FTX tapped into customer accounts to fund risky bets, setting up its downfall
wsj.com
wsj.com
In the FTX International terms of service ( https://help.ftx.com/hc/article_attachments/9719619779348/FT... ) they say that users have full title, ownership and control of digital assets. They say that the assets are the property of the user, and shall not be loaned to FTX trading, shall not be treated as they belong to FTX trading, and that users control the assets in the account.
So if they did indeed loan out customer deposits, that is just straight up criminal fraud, open and shut. This isn't like some DeFi scheme where they are working around some legal loophole or in the fine print tell you that they will probably lose your money. This is just straight up illegal under the plain vanilla theft and fraud laws of any country. This isn't even a bank run (banks at least tell you they are loaning your deposits out) -- it's a run on a U-Haul self-storage where you find out that they actually sold all the furniture in your storage unit to a pawn shop.
In modern bank operations, incoming fund transfers (which involve deposits) do provide liquidity that help allow the bank to be able to lend, but banks are actually levering up capital (paid-up share capital, retained earnings, etc.) to lend. The primary limit on how much they are able to lend (by Basel III regulations) is a multiple of this capital, nothing to do with the amount of deposits. Delinquent loans are therefore a loss recorded against this capital, which is shareholder equity - not customer deposits. The real problem for the bank is if more loans become delinquent than the capital they have, and they can't sell collateral for enough to cover it. Then they become insolvent. The Basel III rules increased the capital adequacy limits to try and lower the chances of banks failing after what happened in the GFC.
Bank runs are a liquidity problem because the bank's assets aren't all liquid enough to transfer out all the deposits the bank holds, but they can borrow bank reserves from other banks or the central bank in an emergency.
Like sure, it’s loan to capital ratio that matters but as you point out:
> Bank runs are a liquidity problem because the bank's assets aren't all liquid enough to transfer out all the deposits the bank holds,
This is because in practice the money you give to a bank is lent out, even if it’s technically leverage against capital.
It's actually the other way around - trying to follow a physical dollar just makes you confused, because all the actual business of the bank is happening in accounting-land (the bank's balance sheets and electronic records of customer accounts).
If they were not lent out, where did they go?
This is balanced by a mix of assets, which are a whole number of things. A tiny amount of cash, a small amount of central bank reserves, some in treasuries and bonds, and the assets created by the bank loans, etc.. (When the bank creates those loans, they create new deposits and a new asset in the loan, in equal amounts. So the assets and liabilities of the bank increase but the balance is zero).
So if the bank gets in trouble, it's because some of the asset mix has declined in value (like too many people have defaulted on their loans) to the point that the assets no longer cover those liabilities.
If some people don’t pay back their loans, then that loan gets written down, so the bank has fewer assets than before. A certain level of default is expected and baked into their operations.
If many people don’t pay back their loans, the bank no longer as as many assets as it expected. But it still has as many liabilities. The value of the bank will decrease, potentially to nothing.
As the grandparent notes, banks are subject to special requirements in law that define how much capital the bank needs to have to remain solvent. If the bank is no longer solvent then it can’t cover the liabilities (deposits).
In that case either the government will step in to bail the bank out, or the bank will collapse and the depositors will have to be paid from a deposit insurance scheme.
Such is what I have pieced together.
If a bank does a transfer to another bank it will have to send its reserves which means it might have to borrow reserves from another bank or sell its long term assets to get enough reserves and that long term asset might worth a lot or worth very little depending on the difference between it's locked in interest rate and the current interest rate.
This is why banks sell their treasuries to the Fed, they have a long duration asset and a short term liability, so they give it to the Fed to get a short term asset.
I don't know what SBF is doing but maturity transformation is probably the riskiest thing you can do as a bank and it is very likely to break down eventually unless you have a central bank that spreads around the risk. From a purists perspective banks should only use certificates of deposits to ensure that their liability duration is longer than their asset duration. Of course that is difficult in practice because nobody is buying CDs nowadays.
The difference between a bank run on the licensed banking system and a crypto exchange is that the licensed banking system has a lot of experience with these types of problems meanwhile in the cryptospace you ask your neighbor and hope he doesn't shrug.
"Assets = Liabilities + Equity" <-- should "L" be in here or not?
The ratio of assets to capital is limited to prevent levering up to infinity, ok.But if the liabilities are mostly deposits, then it's the deposits that allow it to be a levered business at all.
Things became interesting when electronic transactions came into play. Banks virtually no longer have to payout any cash when they issue a loan to a client as they now only need to change two numbers: credit their asset account, and debit loan customer's cash account. So unless there were transactions paying out to another bank, there were no cash movements. So the minimum cash the bank should keep in their operation accounts is just the difference of the transactions paying out and those receiving in.
But does that mean customers' deposits are not significant to the banks? Nope. Banks actually lend out much more than their customers' deposits. How much can they lend out is basicly the deposit amount divided by the reserve rate, e.g. 20%.
Let's imagine a simple bank where my company is the sole depositor - it deposits 100k dollars. Let's assume the bank has no other assets or liabilities - its only asset is the 100k dollars I deposited, and its only liability is the 100,000 dollars it has to pay back to me.
