Musk Proposes to Proceed with Twitter Deal at $54.20 a Share
bloomberg.com
bloomberg.com
Notably this news comes just a couple of days before Musk’s deposition. Recently released documents show that Musk’s own data scientists found that 5.3 or 10% of mDAUs on the platform are bots, which is completely in line with what Twitter has disclosed. Twitter has asked for relief over Musk’s use of Signal when messages to Marc Andreessen about the deal on the platform were released, leading to speculation Musk was intentionally withholding information.
I don't understand his motivations, but if you see him as a super-depressed billionaire with ADHD it makes a _bit_ of sense.
Tesla shares dip more than 8% after third-quarter deliveries report" - https://www.cnbc.com/2022/10/03/tesla-stock-down-after-third...
That's a rather roundabout way of saying "the entire market was very significantly down yesterday". S&P500 was down, tech companies were down, almost everything was. You could write that story about any company using the premise, just swap the company ticker and the event at the end of the sentence.
The S&P opened at about 3618 yesterday (after closing Friday at a little under that), and closed at 3677. Today it opened at 3749, and remains at that level or a little higher.
Tesla closed Friday at 265, opened Monday at 243, closed Monday at 242, and opened at 252 today, before falling back to the low 240s.
All while you posted friday close for TSLA and compared it to monday open, but didn't do the friday close for SPY. If you are looking just at monday-open to monday-close (which is what you did for SPY), TSLA moved from 243 to 242. As of today, TSLA is over $246.
> The S&P opened at about 3618 yesterday (after closing Friday at a little under that)
I didn't think it was worth mentioning the numbers, because the change wasn't hugely significant for the S&P, but Friday close was 3589, Monday open was 3616; that is a rise of 0.7%.
If you're going to give up something just because someone else has a nuke, then you'll end up giving them everything you have, because they're not going to give up their nukes. They will always have power over you.
Peace between nations is only part of the picture. Peace between people and their government is another part.
We could all have world peace between nations tomorrow if every nation capitulated to Russia. But you’d have endless tension between the people and their new Russian authorities.
Now eight months later they are down to barely holding on to some fringe regions despite mobilizing the entire country, and Ukraine is taking back control of major cities daily. So I question what we all "know".
There's a lot of precedent.
Columbia professor Jeffrey Sachs said the same on Bloomberg yesterday.
Giving more and more power to individuals who clearly struggle with mental health may not be in the best interest of society.
Throw "narcissism" in there too for good measure, oh wait you did, bingo!
It couldn't be that he just thinks differently than you do, no he must have a mental illness!
- edit -
Someone flagged my reply to the person below concerning the pedo diver so I'll just drop this link here too:
https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/se-asia/idyllic-thai-provi...
https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/se-asia/idyllic-thai-provi...
In the end Elon did apologize to the guy for calling him a pedo, he probably just likes diving over there after all!
But I see... if you call people a name you must be unstable, makes sense with all the people spouting out racist this and that.
I wonder what comments you make in private that we can all use judge your mental soundness.
After reading this paragraph I cannot take anything written by you seriously. You use “pedo driver” instead of a name of the person. A person who obviously has zero connection to child exploitation and a documented record of saving lives - at the risk of his own.
Here’s another take on the story:
A mentally unstable narcissistic billionaire attempted to latch on the publicity of a tragic event by publicly suggesting a solution showing his complete misunderstanding and incompetence.
After being exposed in an interview by Vernon Unsworth, one of the people risking their lives to come up with a real solution, the malignant narcissist launched a public attack toward the rescuer, hitting as low as to accuse the rescuer in pedophilia.
When sued by the rescuer for defamation, “ Mr Musk told the court this week the phrase "pedo guy" was common in South Africa, where he grew up.”
The billionaire himself can be seen in a photo with Ghislaine Maxwell who is now in jail for child exploitation and specifically arranging forced sex with minors for the ultra rich.
https://www.vox.com/2018/7/18/17576302/elon-musk-thai-cave-r...
