"The European Union, on the verge of breaking up since 1993"
That just means factual things are being reported and people don't want to confront reality.
It is actually amazing that it is still relatively in the same shape despite of all the polarization in the world.
HN has a strict bias for attacking Economist because they tend to take positions on things HN doesn't want to confront (anti-EU in this article). My honest view of this place. So you see attacking Economist rather than actually debating the talking points, quite a pattern.
[1] https://www.economist.com/leaders/2004/05/06/resign-rumsfeld
Geopolitics doesn't unfold at the pace of the 24 hour news cycle. Correct theories can play out in days, decades, or centuries. 10 years is a flash for these types of topics. Gloating that someone else was wrong on that time frame for Geopolitical events is not nearly as clever as it seems.