Alice comes in and asks for a 50k dollar loan. The bank accepts the loan, and now has another asset - the 50k dollars that Alice owes them, and a new 50k dollars liability - the deposit with Alice's money. Alice than buys an antique one of a kind Russian doll with her 50k dollars from Bob, and the bank transfers this liability to Bob's bank. Alice fails to pay back her loan, and the bank becomes the owner of the antique one of a kind Russian doll worth 50k dollars.
However, someone finds a new trove of similar dolls, and this ones becomes essentially worthless. So, now the bank's assets are in total only 50k dollars, but its liabilities are still the 100k it owes me. If I try to buy another of Bob's dolls for 80k dollars, the bank must find someone willing to lend it 30k dollars, or it can't honor the transaction, even though I had deposited 100k dollars with them: they lent out my deposit.
Of course, in practice, when Alice asked to transfer her funds to Bob's bank, the bank would have not immediately used my deposit, it would have sought to obtain credit from someone else, using some of the 150k dollars in assets it had at the time as collateral. But, if it couldn't obtain such a loan fast enough, it would have indeed used money from the deposit it had.
There are non-bank lenders (and non-bank payment services companies that offer prepaid visa/mastercard products), but they ultimately are then customers of the bank and they are much more limited in what they can do that banks are. That's why it's crazy difficult to get a banking license.
So yeah although this is still theoretical, it is indeed possible to do banking without having a single customer cash deposit.
It is also interesting to read on his Wikipedia profile [1] about "Bankman-Fried is a supporter of effective altruism and claims to pursue earning to give as an altruistic career. He is a member of Giving What We Can and has claimed that he plans to donate the great majority of his wealth to effective charities over the course of his life.". Having direct access to a lot of money changes a some people ethics.
The cryptocurrency bubble was very transparently built on delusion and avarice, and everyone involved knew it. There are very few truly innocent victims here.
"SBF was planning to spend up to one billion dollars to help influence 2024 presidential election campaigns. His real plan is to bankroll the candidate running against former president Donald Trump. In 2020, SBF donated $5.2 million to the Joe Biden presidential campaign.
According to Open Secrets, a platform following the money in politics, SBF is the sixth largest political contributor. The platform reports that he has made a total contribution of $39.8 million for the 2021-2022 cycle."
There should be a tracker for companies that come out of nowhere and buy themselves into the top 10 of any major politician contributors list. So much money, so fast, should be a red flag for astute investors.
We’ve got this imperfect system of laws which we use to govern the way we live. Its flawed but it isn’t a free for all either.
When the ends justify the means, anything goes.
[1] https://www.britannica.com/topic/utilitarianism-philosophy
But everyone seems to say that's not the case. So what broke down here? Why isn't the ledger ledgering?
There are always deposits and wihdrawals, and of course maybe you traded your tokens for another before withdrawing. So its hard to parse how much customers deposited vs genuinely withdrew, and so you cant really tell if the exchange is short unless they declare their actual assets and liabilities.
It is also a regulatory failure, there are reasons this kind of dipping into customer funds is quite illegal in the US. FTX should not have been reachable by US citizens (funding should have been impossible) _or_ FTX should have been sanctioned _by_ the US. There is no reason at all that rogue financial institutions should be allowed to transact with American-regulated banks. If you want to do business in the finance sector with Americans you need to be regulated. Any argument to the contrary is very clearly contradicted by the series of crypto, defi, etc. failures in which gullible Americans lost tons of money while institutions they trusted violated common sense rules that every traditional financial institution in the US must abide by.
If you want to have freedom from this kind of regulation, you have to live in a world where these kinds of failures and frauds don't happen. Clearly they happen over and over without competent government watching them.
Think of it like HTTPS. Nobody can sneak anything into the request, but the counterparty you're contacting could still be a fraud.
The only time you actually are part of the trustless system is when you are sole custodian of any private keys necessary to access the coins.
The issue with this is that a whole lot of people have no idea what it is, how it works, how to be part of the system and how to keep keys secure and safe at the same time.
And it is fine. People can't know everything.
But one thing I know, if you buy stuff you do not understand and then you loose money, it is on you.
Of course, the automatic processes in Etherium produce a bunch of other weird effects.
I mean, Madoff got 150 years and died in prison after about 10 years. While I don't see the FTX fraud in the same league (Madoff went to great lengths, for example, to generate phony statements over many years) it still sounds like fraud to the tune of billions.
Side not but that’s not really how banking works. Banks create deposits when they originate loans and separately look for the assets they need in order to satisfy any regulatory requirements and net flows of funds for inter bank settlements.
https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/quarterly-bulletin/2014/q1/m...
Nobody expects that their money deposited into a savings account is going to sit in a bank vault until it’s time to go pick it up — they know the bank is going to loan it out and pocket the difference between what they charge the borrower and what they pay in interest.
Checking accounts are different in that they should have the money on hand to settle whatever spending the customers get up to but instead they practice fractional reserve deposits with a central bank to bail them out if needed.