Elon’s contribution in this situation was beyond narcissistic and pure idiocy.
The documentary provides a lot of context - anaestesia was the last resort crazy idea - applied after a few other survivors almost drowned because of panic attacks - being moved at the fraction of the distance.
The rescue that these people pulled off is beyond anything I’ve seen. An incredible testimony of humanity’s kindness, commitment, and potential.
Also, it’s not one’s fault for having emotional and mental health issues but, crucially, it is their responsibility for addressing them.
We have been hypnotized to measure only one or two things and blinded to the rest.
Money can be made much faster in the absence of empathy and care for others.
Musk is great at underpaying engineers, pushing his workers, manipulating stocks.
I couldn’t - not because of merit but because of internal discomfort and turmoil.
“Leaders” without such internal regulatory mechanisms can get further, faster, partially because as a collaborative species we don’t have strong built-in protective mechanisms against exploitation.
Since I believe that even the "eccentric" are unconscious rational actors, to a point, I would still like to know why people don't believe his goal is to diversify away from his holdings without ruining their value. If he sold a lot of stock his companies would be doomed, unless he can justify it with a complex expenditure with unexpected problems. Then he can ditch the unwanted investment and fail to put the money back in his one basket.
The fact his risky gamble at getting the price reduced didn't work is not surprising. Whether or not he's the actual loser here is not clear, a lot of wealthy people own expensive sports teams that lose money but do it anyway because they like it.
It looks like he’s more interested in the Trump route: making his own circle.
I was referring to the fact that Trump (and Musk) were not accepted into the “Carnegie, Rockefeller, Vanderbilt, Gates, Waltons, Kochs” circle OP mentioned.
So they blazed their own way, happy to ruffle feathers and make enemies along the way.
I'm not sure why people keep on forgetting it: He ran in 2012 and lost very, very badly. To the point almost no one cared and remember that.
> https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Political_career_of_Donald_Tru...
So, he "unofficially" campaigned and did not get much interest
He doesn't want to fight employees to re-instate "the boss". But he was only "permanently suspended", after all.
I can't believe Elon Musk will actually get to own twitter. That's pretty messed up.
Either way, I don't care what happens and it is best to watch the two fraudsters fight over a sinking ship and watch the whole chaos from a distance.
first they assure him that they can make him walk out of the deal.
he pays them.
then they assure him that their angry letters to twitter will suffice.
he pays them.
then they assure him that he has good chances of winning the lawsuit.
he pays them.
this racket probably ended this morning when Zuckerberg texted musk saying "yo bro forget it my cousin jim got sued and lost so yeah just bite the bullet bro"
After 3 seconds of reflection, musk decided to follow Zuckerberg's rigorous and sophisticated legal advice, because that's how he makes important decisions worth $40 billion
A fool and his money are soon parted, lawyers know this very well.
It's basically nothing to him.
He just can't help himself. It's going to be a $44 billion bonfire.
He claimed he had been coding for 20 years but it was painfully obvious he was clueless and was just dropping buzzwords. Ridiculous.
He knows nothing about tech.
[1] https://mobile.twitter.com/chancery_daily/status/15755861217...
John Carmack: "Elon is definitely an engineer. He is deeply involved with technical decisions at spacex and Tesla. He doesn’t write code or do CAD today, but he is perfectly capable of doing so."
In addition - zero understanding of free speech vs. moderation. Anyone who runs a discussion open to the public knows that moderation is the first thing you do, unless you want to be dealing with racist vile, threats, and a flood of porn.
He doesn't need to do anything to turn it into a bad product - its already cesspool.
Real question is will he be able to make it better?
This is a very expensive hobby project for a billionaire that’s going to fail.
Just my view and I would love to be proven wrong
I am having a hard time imagining a clear direction.
