The original climate change predictions were pretty much on the mark even though they weren't complex models.
The problem is usually the media rather than the science. Journalists turn everything into sensationalist claims.
The problem is usually the media rather than the science. Journalists turn everything into sensationalist claims.
By the way if we reset to the atmospheric conditions of a few hundred years ago this would be a certainty within a period of thousands of years at most. Much of the world’s population centers, agriculture, etc covered in hundreds of feet of ice.
A few papers in the 1980s were predicting global cooling, but those have been shown to be erroneous – sometimes even by the very same authors.
No? It's 2022 and our cities should be sunk in the ocean and we should be boiling or frozen and there should be no drinkable water left and blah blah blah.
https://insideclimatenews.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/AQ-...
They predicted 1C in 2005, and 2.5C in 2038. We are right on schedule.
They also predict global economic growth to halt in 2025 due to climate change impacts.
That’s plausible, given recent years’ industrial and agricultural climate disasters. However, on that metric, we’re probably a bit behind schedule. Five years, maybe?