The difference here is the crypto bros are practicing fractional reserve without someone to bail them out so depositors just get screwed.
FTX.com is some conglomeration of entities incorporated in Antigua, Bermuda, and the Bahamas[1]. FTX.com is the one that has blown up, and I won't pretend to know about the reporting requirements of such a complicated structure in multiple jurisdictions.
Also, Sam Bankman-Fried owned 90% of Alameda Research as of last year. So unless that changed(I can't find evidence it has), it looks to me like he tried to bail himself out with customers' money. Presumably he thought he could return the money eventually and no one would be the wiser. So much for that.
This is just my understanding and I am not an expert in these things.
[1] https://help.ftx.com/hc/en-us/articles/360056976411
[2] https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ftx-ceo-sam-bankman-fried-pro...
Pretty much every large exchange has a compliance team, btw, at least the ones with US operations.
Think how much cheaper and faster cars could be, if we didn't have to spend resources on seatbelts and catalytic converters. The entrenched car hegemony are in bed with the government to keep the little guy down by requiring these things.
Not really, but again banks don't have compliance against this either, it's just that people are less likely to withdraw their money from the bank at the same time, and when they do the gov will tell the fed to print more, and with crypto you can't print more, so a bankrun has immediate effects.
That's basically what happened here.
This is like if you put $100 in Chase's security deposit box, and they opened it up, took the cash, and lent it out, and then when you come to get it, they say, woops, we lost it all. That would be just straight up theft or fraud.
1) Chase doesn't have to show you $0, you'll still see $100.
2) When you decide to spend the money, chances are the seller is also with Chase, then all Chase has to do is show you $0 and the seller +$100
3) If the seller happens to be with another bank, Chase will just go in credit with that other bank for $100. The total of such interbank accounts is around 0 as money flows both ways, and, with a decent margin, within the bank reserve amount.
Fractional-reserve banking works so well with so little "actual" reserve money that some consider it counterfeiting.
>tell people their money is safe then basically steal it by giving it to your friend
SBF needs to be thrown in jail, he won't though, for obvious reasons.
HN is a site for curious conversation, so please wait to feel some curiosity before you comment.
Hearby nominated as word of the day. Excellent.
Notably, the book reads in a very modern way, it's a bit shocking to know it was written in the 1700s when stylistically, and according to its vocabulary, it feels so very modern.
The older I get, the more I find myself making spelling mistakes based on word pronunciation. Sometimes I use a totally different word than what I was thinking, which makes absolutely no sense unless you read it aloud. Then you realize what happened. Hopefully it is not early onset dementia. Though it would not be -that- early.
Moreover, even if there were, (a) the OP has been on HN's front page for hours and is currently at #4, (b) this story has been heavily discussed on HN, with several major threads in the last few days alone, and (c) asking people not to fulminate doesn't mean they can't make substantive critical points—if anything it helps them do so.
> Moreover, even if there were ...
Makes sense. You have a much better view of that than me.
That tradition has gone out the window: https://twitter.com/breckyunits/status/1590858862504316928
If you're going to make a claim like that you should say why, and post links, so readers can make up their own minds.
This makes it easier to answer questions that would otherwise feel like hard tradeoffs. In this case: should people be shouting angrily in a protesty way in HN threads? No—but not because protest is bad or unimportant. It's just incompatible with intellectual curiosity, and since we're optimizing for the latter, it takes precedence.
When people are protesting or doing battle, they tend to either repeat their most effective phrases (slogans, etc.) or to spontaneously vent their strong emotions (name-calling, etc.). But repetition and name-calling are clearly bad for curiosity. I believe these are even different neurological states: high indignation comes with a level of arousal that rules out the relaxed playfulness that curious conversation depends on.
I hope it's clear that this isn't a judgment about protest or indignation in general—those are as human as anything else and when they're called for they're called for. It's just relative to the particular mandate of this particular site. We're trying to play one game rather than the other.
Is that censorship? Well, that word has become so stretchy that you can apply it however you feel. But I'd say no, for the same reason that chess isn't crokinole. It isn't censorship to say you don't get to whack your opponent's bishop.
Just like programming languages - HN is neither the only forum in existence, nor does it need to serve the needs of every human in existence.
Please see the HN Guidelines: https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html
"Please don't use Hacker News for political or ideological battle. It tramples curiosity."
You've just described 99% of crypto though.
Some people love day trading crypto. They keep funds on exchanges so they can trade immediately and not deal with constant back and forth transactions with their own wallet.
Here's how my story played out -- maybe there are a million stories like me I'm not sure.
Bought Monero on Voyager (because my electricity costs are high where I live and I didn't want to mine it). Planned to immediately transfer it out from Voyager to my offline wallet. Saw that Voyager "didn't yet support transferring out" for that cryptocurrency but would soon. Cool, I'll just wait.
A month or so later, Voyager goes under and I'll probably get nothing or pennies on the dollar.
Genuinely curious, what was the right course of action to buy Monero in a low-overhead, safe way?
FTX Japan shut down by order of Japan Financial Services Agency.[2]
FTX.intl processing some withdrawals, according to blockchain.[3] A few lucky people got to exit.
