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The point isn't that zero people will be writing software, the point is that the few people left will not accomplish a fraction of what's currently being done.

If there were no copyright for film, you'd still have films being made for various reasons (hobbyists, educational, propaganda, vanity, advertising, etc.) but there's no way you'd see stuff like Avatar get financed.

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Maybe we don't need stuff like Avatar.

Obviously film as a medium is an art form and not everyone values it the same (or at all).

Reasonable analogies do have limits that it pays not to overextend them. Software itself has more direct and inarguable benefits then film: the software equivalents of Avatar save lives in our world and many of them wouldn't exist in RMS's utopia.

What software is that?

I'm not sure what you were referring to, but to be fair, the software equivalents of Avatar are big blockbuster video games. Like Call of Duty, Gears of War, Skyrim... They're awfully similar to big, blockbuster computer animated films.

Ultimately I think this is just a bad analogy.

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