> It's not that simple.
I agree that it isn't that simple. If it were, it would have been settled decades ago.
> The framing is identical.
Firstly, that isn't what framing means (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Framing_(visual_arts)), and in this case the framing isn't the same, it's radically different.
Secondly, assuming it were, then what?
There are maybe 25 or so elements of a photo that make a photo unique (framing, composition, lighting, color, grain, etc).
Arguing that because one of them (framing) is matched in a painting means that the entire painting needs to license the original doesn't make any sense to me.
The only similarity is that the subject is copied very closely, but that element of the photo doesn't belong to the photographer anyway.
The only identical bits between the two images is the single thing that isn't owned by either party.
When it comes to courts examining copyright infringement (which this would be), they tend to do so very objectively: Each element is examined in isolation, and if there are many identical elements, only then does it make sense to examine the image as a whole.
In this case, when it finally gets to trial (if it already hasn't done so), the defense lawyer is going to systematically go through every single element that makes up a photo, and compare that element (hue, for example) to the alleged infringement.
The other party is going to stick to the argument that the article presented, namely that it was used as a basis for the painting.