Way too much happening to mention here. Just use Google to search "FTX" and limit search to 1 day. Margin calls all over crypto land. JP Morgan says expect 50% drop across the board in crypto. Around 10 AM PST, somebody just pulled a billion dollars out of Tether. Word of the day: "deleveraging".
[2] https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/companies/japan-cracks-down-...
[3] https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/companies/crypto-exchange-ft...
[1] https://twitter.com/SBF_FTX/status/1590709195892195329?t=tQR...
Meanwhile, aggregate of the cryptocurrency market is up 5.38% over the last day, Tether recovered landing on 0.9999 USD after 4-5 hours of the drop hitting bottom at 0.9818 USD, which was nowhere near previous all-time low Tether has hit previously.
In other words, everyone screams "panic!" while the world quietly moves on.
Stablecoins have only two stable points: 1 and 0.
The 2008 recession is what really stopped Bernie Madoff.
This is not a ponzi scheme. This is a good old "not firewalling your customer's money and your investment money" that everyone suffered from in 2008. The situation is cataphoric enough without people mis-using terms.
(This is what FTX was offering customers)
And now we know the accounts weren't actually covered by real money (or "value" as they called it). So when person X was asking FTX for their money back, FTX would send person X+1's money to cover
Sounds like a Ponzi to me
Tell me which retail brokerages lost their customers assets because they gambled them away?
There is no glossing over the fact that all these crypto explosions are a result of largely re-implementing a pre-Fed, pre-FDIC, pre Great Depression style banking system with all its long-patched defects.
It's not literally a Ponzi, but it's Ponzi adjacent behavior, like what Bill Hwang did.
... cite for this, please. I don't recall there being any significant client money problems in that period.
I first learned the term "bezzle" here on Hacker News and read more about it in the article "Why the Bezzle Matters to the Economy": https://carnegieendowment.org/chinafinancialmarkets/85179
It's an interesting read to those who enjoy economics.
Warren Buffett
They come across more like frat bros with huge pockets casually giving away billions under a pinky promise of eventual returns.
At this point, they are doing the same level of DD as those degens in WSB.
But I guess you don't have much leverage when the fed is printing trillions for years and we end up with dozens of Zuckerberg types, too much power and no oversight to hold them accountable.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/silicon-valley-poured-money-int...
"Silicon Valley Poured Money Into FTX, With Few Strings Attached"
"A marquee roster of investors from Silicon Valley and Wall Street swarmed FTX. They invested nearly $2 billion with few strings attached and no oversight on the cryptocurrency exchange’s board, promoting it as a safe bet."
Anyhow, The board of directors consisted of SBF until the summer of 2021. Then 2 "independent" directors were added, 1 was an FTX executive, the other was a lawyer in Antigua
In the age of ESG, it turns out that the "G" part is being ignored totally (because it counter to the interests of insiders) but the "E" and "S" is ever more important (because it is in the interests of insiders) despite it doing little to help improve returns (SBF was the king of "S"...might there be a correlation between saying you are more ethical than anyone and permitting yourself to steal from customers?).
https://www.sequoiacap.com/article/sam-bankman-fried-spotlig...
After this spectacular blowup barely put a dent in their returns, why would LPs demand anything? Sequioa will just tell them "hey it's the name of the game, there are some losers who go bankrupt and winners who return the entire fund several times over".
If Sequioa took a massive markdown on FTX that would be a different story. However they came out unscathed and looks like they are managed well despite fellating SBF quite openly. What would you even demand of them given that they didn't lose much money? They probably lose even more money on companies that end up just not being successful in the first place. You can't ask them to not invest in risky business, thats the whole point of VC.
[0] Could be misinterpreting the letter, they said FTX was 3% of commited capital, 150M / 3% = 5B, and they had 7.5B of realized and unrealized gains.
Now we have a market turn and VC is unlikely to sustain the returns of the past decade. That may shift the leverage, but history suggests that LPs will still not put any kind of meaningful pressure on the top funds to do anything different.
I would read Mallaby's history of the VC industry to see why this isn't possible. Around 1997 the balance of power shifted heavily in favour of founders (this is when dual-share class) started, and they stopped demanding seats on the board.
Iirc, Sequoia was a firm that held out (along with other old-style funds), they missed out on a lot of companies over the next ten years so ended up racing to the bottom...this is how we got here.
Btw, just on corporate governance...it is the most important factor for a company. A lot of the issues with corporates we have today are due to poor oversight from shareholders (not helped by passive). If corporate governance isn't working, capitalism won't work either.
My god, there are so many things that were there to have been a modicum of parental oversight, the situation would not have festered.
This one is going to stain Web3, Defi, and notably VC.
Hey - VC are the partners of innovators so it's not good to see them in these situations.
Partly they are victims, but partly, they are responsible obviously.
We should note, this has a lot to do with the magical 'made up' nature of tokens. The entire Ponzi was based on tokens worth nothing, with massive leverage. It's a lot of money that VC cab hardly take their eyes off of. Why invest in 'doing stuff' when you can just 'make something up' and say it's worth billions? Given the way VC portfolios work they are going to run at that stampede because of the money flowing into it.
