Nope. Huge products will be fine as long as they stay huge.

Google doesn't support new products enough to become huge and don't seem to have a cohesive plan to support a range of products in the long term.

I'm probably someone who could have benefited from Stadia but I feel like they never marketed to me in a way that even got me to try it. And the fear that this was just another experiment by Google didn't have me seeking it out on my own especially for the up front costs.

For GMail? yes.

For YouTube I think it would be something like it will slowly turn into CNGooGSNBC and be heavily editorialized where you need to work with an AI assisted nebulous entity for weeks before you can upload content.

Nope because both are extensions of ads. Both are bought and managed within google ads manager. Basically a product lasts at google ifnm it can reach ad placement scale. Docs is useful for it's data and to help personalization of ads so it stays. Most of the tool shutdowns couldn't have ads or didn't assist ads effectiveness.

Not unless the products start failing or human population grows 10x and they don’t keep up relative to other Google products. Google takes products seriously when they have huge user counts and huge user counts relative to their competition. Their problem is their inability to seriously commit to growing valuable new products to that size.

youtube is backed by ads. Google has issues making anything that is not ad based.

If Gmail goes, most people on earth will be locked out of their online accounts

In 1997, I'm not sure anyone could imagine an Internet without GeoCities.

100%. Not sure which will go first but my guess is youtube will fold into another product. Gmail will start breaking and be sunsetted. It would not surprise me to see search sunsetted.

Only if they stop paying in to the ad machine

Of the two I'd bet on gmail being the dead man walking. They should full circle it and announce on an April 1st

Those are part of the core ad business. I could see anything that isn't an ad driver being shut down. Eg. GCP or Google docs

Obligatory: https://xkcd.com/1361/

There are 2 classes of product that I don't see them shutting down.

1. Those that make lots of money, e.g. search, youtube, maps. Unless that changes of course.

2. Those that are heavily used internally at Google, e.g. gmail, docs, calendar. They are always going to want those as internal tools. I guess they could make them internal only, but how much more work is it to maintain the public version too given it already exists?

Yes.