "x". Then she'd write: 2 + _ = 5
and ask them to "fill in the blank". They all instantly said "3".But if electric motorbikes become usable and affordable to me within my lifetime, they will offer different pleasures (ubiquitous torque, quiet). And outside of driving/riding, there will be enough pleasures to experience and skills to learn for many lifetimes.
Driving ICE manual is the whole package. Engine sound, the manual interaction, the little jerk when you miss the rev on shift, feeling of all the mechanics when changing the gear, feeling the vibrations thru the chassis when you accelerate, engine going braaaaAAAAAP and screaming like angry bees when going past VTEC threshold etc.
And the little details like how the notch on the first gear in my Civic ('07 Type-R) becomes lighter when the gearbox oil heats up and the whole rest of smaller idiosyncrasies of mechanical system.
For me the fun is man understanding and controlling machine, it is gone the moment machine pretends it's something it isn't. Not saying electric wouldn't be fun, just that I hope it will be its own type of fun instead of fake.
My car is a bit raw tho, spins to 8.6k RPM and have pretty hard suspension. Typical ICE car isn't exactly that "talkative" and is much more mushier around the edges.
But it is a bit funny to me that if you want high revving NA engine your options are 15+ years old Hondas or top of the line Porsche...
I agree though, nothing quite like a small 4 banger revving the moon.
If you want to feel "connected" to a modern car you are out of luck. It won't happen. Adding fakeness to compensate is ultimately unsatisfying.
I can absolutely tell you that. It sounds stupid and burdensome.
And in terms of effectiveness, it's basically homeopathy, or healing candles.
As you say, the EV has smooth, instant power available all the time, and good "engine breaking". The only thing it's missing is the nostalgia of winding through the gears and the symphony of the engine, exhaust, and drivetrain. But the smooth, powerful acceleration, is there in the EV.
Fast forward 15 years and I'm surprised when I see a stick shift car - primarily (very) old taxis/ubers.
It's probably partly because disposable income is higher in London, but also because those with less money have better alternatives (good public transport) so don't own a car, or own one but don't use it much.
> 62.4% of new cars sold in 2021 were automatics, up from 24% in 2011 [1]
> A number of car makers offer only automatic gearboxes across their ranges, with no models from Mercedes, Genesis, Ferrari, Jaguar, Lexus, Maserati, Rolls-Royce, Subaru and Volvo being available with manual transmissions.
[1] https://www.carwow.co.uk/news/6414/automatic-gearboxes-becom...
Here I feel like most of the new cars I notice are either automatic or EVs too :)
EV Sales Sticking Point: People Still Want Manual Transmissions (hackaday.com)
Similarly I'd rather drive car with a shitty capacitive steering wheel buttons (gosh they suck so bad) over car without keyless entry...
The only attempts at production EVs with multiple gears have targeted two gears, one for acceleration and one for increase top speed above 100mph for racing or Autobahn cruising.
That's not going to give drivers the "thrill" of a manual transmission.
If what you are seeking is the direct-drive feel of a manual transmission, and shifting to be in the strong part of the power curve for each situation, an EV does all of that just by pressing the accelerator.
And I imagine even the single-gear EVs have a final drive. What if that ratio were adjusted to be shorter?
Since it has two gears, they were able to make one shorter for acceleration and another taller for top speed.
Tesla does something similar but by using different motor types and final drive ratios on each axle.
If you gear an EV for highway speeds with a single final drive ratio, (this is what most EVs do) then you get acceleration better than most midrange gas cars, good highway efficiency, but acceleration power tends to fall off at speeds over 80mph-100mph.
The reason to add gears is if you want even better acceleration and/or better high speed performance.
Does max power output correlate with efficiency in EV motors? I know it doesn't in ICEs.
Think of it this way, if the Taycan were to drop one of its gears they would drop the low gear, not the high gear. The car would still accelerate better than most midrange ICE cars and still do fine on the highway. It just wouldn't have the off-the-line punch you expect from a high end performance EV.
If you chop the low gears out of an ICE transmission you either just stall or have extremely poor acceleration at low speeds.
So yes gearing can help in an EV if you want high performance over a large range of speeds, but for a city or highway commuter car, even chasing sportier characteristics, single speed (per axle) is fine. If you want two ratios for overlapping performance you can just change the fixed reduction ratio on one of the axles.
The Taycan is specifically targeting a range of performance beyond what you'll use daily on US public roads.
https://www.reddit.com/r/electricvehicles/comments/yohycz/wh...