It's a systemic problem.
It would help if there were more regulations around this - at least to dampen he leverage. More transparency, higher interest rates will help as well.
I remember a friend with a fund, he was in a short-term pickle waiting for some money to bridge a house purchase. Didn't even cross his mind to lend it to himself and pay it back two weeks later, even though that would have been nearly risk free and a minuscule proportion of the fund.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jon_Corzine
> Corzine was subpoenaed to appear before a House committee on December 8, 2011, to answer questions regarding 1.2 billion dollars of missing money from MF Global client accounts. He testified before the committee, "I simply do not know where the money is, or why the accounts have not been reconciled to date," and that given the number of money transfers in the final days of trading at MF Global, he didn't know specifics of the movement of the funds. He also denied authorizing any misuse of customer funds.
> On the day of MF Global's bankruptcy, a Bloomberg reporter wrote "Jon Corzine's risk appetite helped destroy his firm. It also provided an object lesson for Paul Volcker's campaign against proprietary trading on Wall Street."
in addition to that - the more FTT you staked the more preferential treatment you got in access to IDO's and referral fees, when you couple this with a platform that felt "safe" and "trustworthy" - this was a recipe for disaster.
I've been in Crypto a long time and previous rugs always felt a bit sketchy, like it was an unfinished product, you put up with it but your risk tolerance was lower as those platforms felt like they might disappear at any one point.
FTX felt different - and this is why there are people with 8 figures+ stuck on there right now.
I (genuinely) wonder how many more times that will happen?
Imagine the second largest bank in your country just up and dissolving with everyones money - that is exactly how this feels to those of us who have been in this space a while.
You will likely continue to find people who say that until the day you die.
A bodega conducts better financial oversight than these masters of the cryptoverse.
Greed in this space causes people to act with a more short term view for quick profits while ignoring fundamentals. Over and over again.
Remember, this was a casino, not really an exchange.
If this was all done on-chain, users would have sole custody over their funds and no one else in the entire world, including SBF, would be able to move them or loan them out.
Not your keys, not your coins.
...I feel bad for him because he obviously believes his own bullshit, but he should have just said nothing rather than lie about what happened and pull the Mr. Magoo act.
It was actually in an adjacent paywalled article (https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-news-today-11-...). If anyone knows a way to bypass that paywall, I'd be curious to read the rest.
It may not be most ethical thing to do but if you want to read an article or two behind a paywall, I don't think it is insane to do.
This article though seems to be some kind of a live feed where there is not really a lot archived - maybe it works better for paying users viewing things live.
He is counting the 10 billion he loaned to himself and then lost as an asset for FTX that just happens to be illiquid right now. Yeah it's very illiquid lol
Also, does he not have lawyers or public relations?
https://www.federalreserve.gov/supervisionreg/legalinterpret...
Also, in case this isn't painfully obvious, broker's can't make prop bets using client assets. And exchanges can't make prop bets using their flows.
"A person familiar with the dealings between FTX and Binance described the books as a “black hole” where it was impossible to differentiate between the assets and liabilities of FTX and those of Alameda Research. This person spoke on condition of anonymity because they weren’t authorized to speak publicly about the matter. This person said Bankman-Fried had committed the “ultimate sin” by tapping into FTX’s custodial assets to fund Alameda Research."[1]
There are people trying to blame Binance for the collapse. That's bogus. If FTX was stealing customer funds, it's entirely FTX's fault.
Interesting info: Bankman-Fried owns part of Robinhood Financial.[2] Which will probably be audited real soon to see if he somehow took money out of there.
This is the kind of thing prosecutors refer to as an "ongoing criminal enterprise".
[1] https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2022/nov/10/ftx-crypt...
[2] https://fortune.com/crypto/2022/11/09/the-winners-and-losers...
This raises the question of who else Alameda owes. It's a sign of the times that $10 billion doesn't seem like a lot today, but it's way more than the Long Term Capital Management debacle:
> LTCM was initially successful, with annualized returns (after fees) of around 21% in its first year, 43% in its second year and 41% in its third year. However, in 1998 it lost $4.6 billion in less than four months due to a combination of high leverage and exposure to the 1997 Asian financial crisis and 1998 Russian financial crisis.[4] The master hedge fund, Long-Term Capital Portfolio L.P., collapsed soon thereafter, leading to an agreement on September 23, 1998, among 14 financial institutions for a $3.65 billion recapitalization under the supervision of the Federal Reserve.[1] The fund was liquidated and dissolved in early 2000.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Long-Term_Capital_Management
When it comes to things like this, the connectivity of the money seems at least as important as the quantity.
(Source: https://www.wsj.com/articles/SB968629287803799708 ) ____________
Badly in need of a lift, Meriwether called an old friend, Vinny Mattone, who had been the fund's first contact at Bear Stearns, LTCM's clearing broker. Mattone, who had retired, was everything that J.M.'s elegant professors were not. He wore a gold chain and a pinkie ring, and he showed up at Long-Term in a black silk shirt, open at the chest. He looked as if he weighed 300 pounds. Unlike J.M.'s strangely wooden partners, Mattone saw markets as exquisitely human institutions -- inherently volatile, ever-fallible.
