One Day on Mastodon vs. One Year on Twitter

If anything, this article was damning of Mastodon's outlook because it admits up front that joining an instance with a large user count has all of the same issues as Twitter with more drawbacks in the UX. As soon as Mastodon gains the level of traction that Twitter has, it's just going to have all of the same problems as Twitter with the only out being to spin up new instances. Why bother investing your time in it unless you're at the forefront of the gold rush?

It's basically the same story as Reddit where once subs get popular, they become a shell of their former selves. Or crypto, where the hype outpaces the utility and turns it into a speculative asset for a future that will never meet expectations.