Five billion phones to be thrown away in 2022?
bbc.com
bbc.com
It does say the estimate was given by "the international waste electrical and electronic equipment (WEEE) forum" - perhaps someone has an institutional interest in that number being high.
Hard to believe.
https://www.zippia.com/advice/us-smartphone-industry-statist...
I don't know of any person who retires one phone every year.
Also, a lot of phones get second life, being usually passed within families or sold used.
People seem to confuse the cost of something new with the harm in throwing it away -- they get upset about $250 AirPods not getting recycled, while they don't give a second thought to throwing away a couple pairs of $1 AAA batteries, when it's about the same level of landfill impact.
Or in this case, they think there's something wrong with throwing away a 5 oz (140 g) cell phone, but don't feel particularly bad when they finally dispose of an old 50 lb (22 kg) air conditioner -- or a 3,000 lb (1,360 kg) car. (Using these numbers, one car is the same mass of material as almost 10,000 phones.)
Putting it into perspective, cell phones are nothing. There's more glass used to make a jar of peanut butter, and you throw away more plastic after a family-sized Chinese takeout meal.
And yes if there are precious metals inside that can be recovered, then let's recover those -- but only if it's economical. Because that's a pure question of economics. We don't need to be "virtuous" -- if markets really think the metal is going to be that valuable because we're going to run out, then they will pay you accordingly handsomely for your old broken phones. But it doesn't seem like we've reached that point yet, because nobody's paying anything.
Phones are moving to "chip scale" components: resistors, inductors, capacitors less than 0.25mm in size. And the chips themselves are getting smaller and smaller. The quantity of "hazardous" stuff outside of the battery is plummeting.
Making the battery removable and replaceable and having fully-reticulated battery collection networks would be nice.
On cost, though: there is the concept of "embodied energy". The AirPods cost $250 while the peanut butter jar costs less than $1, in part because a lot of energy is used to make the small components in the AirPods. (Not corresponding to the price difference, of course, but more energy.) Lots more steps in the production chain of AirPods, each with their own energy losses.
So buying new AirPods does have a bigger environmental impact than buying a peanut butter jar.
> you throw away more plastic after a family-sized Chinese takeout meal.
Flying from one side of the country to the other and back uses more carbon than several years' worth of Chinese takeout containers.
A jar is a mostly once off cost, you build the jar making machine and it works until it breaks. While AirPods are under constant innovation. So the initial cost has to be repaid fast.
I wouldn’t know where to begin with research and engineering, since all their products benefit from audio research and testing, iCloud, device inter-connectivity, etc. AirPods wouldn’t be any good without years of prior work on iOS. But they reportedly assign development costs roughly equal to manufacturing costs, which would put them at $60 and $100 of margin. This would make them contribute more to Apple’s target margin than the average product. This value is possible because of the state of the market, for whatever reason.
I want to push back on that because the no name brands are cost cutting by just repackaging cheap off the shelf bluetooth boards, speakers, and batteries. They do make for a perfecty serviceable pair of earbuds but they aren’t what you should be price comparing to which is other manufacturers making actual comparable products from Sony, Google, Bose, Beats, Samsung which range from $100-300 but mostly hover around $200. Go with a 50% markup from wholesale to retail and you’re looking at probably $100-120 real manufacturing cost.
Apple also negotiates better margins on wholesale than 50%. They wouldn’t make much money on $170 AirPods otherwise assigning $60-70 research and manufacturing cost, let alone $100.
If you add the cost of the tooling and manufacturing line, and NRE costs, maybe $25 a pair.
going on your estimate of 140g, 5 billion phones is 700,000 metric tonnes. that is an insane amount of waste, and not to be sniffed at
besides this, phones are also massively more complex than a glass jar, and much more often replaced than a car or air conditioner
there are genuine malevolent economic factors at play here. these companies want you to get a new phone and throw away your old one, so they can extract more wealth from you. and they have admitted to acting in ways that encourage this
As to lifespan, in a lifetime I might have say 20 cellphones and 4 cars but that’s nowhere close to being equivalent waste or environmental impact.
this isn’t the issue of where to dispose these phones, it’s the issue of where the materials are coming from in the first place, and how allowing unfettered market forces to roam free (the most blatant illustration being planned obsolescence) creates huge externalities, nicely encapsulated by the example of 5 billion phones being thrown out in a year
Also batteries are a lot more complicated than you suggest. Just consider all the different chemicals used to create a logo on the side.
