CERN to announce Higgs boson observation at LHC
extremetech.com
extremetech.com
1) Nobody with any actual knowledge about the analysis spoke with anyone who then blogged about it. These people know better. What actually happened was that people in CMS and ATLAS, who don't work on the Higgs analysis, saw the Higgs plots during internal discussions and then told their theorist, blogger friends roughly what they saw.
2) The most familiar exclusion plots are showing the line at which the cross section is excluded at 95% along with the 2-sigma uncertainty on the expected location of this curve. Since the people spreading rumors are not very familiar with the analysis, they do not realize that n-sigma deviations between the observed and expected lines are not the same thing as n-sigma observations. The actual significance of observation will usually be lower.
3) Again because the people spreading rumors are not familiar with the analysis, they are not able to add appropriate caveats about systematic uncertainties, which can substantially reduce significance. Because these rumors started last week, I guarantee the plots on which they were based do not include all systematic effects. And because the bloggers are predominantly theorists, they don't have the experience to add that information themselves either.
So I hope you will take rumors for what they are: rumors.
Are you saying that you do have actual knowledge, or are you just guessing this stuff just like the others? I'm not trtying to be snarky, I really want to know if you have good hard info or not.
I do know that knowledgeable people will probably be more open-mouthed around this time tomorrow.
You're right though... somebody (i.e. one of the thousands of collaborators, from undergrads to PIs) probably got the email that said something to the effect "we'll be releasing results on the search for the Higgs tomorrow, and until those results are released you aren't allowed to talk/tweet/email/post/facebook any information about the experiment. Of course, this doesn't mean they know anything about the paper, only that they know there's going to be a paper that discusses something. The people who really know are going to be the ones with the tightest lips.
At the energies predicted, it falls in nicely with mostly established physics (Standard model). So yes that is the good news part.
The seriously bad news part is that it does not lead us in any new directions at all. Theoretical Physicists usually feed off of Observations from experiments like the LHC and new strange results to expand their frontiers.
For a while now unfortunately they have been going down the Warren of String theory without any falsifiable predictions emerging. Instead people have more or less stumbled in the Anthropic principle as the new be-all and end-all. I was really hoping that there was no Higgs to be found at all OR Super symmetry to be found OR Fine structure constant Variations OR some clue abut dark matter :(
Now (if this is confirmed to the 5 sigma needed) the experimenters have to actually go looking for new stuff - a harder proposition, fraught with interpretations and Agendas.
I consider LHC as the best microscope we humans ever build. Our exploratory quest and adventure will remain ever more interesting and baffling when we start to probe in higher energy levels. This will be irrespective of whether the presence of Higgs boson is established or not. And there is no reason to think otherwise, since in the past the deeper and in finer scales we probed, strange phenomena had popped out, requiring more new theorems and scientific understanding to explain them.
I'll be slightly disappointed because there's something appealing in the possibility that the universe doesn't fit nicely into an equation.
On the other hand, that our great minds were able to see a problem, come up with a solution, test it and then say "Yes, we accurately predicted an unobservable, and yet fundamental principal of our universe" would be damn impressive.
iirc, the Standard Model is a few pages of equations. Not nicely at all.
(In fairness, we can be fairly sure that the Standard Model isn't the whole deal; it doesn't do gravity properly, for instance. And you need more than just the bare equations to explain what's going on -- though I think a lot of that is just impedance matching for the benefit of our not-very-mathematics-tolerant brains. But, still. "A few pages" isn't so bad.)
That said, you do have a good point. However, extreme complexity arising from a simple input is not that surprising--just look to the r pentomino in the game of life or the Mandelbrot set.
"A seminar will be held at CERN on 13 December at which the ATLAS and CMS experiments will present the status of their searches for the Standard Model Higgs boson. These results will be based on the analysis of considerably more data than those presented at the summer conferences, sufficient to make significant progress in the search for the Higgs boson, but not enough to make any conclusive statement on the existence or non-existence of the Higgs."
I got that from Matt Strassler's blog entry below (which is worth reading):
http://profmattstrassler.com/2011/12/07/about-those-rumors-t...
From CERN's general director: "ATLAS and CMS experiments will present the status of their searches for the Standard Model Higgs boson [...] based on the analysis of considerably more data than those presented at the Summer conferences, sufficient to make significant progress in the search for the Higgs boson, but not enough to make any conclusive statement on the existence or non-existence of the Higgs."
http://www.extremetech.com/extreme/91482-what-is-the-higgs-b...
Basically, Higgs boson particles are like paparazzi (or fans) around a celebrity (the observable matter that we already know about).
The Higgs boson particles, by affixing onto the celebrity, make their movement slower/harder -- i.e. they give the celebrity mass/substance.
That's the theory, anyway :)
Inertial mass is ubiquitous. Why does it take so much power to make the Higgs boson detectable? How _do_ you detect it?
Is the Higgs boson one of the hypotheses of Newton's famous phrase "Hypotheses non fingo."?
If so, what is the difference between detecting the Higgs boson via the presence of mass (i.e., "These particles have mass so there must be one or more Higgs boson nearby) versus detecting the Higgs boson as a separate particle?
Imagine a cocktail party of political party workers who are uniformly distributed across the floor, all talking to their nearest neighbours. The ex-Prime Minister enters and crosses the room. All of the workers in her neighbourhood are strongly attracted to her and cluster round her. As she moves she attracts the people she comes close to, while the ones she has left return to their even spacing. Because of the knot of people always clustered around her she acquires a greater mass than normal, that is she has more momentum for the same speed of movement across the room. Once moving she is hard to stop, and once stopped she is harder to get moving again because the clustering process has to be restarted.
When a drunk smelly hobo enters the room the members engage a cloaking device, so the hobo is able to accelerate to max speed immediately. The hobo has no higgs boson to attract the members, the prime minister does. The higgs field is the members, the hobo is the photons, the minister is the neutron. The LHC is finds out why the members gather around the minister.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/William_Waldegrave,_Baron_Walde...
The Prime Minister in question was, of course, Thatcher.