Growing indifference to relationships and sex in Japan
nippon.com
nippon.com
I wasn't over there until university, but I think it might be even worse for the younger kids. Everyone is in everyone else's business and no one wants to be the object of gossip or ridicule.
It's honestly a wonder that Japanese society even manages the 1.3 children per family it currently does.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phytoestrogen are the most common which comes from soy primarily. Soy sauce, tofu, miso. All popular in japan.
Virtually nothing plastic is BPA free: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bisphenol_A
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Endosulfan on many vegetables and fruits you eat. Be sure to wash off your fruits.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atrazine used in all kinds of applications all over the world.
What would it look like if we effectively were giving society a large dose of hormone replacement therapy all the time?
Anecdotally, in my own broader social group, of 15 or so people there are 3 relationships that exist. Far more (myself included) have never had a relationship (about 8).
Over half of American teens have had sex by 18, compared to under 20% in Japan. I've seen nothing to suggest that that is going to change dramatically.
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/pressroom/nchs_press_releases/2017/...
The cure is to stop educating people. There is a proven causal link between education and birth rates. It turns out that when people are both smarter and have more opportunity available to them, they are more likely to choose life paths other than staying home and raising kids.
Or, take a different view like me. I don't think declining birth rates are a problem, I think continuing to hinge our economy on continual unsustainable exponential growth is.
Its demoralizing to be cheated on and be blamed for all the ills.
It feels bad when Twitter users post kill all men.
The liberal paradigm is to attribute this to financially squeezed young people who cannot buy homes and start families. I'm sure this does have some effect, but clearly it's a severely lacking explanation as people who are poorer and have gone through extreme hardship prioritize family and having children far more regardless of their financial status.
There seems to be something much more fundamental happening to civilizations around the world where it is annihilating itself peacefully. This must become the primary objective of countries around the world to figure out. Immigration will buys you time, but it won't solve the problem.
Silent Gen and Boomers lived in an unusual boom time that hasn't existed before or since. America was the world's factory and everyone else was out of commission. We had it all, and that'll never happen again. Now we're reverting to the mean, and it'll be okay. We still have great wealth.
Just look to the developing nation algorithm. Our wealth is being spent on bringing up other economies (giving us cheap stuff in exchange). That's not a bad thing.
People aren't having sex (or children) because of Internet, TV, porn, social media, modern work habits, etc. You can't unplug from it.
Furthermore, raising kids used to give you an extra farmhand or house cleaner. Now it gives you an expensive equivalent of a dog. Plenty of folks don't want the trouble.
There are ways to tweak the balance a bit, almost all of which have to do with finding efficiencies that reduce administrative costs- replacing in person visits with doctors with video calls to nurses, moving manual-process-intensive paperwork to less-manual-intensive electronic billing, that sort of thing.
Unfortunately, there's only just so much you can do when a greater percentage of the population is drawing on benefits and not working than there are people working and paying taxes. If the balance swings too far, something has to give- rationing access by adjusting age limits, declining certain types of care, reducing benefits, that sort of thing.
Russia and Japan are among the countries facing a much more catastrophic demographics "time bomb".
---
(148) Year 0: 4 sixties, 11 forties, 33 twenties, 100 newborns <=== last year of 6 fertility rate, ~3:1 youth:elder generation ratio
(194) Year 20: 11 sixties, 33 forties, 100 twenties, 50 newborns <=== start of 1 fertility rate
(208) Year 40: 33 sixties, 100 forties, 50 twenties, 25 newborns
(187) Year 60: 100 sixties, 50 forties, 25 twenties, 12 newborns <==== last high fertility elder dies, start of new 1:2 youth:elder generation ratio
(93) Year 80: 50 sixties, 25 forties, 12 twenties, 6 newborns
(46) Year 100: 25 sixties, 12 forties, 6 twenties, 3 newborns
(23) Year 120: 12 sixties, 6 forties, 3 twenties, 1 newborn
---
In spite of having an extinction level fertility rate, everything just seems perfectly peachy at first. The initial population is even seeing some very healthy increases over decades. As the high fertility group starts to die the growth sputters, but it seems less than catastrophic. But then when the generation that's failed to replace itself starts dying, it's like a bomb goes off. Suddenly the population is getting chopped in half every 20 years to say nothing of a large elder population now being supported by a smaller than ever youth population.