The ideal model is actually car lead acid batteries which have very close to 100% recycling rate in the US. Granted people more often lose their phones than their cars but it still shows what’s possible.
If so then 2.5 billion tons is worth some attention, in addition to other ecological challenges.
But quick googling reveals an iPhone contains 0.034 g of gold. Another stat says one ounce of gold requires 100,000 oz of ore, so the 0.034 g of gold would require 3.4 kg of ore. Nowhere even remotely close to half a ton. I can't find similar stats for e.g. palladium ore used to extract palladium, but remember that the amounts of precious metals in phones are truly tiny.
The news reports I'm finding about "cell phones" and "tons" refer to water -- one report says 13 tons of water per phone. While a pair of leather boots is 25 tons of water, for comparison. But water is recyclable, and it doesn't seem like a concern particularly specific to electronics.
Some places have so much water that they just let it run into the sea.
Almost no water is "lost", except when growing food, when a small percentage of the water used is shipped away within the food.
You can use this logic to justify just about anything, because 5 billion multiplied by anything is going to get a huge number.
The estimates I have seen for number of new phones sold each year is around 1.5B. I would not expect more phones thrown away than are manufactured. https://www.zippia.com/advice/us-smartphone-industry-statist...
I just posted an "Ask HN" on Thursday about how to handle this, because it feels ridiculous to replace the phone at this point, but the alternative options seem to suck too. It just seems like there's so much room to improve the situation.
You're right about the economics, though. I remember filling out a form on the Best Buy website to see what they'd pay me to recycle a three year-old laptop, and it quoted me $5... So clearly whatever can be recycled from these machines isn't all that valuable.
I'm assuming this article hits the dopamine because everyone has a phone, and it's a very personal item and everyone upgrades / replaces them eventually. A window A/C on the other hand, not so much.
But in this case, talking about the difference between multiple consumer goods makes sense because you are in control of all of them.
Simply not buying an oversized car does more than a lifetime of using phones for longer.
To equate the two is idiocy.
If you feel so strongly about phone waste feel free to go live in the third world as a e-waste recycler.
besides this, how many people do you know that don’t have a phone? how often on average do you think people replace their phones?
compare those answers to other tech/machinery that you may be thinking of starting with.
also, finally, the top-level comment here takes a really shallow view of how the world economy works. yes if there was a shortage of these materials, there would be an economic incentive to recycle them properly, but that doesn’t mean that the obtaining of these materials doesn’t have a huge human or environmental cost. just because you can get a material cheaply doesn’t mean there’s nothing wrong with doing it
The whole phone e-waste discussion is virtue signaling in its worst form.
It's better for me to focus on recycling my electronics than focusing on the ecological impact of the modern commercial satellites madness. Because I cannot do anything about Starlink and the likes, but I can recycle my phone.
Qualcomm has been a big culprit in this for many years now. They refuse to support their chipsets for too long, because they can reduce expenses not having to maintain them, and more importantly they make more money selling more chipsets to manufacturers.
The thing is I can make that choice but for many people the cellphones they can afford are mediatek and Qualcomm. This lack of support doesn’t truly save money it just cost shifts from a wealthy corporation to the global poor.
there ought to be a law where if hardware is bound to software, and the software goes out of support in a way that renders the hardware useless, then it must be open sourced.
notably post qualcomm pixel phones from google have five years of guaranteed updates. (pixel 6 and above)
apple seems to also do a good job of keeping up software updates for many years. (8+ for some iphones iirc)
It is getting better with companies doing this voluntarily (at least the companies that do an ok job with support) but standardized labeling and required promenance would be invaluable.
5 years of security updates. Still only 3 years of guaranteed Android version upgrades: https://support.google.com/pixelphone/answer/4457705
halted feature updates mean you got what you paid for.
In the past I've seen that argument a lot when it comes to Google's Pixel phones. But nowadays Google uses their own chips, yet a new Pixel 7 that you buy today will still only get guaranteed major Android version upgrades until 2025.
> There are an estimated 16 billion mobile phones worldwide - and in Europe, almost a third are no longer in use.