And some more here https://x-engineer.org/ev-design-electric-motor/
Basically EVs have such a flat power curve to such high RPMs that a single speed really does cover most use cases. Two speeds can help if you are chasing performance.
Any more gears than that and I think you are just adding an artificial game for the driver to play.
So I wouldn't hold my breath that the manual gear shift will survive.
The 1310 didn't have power steering :)
But it can be worse. You could try driving a 2 ton Mercedes with non functional power steering. That's a sweat inducing task.
Anyway, with no power steering you have to keep the car moving at a snail's pace when turning the wheel. No adjusting wheels in place if you're not up to date with your weight lifting. This skill got lost before the skill to drive a manual.
As the article states in the article, there is no engine to stall. This is more like vehicles with D, D1, D2. It's optional efficiency.
For an electric vehicle, switching between them doesn't stall the vehicle, but it could be used to increase distance between charges.
So even if all brand-new trucks starting TODAY were fully electric with an electric/nonshifting drivetrain, it'd take 11-22 years to "clear out" the existing.
For example, to drive into Copenhagen a truck or bus must be from 2015 or later, or there's a €1700 fine. (https://urbanaccessregulations.eu/ has a list/map.)
If you have a truck that's too old, you might have use for it elsewhere in Denmark, or you could sell it to someone who will drive it somewhere without these regulations and sell it there (i.e. eastern, southeastern Europe, Turkey, north Africa).
There's a diagram that would be excellent if it weren't fuzzy on page 5 (Figure 2) demonstrating this nicely. It's not at all unusual to see a truck in Romania or Bulgaria which has the shadow of some German company logo/name on it, where the logos have been removed.
https://www.acea.auto/figure/average-age-of-eu-vehicle-fleet...
(Are there any similar rules in North America? I can see restrictions on new vehicles sold in California, but nothing on what you can drive in.)
But no, you don't want to do that.
Here's a video showing a multi-plate clutch: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TcYsV063lk8
Only being familiar with simple car transmissions, wow! That's a lot of friction.
Key concept seems to be, for some pressure force, you get N times the friction force.
There are some EVs that have 2 speed gear box to get max of the performance out of the engine but that's almost exclusively for performance vehicles.
People know cars like those will never be made again, and quite a few people who grew up with 90s cars are now old enough to have the disposable income to buy them.
Ultimately new gas cars will be banned. Many governments have already expressed the desire to ban them. That is one of the major differences from the mechanical watch market -- but even in that market, values of vintage watches are going absolutely nuts. In the car market, vintage cars will be the only ICE cars one day.
If you have spare garage space, one of the best things you can do is buy an older unmodified sportscar that had a good reputation in the 1980s or 1990s, hold onto it for 10 years, and sell it for a massive profit. Something like a 911, or Supra, or MR2, or maybe even a Miata.
Electric sports cars will have better performance, and be familiar to everyone in a few years. Won't most people want a car they can also drive to work?
I can imagine it will be like a neighbour who owned a very old (1930s?) car. Maintaining it was a hobby, and actually driving it on public roads was something he did only a few times a year.
If all I can do with my petrol car is drive it to the track and for special events, I think I would be content enough. I don't need the thrill of the sights and sounds of racing on my commutes, and I believe motorsport is the only exception that isn't trivial.
Ferrari was dying until Fiat bought it. Lamborghini would have died without Audi. Porsche would have died multiple times without VW - and relied on VW components throughout its entire history. American sports and muscle cars were made by the Big Three, and used V8s made for other vehicles.
Without that investment, it will be impossible for sports car makers to make vehicles that meet contemporary roadworthiness standards.
Not to mention that you won’t be able to sell them in the EU, California, New York, and China beyond 2035. Doesn’t leave much of a market.
Maybe there will be a residual business selling ICE sports cars to Middle Eastern plutocrats in 2035, but those plutocrats may have more urgent things on their minds given the long-term demand for oil and gas is headed one way.
Then, the tone dialer appears.
I was not interested in interacting with my telephone. I just wanted it to place calls.
A rotary phone could be novel. Yet it became tedious with common use, especially when compared to tone dialing.
It isn't fun as a daily driver.
In Britain, the area codes were originally allocated based on the letter corresponding to the number, except for London.
01_ London
021 Birmingham (B=2)
031 Edinburgh (E=3)
041 Glasgow (G=4)
051 Liverpool (L=5)
061 Manchester (M=6)
with other cities taking two-letter codes: 0532 Leeds (LE = 53)
0742 Sheffield (SH = 74)
...