I can't see almost anything Twitter has done in the last decade as being "better". Off the top of my head:
* Killing off tons of client by their changes to the API
* Switching to algorithmic timeline instead of chronological
* Infesting my timeline with "X like this post", "You might also like", and a ton of ads
* Horrible UI for viewing threads even though it's now better supported (ability to tweet a whole thread from the official UI)
* Podcasts‽‽‽‽‽‽‽‽
* Twitter Blue, I still have no clue who uses this or why
* Moments or Topics (or whatever that one tab in the official app is)
* Their clone of that "podcasts but worse" service that I've already forgotten about. (Spaces! I had to go look it up)
Other than increasing the character limit (ok, there was 1 thing) there isn't a single thing they've done recently (or over the last decade) that I can point to and say "That made Twitter better!". It to the point that you have to be sadist to use their official clients, every time I open the website or the official client I get frustrated.
Now if you just care about stockholders then sure, shoving a ton of ads in your feed and filling your feed with people you don't follow or care about probably makes sense, in the short term, because that's all stockholders care about.
And by hiring @Dang or a clone of him to make the most visible judgement calls, like what to do in the Hunter Biden scenario or whether to ban a sitting president for lying, for instance.
Why go back so far? As of four days ago all you need to get ban hammered on Twitter is win an election: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=33038614
Musk does at least see it could be better. I'm not convinced he can get it right, but it's better than the stagnant place the company has been in for years.
He plans to fix Twitter by having people pay with Doge for each tweet.
I haven't seen the texts but it seems very likely that this language is too strong. "He has proposed ..." is probably a more reasonable way to put it. I would say that it would be batshit but it's probably not a batshit plan, and I do not think the distinction is trivial.
I don't think any of us know whats really going on. We are all just speculating. I'm shocked at how prejudice some of the comments in here are.
First they were pissed he wanted to buy Twitter and did everything they could to stop it, including taking the poison pill.
Then they were pissed he didn't want to buy Twitter and tried forcing him to buy it.
Now both sides are aligned. He wants to buy it and now they want him to buy it too.
How on earth does it fit, Twitter weren't trying to get out of the deal, he was. Yet actually it's a great conspiracy of his because really he's the one who wanted the deal??
Initially the Twitter board didn't want him to buy twitter, but he made a big offer and they were forced to take it. He had already "won" by then. If anything all this stuff since has damaged the value of twitter, which he now owns.
1. https://www.cnn.com/2022/09/13/tech/twitter-elon-musk-deal-s...
Also, you wonder if all of Musk's backers, debt holders, whatever are really still 100% on board. It's been months and people lose patience when so much money is in limbo.
Back in April the NYT wrote that regulators were unlikely to hold it up. That opinion seems naïve to me given the politics.
>> "In a true only-at-Twitter moment, the Musk news dropped as employees were 45 minutes into a three-hour meeting to plan their 2023 strategy"
Reverse the positions and imagine Twitter is the loser here and has to pay a billion dollars and legal fees to Elon. Do the shareholders each have to send in a check for the amount? Of course not; Twitter would pay it out of their corporate assets. Their stock price might go down because of the event, but the core idea for corporations is that shareholders are not liable for the corporation’s debts/liabilities and, conversely, shareholders have no general claim to the company’s assets (or rather they have the lowest priority claim after all other stakeholders).
Do shareholders generally have liability or claims to the entity (beyond things like duty and other shareholder legal protections), no. Are their mechanisms to disperse to shareholders? ffs yes.
And if twitter was the loser here, and had to pay 1 billion (which I actually believe is not in the contract from what I read the 1 billion was a directed clause for a misacting buyer) then no the shareholders would not have to pay out of pocket. However, the 1 billion dollar loss would impact the books and probably hit the shareholders with stock pricing outcomes.
I hope they at least make him put the money into escrow this time before he changes his mind again.
Cf. "Fifty-four forty or fight!", a slogan demanding that England give up a bunch of Pacific Northwest territory to the US that it in any case had never owned, the land having been already occupied for thousands of years.
The US response to locals' assertions of sovereignty was to move in and burn down their houses and literally all of the food they had saved for winter.
That's a very shallow interpretation, as England had laid claim to the land in 1818.