So that's 5B total, not in 2022.
Then the article goes on to conflate "hoarded at home" from "trashed".
To be clear 1.35B mobile phones shipped in 2021. That makes the problem (with a 3 year replacement) about 10x smaller than described.
https://www.cnet.com/tech/mobile/samsung-led-smartphone-ship...
If you'll take that liberty with a headline, why should I trust the rest of the reporting? There's a problem, but not what is described.
The article cites WEEE forum, but taking a look at a WEEE forum blog post on the topic [0], it says:
> Experts expect roughly 5.3 billion mobile / smartphones will drop out of use this year.
Who are these experts? Where are these numbers coming from? Maybe I'm missing it, but no one is cited for the stat.
[0] https://weee-forum.org/ws_news/of-16-billion-mobile-phones-p...
I bought a certified refurbished phone recently that works as good as new (with a new battery) but is cheaper than a new phone. Even has a new IMEI. The side effect is it's better for the environment. https://www.samsung.com/us/smartphones/certified-re-newed-ph...
Not to get too far off topic, but it sounds like this is going to be an issue with EVs too - I hope not.
Once you stop getting security updates, it’s game over even if the hardware is still usable.
I've always considered the whole "but the security!!!1" to be another form of planned-obolescence propaganda.
Thanks, but I have more important things to do.
> I've always considered the whole "but the security!!!1" to be another form of planned-obolescence propaganda.
Planned obsolesce? Of course. But why propaganda?
So you would feel safe doing your online browsing (including banking) on windows xp?
...and if you use something like Win9x, chances are the majority of malware binaries aren't even runnable either.
1. Part of the phone (e.g., the battery, charging port, or screen) stopped working, and getting it repaired either was impossible or cost as much as buying a new phone did.
2. The manufacturer stopped releasing software updates, and due to things like SafetyNet, locked bootloaders, or lack of open-source drivers, nobody else could step up to do so.
If both of those problems went away, I can see myself using the same phone for a decade or more.
The interesting part about the Tokyo 2020 Medals was that it was done through a public donation effort. All it took was less than 50,000 tons of junk devices. Now just imagine how many precious medals are wasted according to the article with 74 million tons a year!
[1] https://www.theguardian.com/sport/2019/feb/08/olympics-medal...
end-result? 2007 credit crisis, Google make more billions, almost fifty percent of small business recyclers in California go broke due to cash flow, and E-Waste volumes doubled, and doubled again. Zero traction, zero commitment, lots of Teslas. Later, Apple made some apparently superficial commitments. This is in the most "green" plus most "tech" center of the USA.
bitterly disappointing that the wealth of the tech industry sat on its hands, because product liability is a third-rail in consumer products of all kinds.. it is not in the news, it is not discussed, and meaningful legislation -- a lot like gambling -- is deeply and quietly dismantled behind closed doors.
Very few bright spots and much more waste, every year, year after year. It is not just recycling, it is a right to re-use, making designs that include user serviceable parts, and enabling some kind of consumer to industry return route.
A decade ago, it was all about what we would do with CRTs.
Five years ago, it was that the value of circuit boards was dropping and lcd mercury containing materials.
Now, it is what will happen with all these batteries and the percentage of plastics by weight of the pounds handled are going up significantly. CRT glass or mercury capacity is not an issue any more.
The stream changes rapidly, and recyclers adapt.
china has the largest and only deposit of a high number of rare earth metals on the planet within their borders, any kind of political discontention could mean being cut off from this supply. and they're invaluable for multiple layers of modern society.
if you feel this isn't a problem, just remember europe didn't feel being reliant on russian gas was a problem either and they're going to be feeling the repercussions this winter
Idk I think about minimalism eg. have only one computer vs. a few that each get used a few times. But that's the beauty of having the ability to buy things too.
Think about it, from a normal usage perspective, the iPhone gotten a LOT faster, but apart from camera improvements is the mail app really better? Or Messages? Facebook? No. In fact a lot of apps just have gotten slower.
Not to mention the slowness because of all the timeout my iPhone hits because I use Pi-hole.
I wish I could at least buy battery replacements and change it easily.
The other problem is the selling cost: whoever I will sell the smartphone to will very likely not keep it and sell it right away to someone else in need, at a higher cost. I may be alone on this but that disturbs me to the highest level and I end up keeping them in my drawers.