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_telephone_numbers_i... (impressively long article)When the area codes were made, AT&T already had usage data from operator connected long distance calling, so they chose the numbers to minimize dialing time.
Within area codes, the first three digits indicate the telephone exchange, those used to be named based on the first two digits ex 555 KLondike-5 or 736 PEnnsylvania 6 [1]; these exchange names historically tended to have geographic meaning on a local level, but that wasn't always practical and when customer dialing happened, exchange names mostly disappeared, only to be heard from in older media.
[1] you might know of this one from the Glenn Miller song, PEnnsylvania 6-5000, which was the number of a the Hotel Pennsylvania in New York; it's exchange was named for PEnn station, the area the exchange serves
I also think EVs tick a couple of boxes that manual gearboxes also do for enthusiasts, which slushbox autos didn't. Always being in a good powerband and engine braking are both features of EVs and manual gearbox ICE cars that I miss if I am in an auto ICE car.
If I have £15,000 in the bank, spending £8,000 on the manual vs. £9,500 on the automatic (Renault Clio, 5 years, both on motors.co.uk) is significant. I'd choose the cheaper car.
If I have £50,000 in the bank it's much easier to justify.
(And if I have only £8,000 or less I don't have a choice, but I might tell my friends I "prefer" not to put a lot of money in the car.)
I will leave the interpretation of this graph as an exercise for the reader.
Right now AWD EVs seem to get slightly lower range, and I would expect that to eventually to even out or reverse, even with the weight of extra equipment.
Like just look at any EV dyno curve, it is not "torque starts at top and immediately starts falling"
Transmission means extra losses and extra weight tho. It's not just "free" increase in efficiency.
It does make sense but in typical city/reasonable highway speed it's just not worth it
Even considering that, induction motors also have an efficiency curve which is the point I'm making. If you care about efficiency motors have a sweet spot. Sometimes you care a lot about that, sometimes not.
IPM-SynRM https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=esUb7Zy5Oio
They went into a lot of effort to optimize it over RPM range.
If you want to make a point use real motor curves at least. Your graph suggests it goes to sub 20% efficiencies at low speed which is completely false and would suggests way higher gains from gearbox than in reality. Hell, it would suggest ICE like performance, it's THAT bad.
Paddle-shifters and CVTs, right?
Driving a manual is pretty much only for feel or technique at this point, there's no real argument otherwise.
I think a classic automatic transmission needs hydraulic pressure to engage the bands. And since the gear pump is on the input shaft side it doesn't run when the car is pushed or towed.
In this case, though, an automatic transmission is - for all intents and purposes - a transmission that does not require the driver to handle shifting at all. The DCT fits in this category.
AT is "the car changes gears".
Sometimes a distinction is made between AMT and others because AMT is kinda shit, but both DCT and torque are AT.
Also modern torque converters have lock-up clutches, meaning once they've switched gear they've got the same direct-coupling efficiency as a DCT. The ZF8 mentioned by Klonoar is a torque converter.
Ha, you're right! I don't have the energy to go edit my parent comment but hopefully it's clear (or at least, now) that I meant old school vs modern AT transmissions.
Thanks for the correction!
Modern cars with the ZF-8 (which is like the number 1 automatic sold currently) are more efficient than their manual counterparts.
Extremely recent example in the USA: https://www.toyota.com/grsupra/2023/features/mpg/2385/2374
Toyota 3.0 Premium MT (6-speed Manual): 19/27/21 Toyota 3.0 Premium AT (8-speed Automatic): 23/31/26
And if you're like: Oh, the EPA's measurement sucks, here's the WLTP counterpart:
3.0 Petrol Twin-scroll turbocharger (335 BHP), 6-speed Manual: 32mpg / 198 g/km CO2 3.0 Petrol Twin-scroll turbocharger (335 BHP), 8-speed Automatic: 34.8mpg / 183 g/km CO2
Automatic has better mpg and less CO2 per distance travelled.
EPA is a standardised regime so cars can be compared. You can drive better than the EPA (or WLTP) test, especially if you're in better conditions.
In a manual I think you're much more likely to rev out the engine more, shift higher in the rev range, etc.
In an automatic unless you're in full "manual" mode and using the paddles/shifter to emulate that same style, then you're more likely to have the automatic's efficiency.