"Where are you?" Mattone asked bluntly.
"We're down by half," Meriwether said.
"You're finished," Mattone replied, as if this conclusion needed no explanation.
For the first time, Meriwether sounded worried. "What are you talking about? We still have two billion. We have half -- we have Soros."
Mattone smiled sadly. "When you're down by half, people figure you can go down all the way. They're going to push the market against you. They're not going to roll [refinance] your trades. You're finished."
By contrast no bank would have touched Alameda with a ten foot pole. Loan to a crypto fund?
Would you believe... a pension fund is involved with FTX?
https://fortune.com/2022/11/10/canadian-teachers-could-have-...
I doubt the full extent of the connections to Alameda (or FTX) have been disclosed.
If that's true, Bankman-Fried should go to jail. It wasn't FTX's money to lend.
F that. Society has created an environment where it's better to ask for forgiveness later than it is to ask for permission prior. Our society systematically rewards deception and punishes honesty. There are a large bunch of apologists who keep showing up saying "Oh but deep down, such and such is a good guy" - If we keep going down that path of pretending that people's actions don't define their true character, we will soon run out of actual good guys... Or those that remain will be backed into a corner and forced to fight to survive.
He should be behind bars.
Mr. Brian Simms, K.C. (Lennox Paton Counsel and Attorney-at Law) was appointed as provisional liquidator. Additionally, the powers of the directors of FDM have been suspended and no assets of FDM, client assets or trust assets held by FDM, can be transferred, assigned or otherwise dealt with, without the written approval of the provisional liquidator.
I'm hoping the little guy is able to get their money out before investors do, but history makes this seem unlikely.
A lot of people should go to jail but probably won’t.
[1]https://www.opensecrets.org/elections-overview/biggest-donor...
He stated he intended to give up to $1 billion to democrats.
Millions more went to various other people in power who will now decide the fate of SBF.
Sources:
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/10/14/sam-bankman-fried-backtracks...
His Wikipedia page.
This has lead to Chinese property developers spending all the money they collected to build homes on new parcels of lands and even soccer teams instead of finishing those homes. After all there will always be new money coming in.
In the crypto space this has lead exchange firms that speculate with their customers assets to out compete the safe approach providing exchange services and collecting a commission.
“We lose money on every trade but make it up on volume”
Only thing I can think of is if these companies are international so he doesnt get prosecuted in the US under US laws. Thats his only hope.
https://twitter.com/ApeDurden/status/1590912098871435265
How did this place end up managing billions of dollars?
This means that, in the line of people to get paid out of those assets, you're not even at the front. Custodial accounts leave you with little protection.
[0] https://hn.algolia.com/?dateRange=all&page=0&prefix=true&que...
There should be a law that states:
1. Depositors are the most senior creditor (ie. they must be paid first, before any other creditor)
2. Investing depositor funds without explicit approval is a criminal act (because it's essentially using other people's money for your own interests)
Here's an article where some lawyers speculate about priority:
https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2022/11/10/ftx-violated-its-...
"Because the terms of service specify that customer funds do not belong to FTX, those funds cannot be used to pay back creditors or other stakeholders in the event of insolvency."
> FTX Chief Executive Sam Bankman-Fried said in investor meetings this week that Alameda owes FTX about $10 billion, people familiar with the matter said.
When pretty much any company or industry gets to a certain valuation size, it seems that oversight is an absolute requirement lest things go south quickly, whether intentional or negligent. Government oversight isn't a guarantee of fair play, but it can lessen the risk.
The Bahamas Securities Commission just froze FTX's assets in the Bahamas.[1] A provisional liquidator has been appointed. Next stop, bankruptcy.
All the jurisdictions where FTX has a presence are now after Bankman-Fried. US, Japan, Bahamas...
[1] https://fortune.com/2022/11/10/ftx-assets-frozen-bahamas-cry...
Once there's an arrest warrant, getting away becomes much more difficult.
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2022-11-09/bankma...
tl;dr - the bank can't invest the money in its own stock.
Crypto CEO Accidentally Describes Ponzi Scheme https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C6nAxiym9oc
So many humorous quotes to be had in that article.
https://www.sequoiacap.com/article/sam-bankman-fried-spotlig...
edit: archive https://archive.ph/GQkCp
> That’s when SBF told Sequoia about the so-called super-app: “I want FTX to be a place where you can do anything you want with your next dollar. You can buy bitcoin. You can send money in whatever currency to any friend anywhere in the world. You can buy a banana. You can do anything you want with your money from inside FTX.”
> Suddenly, the chat window on Sequoia’s side of the Zoom lights up with partners freaking out.
> “I LOVE THIS FOUNDER,” typed one partner.
> “I am a 10 out of 10,” pinged another.
> “YES!!!” exclaimed a third.
> What Sequoia was reacting to was the scale of SBF’s vision. It wasn’t a story about how we might use fintech in the future, or crypto, or a new kind of bank. It was a vision about the future of money itself—with a total addressable market of every person on the entire planet.