To power the world on PV, we need to make about 2 billion panels a year. My question was "I wonder how many cellphones are made per year?"
Also... There are no motivation to bring old phones somewhere for recycling. At least in my country only one motivation was to bring old phone to store for having ridiculous sale for new one. That is, for me, still consumerism over recycling.
With a bit of tinkering one can run a "full" Linux distribution on Android phones (although hardware acceleration is a bit wonky and definitely not plug and play) and due to the size, Wifi, 3G/4G and battery they make excellent little servers. I have an older phone running as an ARM server with a 10 buck/month sim-card with unlimited data. Unless my house burns down or it crashes it should get a fairly good uptime. Getting a dedicated server with UPS and a 4G modem would be far more expensive and worse for the environment!
Here's some links to help you get started (from my personal notes):
## Running Linux
- [Installation & Usage - udroid wiki](https://udroid-rc.gitbook.io/udroid-wiki/udroid-landing/quic...)
- [Get Started - Andronix Documentation](https://docs.andronix.app/)
- [Running Debian Linux on Android device natively | by The Quantified VC | Medium](https://medium.com/@quantvc/running-debian-on-android-device...)
- [GitHub - adi1090x/termux-desktop: Setup A Beautiful Desktop/GUI In Termux](https://github.com/adi1090x/termux-desktop)
- [Graphical Environment - Termux Wiki](https://wiki.termux.com/wiki/Graphical_Environment)
- [GitHub - RandomCoderOrg/ubuntu-on-android: Run Ubuntu with pre-installed Desktop Environments in android/termux with ease! Everything is preinstalled so just download install and done](https://github.com/RandomCoderOrg/ubuntu-on-android)
### Hardware acceleration
- [GitHub - termux/termux-x11: Termux X11 add-on application. Still in early development.](https://github.com/termux/termux-x11)
- [Termux GPU Hardware Acceleration Tutorial | Ivon's Blog](https://ivonblog.com/en-us/posts/termux-compile-mesa-driver/)
- [How to use Termux X11 - The XWayand server on Android phone | Ivon's Blog](https://ivonblog.com/en-us/posts/termux-x11/)
### Docker
- [Install Docker on Termux · GitHub](https://gist.github.com/oofnikj/e79aef095cd08756f7f26ed24435...)
- [Package request: Docker engine · Issue #60 · termux/termux-root-packages · GitHub](https://github.com/termux/termux-root-packages/issues/60)
- [This tutorial shows how to run docker natively on Android, without VMs and chroot. · GitHub](https://gist.github.com/FreddieOliveira/efe850df7ff3951cb62d...)
It's also very easy to hookup a Bluetooth controller + [cheap dock](https://aliexpress.com/item/1005003527044516.html?algo_exp_i...) (not supported on all models but Samsung, Motorola and Huawei do usually have pretty good support) and use them for emulation purposes as well.
How capable? An Samsung Galaxy S9 (from 2019) will be able to emulate the following systems:
- Gamecube (up-scaling in light games)
- PS2 (fractional (e.g 1.5x) up-scaling in light/medium games)
- PSP (up-scaling in most games)
- Dreamcast (up-scaling in most games)
- PSX (up-scaling in all games)
- N64 (up-scaling in all games)
IMHO a far better solution (both from a cost and environmental perspective) than a Playstation or SNES Mini console.
Added bonus is the lower power consumption that it's very easy to take with you if you're travelling :)
The phone, outside the battery, might contain a little bit of plastic and metal, and some glass. Seems the battery is the bulk of what one would want to recycle.
The paper straws work for many drinks but for some, like Iced Capps, they disintegrate half way through the beverage.
The frustration is that they’re making life stupider in order to harness a drop in the bucket of change. Go clean up the fishing industry’s colossal waste first.
The next time you visit a beach in Northern California and gaze at the powerful waves of the Pacific crashing into the clean, sandy beach, realize that it's an illusion. The beach is basically a garage dump. It only looks pristine because dozens of volunteers pick up hundreds of plastic straws from the beach, every weekend.
Naturally they make us domestics sacrifice before any industry needs to evolve a little.
that's because we're not allowed to actually impede wealth accumulation
These companies should skip a year rather than brag about using 20% recycled aluminum.