Historical higher mpg in a manual 5 and 6 speeds is due to driving style, 1st, the driver is more likely to drive based on what's ahead; 2nd (and related) the manual driver is likely more conservative in everyday driving.
After thinking about it a bit before getting behind the wheel for the first time, I simply imagined the clutch as a "lock" on a shared resource. Either the engine or the stick have access to the state of the gearbox, but not both at the same time.
I did witness my parents driving when I was much younger and recall them being very gentle and smooth without riding the clutch too much in 1st so I did the same. Surprisingly I didn't stall my very first attempt, but did as soon as I tried 2nd. Drove around for a bit on this dirt patch and even got it up to 3rd. Practiced downshifting from 3rd to 2nd and braking from neutral to a stop. Practiced lots of 1st gear starts because I was terrified of intersections on real roads with traffic.
So I finally get on the road and come to a stop at a rural intersection with an old man in an even older pickup truck. It's my turn to go... The whole car shakes violently from the worst stall I've ever made until then or since. The old man laughed his head off at me and then went on his way. The embarrassment was so intense I never really had a problem shifting since then.
I might be wrong, but I think this is how people used to learn and just kept it to themselves. :)
It might sound like I just described a Tesla, but a new gas-powered Volvo does all that stuff too.
The reason manufacturers might like this is because it perpetuates a business model of servicing and repairing these vehicles for them. More moving parts means more maintenance.
A lot of the business with ICE vehicles is in parts and maintenance. With EVs, the maintenance is mostly limited to changing the tires and topping up various fluids once in a while. So, the life time value of the vehicle is actually lower for them. You sell it once and then the owner is really happy with a vehicle that just keeps on going and generally has not a lot of need for regular servicing. Manual gears would be a way of artificially building in some contingencies for that and creating a need for more frequent opportunities for selling and servicing expensive parts.
Although on the other hand the clutch does have a nice property, which is that it works regardless of the state of the control system of the vehicle. If my MCU decides it wants to accelerate me at 500 mph into a wall a hardware clutch would be a nice thing to have!
W.r.t gearboxes in EVs: there is definitely a reason to have a transmission in an EV, it's just that most manufacturers don't include one for simplicity .
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zsa-SxpiCU0 has Ken Block talking about how different driving a high performance EV is, though, since you have full wheel speed range without shifting. On one hand, you don't need to work a clutch to keep turbos spooled up; on the other, you have to be much more precise because you can't let the clutch slip for additional control.
In consumer EVs, though, the car won't really let your wheels slip.
One of the subtler features of my DSG vehicle is that on most downhills it will automatically downshift to maintain speed. On a really steep hill it will start to race, but feathering the brake for 5-10 seconds will convince it to downshift once more. I haven't driven it in the mountains hardly ever, but that's one area where manuals often win out - no melted brake pads, no heat-warped calipers.
In fact I put way more miles on the first set of brake shoes on this car than I would have dreamed possible, to the point I started having mechanics check their records to make sure we didn't change them while it was in for something else.
Some cars have enough regen braking that you don't need the brakes at all except for emergency braking, though usually it's an opt-in mode. Look for something like "one-pedal" or "single-pedal". Sometimes it's a physical button with a foot (not) pressing a pedal.
Can't you just tell the car to downshift using paddles, or force it into low gear using a gear limiter feature?
Yes you could do this fully manual but you get more fleet efficiency if it’s automatic.
Sounds like it would work fine for you if you but used it. “More fleet efficiency” is not a huge concern on downhills, you just switch back to the automatic regime when you’re at the bottom.
On the road, when I need some "ooomph", I need to carefully feather the accelerator; press it too much and the transmission panics and downshifts, adding a full second to the response.
There are shift paddles on the steering wheel which you'd think would give me the control I crave. But if I'm using the manual shifting and then press the accelerator down too far, the transmission decides I don't know what I'm doing and downshifts anyway.
I have yet to drive an electric; I'm looking forward to when my Golf goes belly-up.
Since then it has been difficult for me to take anything about the Robb Report seriously. Maybe that's unfair of me.
Anyway, it would be weird if the uber wealthy didn't keep the stick shift around in some form or other, but on EVs it will be nothing but an affectation, like the way modern "sport" luxury cars pipe fake engine noise into the cabin. Just another way for folks who have too much money to waste some more of it.
There are a lot of people out there who love the way engines sound, and the increased engagement that a manual transmission brings to the driving experience. They aren't all "folks who have too much money", and I really hope this experience continues to be available to those who don't.