> “I sit ten feet from him, and I walked over, thinking, Oh, shit, that was really good,” remembers Arora. “And it turns out that that fucker was playing League of Legends through the entire meeting.”
Lo and behold. The intricate, behind-the-scenes scheming of the highly educated financial elite, revelead at last. All predicated upon the grand vision of... buying a banana with your "super-app". No wonder we're going through a much needed correction, some people need to be weeded out of decision making roles ASAP.
> there. The FTX competitive advantage? Ethical behavior. SBF is a Peter Singer–inspired utilitarian in a sea of Robert Nozick–inspired libertarians. He’s an ethical maximalist in an industry that’s overwhelmingly populated with ethical minimalists. I’m a Nozick man myself, but I know who I’d rather trust my money with: SBF, hands-down. And if he does end up saving the world as a side effect of being my banker, all the better.
archive of google cache (best thing I can do!)
Are the folks at Jane Street making money because they are smart, or because they use that perception to perpetuate some scam?
I interact with a lot of Harvard kids. Some of them are from Long Island, they know dads who work at that Republican's hedge fund. They are smart kids. They have good cognitive gifts.
But not once - not from word of mouth, or directly from them, or someone, ever, anywhere - have I heard a common sense way these guys make money due to intelligence, instead of due to a scam or due to luck.
It is really frustrating. So much human potential wasted on chasing the dollar sign. They are in denial that it is scams.
It has always been scams. Why is this so hard to believe? Why in the absence of any positive evidence, like "oh here is our genius but nonetheless expired" trading strategy, which anyone could have furnished in the last two decades, they agree, oh it must be real?
The simple answer seems, because if you believe it to be real, you can be this specific kind of Harvard + New York + "X" kid - and seriously, they are all cut from the same jib, superficially and inside their character, it tarnishes the institution - and you can do this scam and pocket your change and eat dim sum with 20 people on the weekends and have a skinny girlfriend and buy a condo. You can do something pretty meaningless with your life in exchange for the burn out.
This scam life lets 20 year olds not hear from their horrible parents that burned them out and gave them no meaning. Eventually they turn 30 and hope that a decade went by without a crash, and then life decides for them to sell before the ponzi collapses. Like you have a baby with your skinny girlfriend and you buy the condo and great, you sell, and it happens to be well timed!
I fucking hate Jane Street, I have hated them since I've known the assholes who intern there, and I don't know why this Bankman-Fried guy got such a big pass for scamming literally millions of people, and why this Caroline girl isn't going to be sent to jail, and it's frustrating because you can actually tell! You can predict this from when these kids are 20!
Financial markets have a fascinating property: any well-known strategy that can be implemented at reasonable cost [0] stops working. This is because people implement it and the profit goes away. If Jane Street has a common sense strategy or three that makes money, they’re not telling you about it.
(I’m taking about actual market profits here. It is well known that you can make lots of money by charging fees on a lackluster fund as long as you can find investors.)
[0] The cost issue is real, and the relevant parameter is some combination of profit (revenue - opex), capex and risk. For example, one can make money (revenue) by being the fastest market on the block. But the revenue there is approximately bounded and competition has driven the cost up to insane levels, so it is not straightforward to do this profitably.
>Why in the absence of any positive evidence, like "oh here is our genius but nonetheless expired" trading strategy, which anyone could have furnished in the last two decades, they agree, oh it must be real?
I agree that there should be some obviously awesome things these funds did that they can share now given they are no longer able to exploit them. I have no idea if they have done so and I and GP are just not aware of it.
Arbitrage that sticks around for years: those are scams dude. They involve collusion, not intelligence. I understand it might not be illegal collusion, but if either side of the transaction being scammed found out, they would find someone else to work with.
Trust me, I know. I've worked in ad tech.
I would suspect that both of them get into legal trouble.
Btw, I would say generally: quant investing isn't a scam, Jane Street make most of their money from ETF AP...that isn't complex, most of the high capacity strategies are quite simple (index replication being one, stat arb being another). The more complex HFT strategies tend to be (at their root) about detecting when someone is moving the market: for example, XYZ fund gets new money from investors, they deploy that into stocks, and HFT is about detecting that and calculating whether that is going to move the market (and XYZ fund now deploys various execution algos to stop HFT funds detecting that they have a huge order that will move the market).
There is nothing wrong with this work and, contrary to what people think, it is valuable. If you look at what it cost to invest capital even ten years ago, it was expensive. As in: $10-20 for a single trade. That has gone down to pennies, and created trillions of value. Saying they are all scammers because one guy is a scammer is not really a valid criticism.
> This scam life lets 20 year olds not hear from their horrible parents that burned them out and gave them no meaning. Eventually they turn 30 and hope that a decade went by without a crash, and then life decides for them to sell before the ponzi collapses. Like you have a baby with your skinny girlfriend and you buy the condo and great, you sell, and it happens to be well timed!
This is great screenplay material, like a "Millenial Fight-Club on Wall-Street". You should keep writing!
