What Eric Schmidt actually said
julianyap.com
julianyap.com
Journalism is really in a sad state when a (deliberate?) misquote like that gets all the attention. It's nice to see that someone is actually fact-checking instead of piling on.
Like Android or not, Schmidt has been pilloried in the past 12 hours for a comment he didn't make. I'd expect that some of the more outspoken bloggers print retractions.
A misquote getting corrected in less than a day and getting noticed by a news site which is frequented by the folks who would have seen the original misquote seems pretty good to me.
IMHO I love the current state of tech press (of which Hacker New's is a big part of for my consumption). I feel its much better than it was 10 years ago.
I know they are just bloggers. But it is funny that they only want to be called 'just bloggers' when they fuck up and journalists when they want to be taken seriously.
"Real" journalists make mistakes all the time. Haven't you noticed that just about every newspaper or magazine ever printed had a "corrections" section where they corrected mistakes in previous editions / issues?
However, "fact checking departments" consist of a bunch of folks with no domain expertise, often interns, who do little more than try to find someone who can "verify" what they want to verify. In other words, they're little more than under-paid quote-checkers.
Or more to the point, people remember inaccurate stories - they don't remember the corrections.
This book has also opened my eyes to the importance of copywriting and clear communication. Each sentence you form to an audience or a customer must be reframed from the point of view of the potential listener, and not from what you think you are saying.
(Not to say that the reporter(s) weren't being negligent here, of course.)
I am a fairly beginning app developer and wanted to learn more about copywriting and communication. After reading this book I looked over my past e-mails to customers and realized that my sentences were either outright confusing or communicated that my software is buggy.
One take on the message: you must understand your audience well enough to adjust your words to the most common denominator. Otherwise, people will misunderstand your message and it will confuse or backfire.
The quote, as reported, is so wildly divergent from the actual quote, that I wonder how you can think the reporter was "negligent", as opposed to "intentionally just making shit up for the purposes of creating controversy".
This wasn't a case of one or two words out of place. I count 3 substitutions, 2 transpositions, 11 deletions, and 5 additions. In one sentence. That is not "negligence", no matter how many books written by yellow journalism apologists exist.
To me that describes actual journalism much more precisely than what most people, myself included, perceive that journalism should be.
Even the good journalists have to follow the editorial policy of their employers which is seldom unbiased.
> weth lik ON u wl ↑ that plat + mb even 1st
It doesn't make such a wide disparity excusable, but I've known enough reporters to have plenty of reason to believe it was negligence. Many reporters overestimate their ability to read their own notes later, much like programmers overestimate their ability to figure out WTF that clever bit of code is doing six months from now.
This isn't the 80s where your chicken-scratches made on the spot are the best you've got. This is an age where we have voice recorders, events are routinely recorded with easy-to-access video...
Like I said, I'm not defending any reporter from any accusation but obvious malice.
Based on his track record, I would not be surprised to see a follow-up addressing the accuracy or otherwise of the quoted words.
Consider if it had been a Job's quote. I suspect Gruber would have been more thorough.
Having said that, I think you're probably right regarding a follow-up from Gruber.
On the first point, he's conceding that Android, up until ICS, fell short. On the second point, he's saying that, whether Android suddenly sparks developer interest or not, it's gonna be on so many devices that developers won't be able to say no (to the fame and fortune). I can't say whether he'll be correct, but I think he could be. It's an honest, if not direct, answer to the question asked -- and doesn't come across as a threat.
http://daringfireball.net/linked/2011/12/07/schmidt
However, I agree; given Gruber's track record I expect him to post a correction soon.
Anyway, Schmidt enumerated some differences: - he thinks the software (ICS) has caught up to iOS - Google has made it a core objective to get all the hardware vendors on ICS - the Android Market has improved and now offers carrier billing - volume favors Android
I don't know if he's right, but it's certainly a reasonable argument and not at all threatening or arrogant.
To me, Marco reads something nefarious or coercive into the "whether you like it or not" phrase which I don't think was intended.
I don't see any disruptive forces to have emerged those 3.5 years. The iPhone retains the lion's share of smartphone profits, and still is where the lion's share of mobile app profits are made. Trending upwards. Android expanded mostly in the low margin, bottom of the barrel, market category, and that's why they have a problem with apps.
Do you see anything TODAY that would challenge that in 6 months, or do you believe that something will magically emerge in, say, 3 months to do it?
All this "rapid pace" of the last 3.5 years is because a reaction to the iPhone, not something inherent in the industry.
The 10 years preceding the iPhone the smartphone industry was boring, with very slow evolution, and marginal differences between models. I know because I was there, using some monstrosities of the era (by Nokia, Sony, etc) and hoping someone would come and build a better f&%^n phone.
I've long wondered if there shouldn't be a better way of handling updating / correcting news items. Especially in newspapers, the wrong headline was largely visible on the front, while the corrected information comes one week later in a small box somewhere in the middle (if it comes).
Like I say here: http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=3329327
I think this is by design.
Thanks for the correction.
There is a bit of jumping to conclusions here.
Given that Schmidt was talking about ICS rather than Android in general and the proportion of Android devices not intended to facilitate OS upgrades, the market for ICS specific applications may not be so well established as to make the author's conclusion the slam dunk as which it is presented.
In other words, Android's existing market share is predominately running pre ICS versions and ICS only fragments it further.
http://developer.android.com/resources/dashboard/platform-ve...
85% of the market is on either 2.2 or 2.3. Those are the two most recent phone versions in general distribution. I'd expect that in about 1 year, 85% will be on 4.x or 2.3.
New versions don't really make it worse, and new hardware standards often do make things better.
In addition, Android faces increased competition in the form of Windows Phone 7 which is offered as an iOS alternative at similar price points and with quite possibly a higher level of brand recognition among consumers.
Keep in mind that what I am making out to be bad is the author's logic, not Google's mobile OS though I do believe its market share is very vulnerable.
Iirc, Froyo took 8 months, and Gingerbread 12 months (just recently) to reach a 50% penetration of Android devices.
One thing that has changed about the relationship between Google and the hardware vendors is that Google now has it as a core objective to get the vendors onto the latest platform. In the past, I don't think that it was a high priority on Google's part.
I think almost all major (Honeycomb) tablets are slated for ICS, many of the most popular phones including the SGS2, Nexus S, and others are slated for ICS. Also, Gingerbread has gotten 50% within a year of release. Plus, many pre-2.2 devices are eligible for upgrade around now. I don't think it's a stretch to suggest soon ICS will have a strong market presence, and within a year ICS+ will be on the majority of devices.
edit: ICS+ means ICS and any versions released after it, not the version after ICS.
Furthermore, I do not think it is desirable for Google (or Apple) to own a majority of the market.