There's no denying that cars with DCTs or EVs are faster and better on most metrics. But they are less fun for a lot of people.
My point here is that the products Robb Report is shilling are not going to provide this experience, much in the same way that the fake engine noise piped into the sound-deadened cabin of some midsize BMW pedestrian-killer doesn't reproduce the true music of a classic euro V8. A stick shift gizmo on an EV isn't going to move you in the same way because it isn't real. It's nothing but an affectation designed to appeal to the vanity of the wealthy.
Those for whom a car is an appliance will gravitate towards increasingly cheap, subsidized, low-maintenance electrics, but there will probably always be a market for gas models for those who can afford them, and my guess is those will increasingly feature stick shifts since they're targeted at the enthusiast crowd.
I'm skeptical that manufacturers will include manual transmissions in EVs that actual people can buy in the future, and this article doesn't really change my mind. Their examples are a $135k Porsche, a $265k custom Bronco, a patent somebody filed, and a concept vehicle. This feels like wishful thinking. Enthusiasts will always keep things "alive", but you could just as easily write an article about how enthusiasts have helped the typewriter survive the computer revolution.
"didn’t everyone in the world think that American people were babies—with their innocence, their Disney, their inability to drive a stick shift?" (Elif Batuman)
but maybe with EVs and modern automatic transmissions the day really has come to say goodbye to manual transmission. Our family cars have them and my daughter just bought a new manual Civic but not for any real rational reason.
Hybrid e-CVT is nice though, driving wise and engineering wise.
I picked up my car a few days later and drove it home. I drove that car to its end, loved the high-compression V6 that would engine brake if you lifted the gas even a little.
Sometime much later, I bought my first motorcycle after taking a weekend riding course. The thing that was so hard to learn was doing the mechanical things I had learned but then adding the turn signals and watching for all the traffic was a lot of cognitive load and I took hours to go straight along one road that should've been a half hour.
It also means less thieves who are able to steal my stick-shift car.
To be honest, with the rest of the car doing so much already to augment my driving skills (it responded beautifully, but it definitely wasn't my skill), the stick felt incredibly anachronistic.
That was the experience that made me OK with it going away in the future... It'll still be there on old cars, which are still a unique experience, but it's a bit off IMO on new ones.
[1] https://jalopnik.com/this-chinese-electric-car-designed-for-...
Usually they don’t bother fitting a clutch and most of the time they leave it in either 3rd, 4th or 5th gear. Shifting done either when standing or by relaxing tourque. Even reverse is done electrically but rotating the engine the other ways.
One of the fun things about most EVs is that they could accelerate just as fast in reverse, and hit the same top speed, as they could if they were driving forward. The only thing that prevents it is software.
For example, if it was not limited by software, a Model S Plaid could do 0-60 in reverse faster than any car in the world has ever done 0-60 going forward.
The way the Model S motor is laid out, it is often more advantageous to fit it backwards into conversions.
This should be fine, except the motor driven oil pump is meant to run mostly forwards and long periods of running it the other way cause problems in oil flow and might cause pump failures too.
So there is a aftermarket oil pump that fixes this problem.
That's what I never understood about EVs. Don't you gain some battery life (and thus range) by having a gearbox? Automatic or manual.
Yes, but that's traded for more weight (thus less range), as well as increased complexity and maintenance.
And at "normal" speeds, you gain very little efficiency, the second gear is for cruising on unlimited autobahn segments. At which point you're getting hosed by aerodynamics anyway.
If it was so valuable every EV manufacturer would use them, but that's not the case, if anything they're getting scaled back (e.g. the original Formula E had 5-speeds).
But aren’t even so-called manuals actual drive by wire?
Audio Volume Warning. Turn sound way down.
They are incredibly loud. I wouldn't want to be cruising down the highway at 70 mph with one of them.
I did hear that you can get transmissions that use straight-cut gears for the first 4 gears and then normal gears for the top 2, but eh...not worth how much it would cost just because I like the sound.
Manual cars are cheaper.
If the answer is no, I'm not interested. I've already had enough fun with manual on cars where it mattered.
So far, Porsche has made the case for a two-speed EV, and not just when you're racing. Single-speed ones are less efficient at freeway speeds. But a two-speed manual transmission wouldn't be much fun. Maybe I missed it, but the article didn't explain what it's like to drive the five-speed EV Bronco. What happens when you shift gears?
Until all of the enthusiasts die out.