1. The value you add to the economic 'stream' flowing around you
2. The amount you're able to divert out of that and into your own control
These are influenced by a number of secondary factors:
1. Starting capital to buy tools and resources to increase your ability to contribute
2. The ability to help others increase their contributions, or less charitably, the ability to take credit for the contributions of others
3. A willingness or unwillingness to pillage the commons
A humble farmer can work some acres of land, use his mind to know what best to grow, use his hands to make it happen, trust the sun and rain to grow the crops, and sell the harvest for a value greater than the cost to lease the land and buy the seed. With a million-dollar combine, cultivators, spreaders, center-pivot irrigation systems, an all the other features of modern agriculture, he can reap a much greater - more valuable - harvest.
But when a dealership has negotiated exclusive rights over a region, and the salesmen take a non-negotiable commission of sales, does the salesman who connects the farmer to the combine he knows he needs deserve thousands of dollars for closing that sale, just because he's situated himself between the farmer and the manufacturer?
When Wall Street or Jane Street sees that our massive farm industry needs massive numbers of combines - it's a $500B industry - and they're able to siphon off a percent of that industry's output for "providing liquidity" just because their Daddy knows some people, while the farmer's Daddy worked 18-hour-days every harvest season until he died, and the former is a multimillionaire by age 30 while the latter might make $200k during 4 of 5 seasons and lose $300k in a bad year...it just doesn't feel right.
This is an important point. As we've pushed the limits of our natural resources, and woken up to the externalized costs of some of our ways of creating value (i.e. respiratory disease from fossil fuel based energy), this is increasingly going to require us to re-evaluate how we define 'value' added to the economic stream.
> But when a dealership has negotiated exclusive rights over a region, and the salesmen take a non-negotiable commission of sales, does the salesman who connects the farmer to the combine he knows he needs deserve thousands of dollars for closing that sale, just because he's situated himself between the farmer and the manufacturer?
I'm not arguing for any value added by middle-men in your example, but sales people provide a service that many of us "maker" types don't want to deal with, which is to engage "socially" with potential customers. Selling and buying an expensive product or service is often a social act. That social act has a value in some spaces.
*Real or imagined value.
You can also make money through arbitrage or other brief financial blips that occur in the market.
These things aren't really scams in the normal sense.
Like who wants to be on the other side of a Jane Street transaction? Absolutely fucking nobody. If you're talking about "mispricings" during the "housing crisis," my dude, nobody wanted to sell their house to these dumb fucks! They were going to starve, they had no choice! How does that not seem like a scam of some sort to you? That's not honest money!
Those 20 year olds with Math degrees from Harvard. They don't fucking know anything dude, they did not discover a model, they did not make a model with a price that says price is lower than this other price, then persuade some people to make some bet. That's a parallel reconstruction, that's to justify whatever actual scam is going on. How do you not see that?
There's no common sense reason Math 55 equips you with some magical vision into pricing that actually winds up meaning anything. When it does, it might as well be random.
If the Mercers were good people, would they be Republicans? No dude. C'mon, use common sense. Don't get hung up on "normal sense." Use common sense.
If Sam Bankman-Fried was a good person, would he fuck $10b out of his own god damned customers' money?
No dude, he's made some unspecific, previously-bankrupt-and-now-literally-bankrupt promise to donate some money to something somewhere in the future, to whitewash the fact that he just went around fucking everyone.
I mean get a grip Effective Altruists, whose guts I hate too, and whose energy is the stereotype of the student I am talking about - the same students! - where they get this readily packaged "religion" that happens to align exactly with their meaning-bankrupt approach to life.
So don't even get on it with the "honest" money. I can find the venture capitalists who take some dumb person's money and then hand it over to something risky and interesting: I see how VC is honest, it's just not necessarily intelligent, but it's redeemable. But the Jane Street people: No dude. Not Warren Buffet, not Burry, none of those vultures.
[1]: Numberphile, e.g. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rBU9E-ZOZAI
[2]: Stand-up Maths (Matt Parker), e.g. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EGoRJePORHs
I'm sure some hedge funds have been scams, and probably a decent percentage are frauds in the sense that they have no alpha even before fees (this isn't a crime though). There's not much evidence that the fund you're referring to is a fraud. There are published strategies now that if implemented in the 90s and early 2000s would've earned returns of >50% after transaction costs so their results seem attainable though obviously exceptional.
Just search for that Ellison young lady online. She's partly responsible for fraud that saw $10 billion of other people's money go into the ether. How come that kid (she looks to be under 30 years of age) was put in charge of a multi-billion dollar company is way, way beyond me.
Also, JS has low attrition and traders there mostly stay long-term since it's a very trader-first place than some other places like HRT, Jump. Both SBF and Ellison had short tenures at JS.
Edit to add: PFOF is the mechanism that Robinhood (and others) make money on - back of house Wall St. pays Robinhood for the order flow.
Jane Street has some good people. Harvard has some good people.
Both have some bad people.
I don't know how "scam" is defined, because sometimes people use it for things they just don't like.
Becuase if not, you're fucked. She's the only one walking out of this shitshow with a reputation.
Might be true, but papers (especially ones like the WSJ) should not publish such pap.