In South Korea (and most of the world, including the US) the key initial inflection is between 1960 and 1980 where they went from greater than 6, to less than 2 fertility, which is now less than 1. So their 'great dying' event will start sometime around 2060. So far away, yet also so predictable - and with 0 doubt of its certainty unless something changes dramatically now. And that seems unlikely.
I think that's possibly attributable to people in lower socioeconomic conditions reacting to economic pressures in different ways from those in the middle class. Meaning, those from middle class, white collar professional, college-educated families are more driven to try to preserve the status and conditions they already have, and would optimize decisions based on that. So rather than risk financial hardship and becoming working class, they choose to optimize for education, career, financial stability, and delay starting families.
And then just ask.
Don't ask them if they want to pursue your expectations. Ask them what they want.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marriage_in_Japan#Marriage_and...
It's also only asking women who already have one or more children.
It tells us nothing about why so many people are not having sex.
Yep, nailed it. It's an expectations/reality gap for the developed world. Any of these people can physically have children, raise them in their financially hobbled state, and still provide more comfort on average than the majority of the families in the developing world. The difference is that in the developed world people are delaying or canceling their plans because their expectations of what parenthood should look like is radically different from what they believe they can afford.
Maybe you won't be able to send your kids to private school, or pay for their full ride to private university, or the best daycare, or live in the perfect house you grew up thinking you deserved. But you can afford to have a family. You just can't afford to do it with all of your requirements.
If you're female and want to pursue a career, you can now do that and wait until later in life to have a family. Wasn't long ago where that choice was binary.
Yes, and as I mention upthread, to drop those requirements is essentially telling middle class youth that they have to accept a regression in living standards compared to their parents', which runs counter to the messaging they were raised on. Not only parental/cultural expectations but the developed world middle class suburban ethos of "work hard and you'll live a good life", the whole post-Cold War End of History that humanity was supposedly marching towards.
Humanity will be fine.
https://www.ipss.go.jp/ps-doukou/e/doukou16/Nfs16_gaiyoEng.h...
My prediction is that you'll get some "OMG DON'T!" responses, and a lot of "where NOT to," which does not answer the actual question. For there to be relationships and/or sex, somebody has to make the approach, and that means a location in spacetime, a where and a when.
The workplace, previously one of the largest places where this occurred, has been ruled out, which is a bit troublesome given that most people spend a rather large percentage of their time there. Oh, we kinda stopped going to church, so that is out. Bowling alone ... uh ... then maybe you ask about the library and someone will say "I'm just there to study" or a bar and it becomes "I'm just there to hang out with my friends." Always in the negative.
Where are these approaches to take place? Have we collectively decided to hand this over to match.com, Tinder, Grindr, whatever, and now it is all online?
If relationships and sex were food and water, there's chunk of people who would expect you to politely starve to death and not make a lot of noise about it.
https://www.reddit.com/r/socialskills/comments/vw4cw1/places...
https://www.reddit.com/r/dating/comments/t4il6w/what_are_the...
https://www.reddit.com/r/AskReddit/comments/jtii14/women_of_...
https://www.reddit.com/r/dating_advice/comments/ipdr0k/is_th...
https://www.reddit.com/r/AskWomen/comments/sn08h/ladies_when...
https://www.reddit.com/r/dating/comments/v1nqha/should_men_s...
On a personal note I have 3 sisters and I've always heard from them (and their friends) that a lot of women actually disappointed that men doesn't approach them irl. It's a 2 way game for sure but generally men expected to take the first step for sure.
But on the other hand there is also a social pressure to "not fuck up", everything is online nowadays and pretty much kept forever. No one wants to be labeled as a creep or such. So a lot of men just choose to not play the game, why risk to lose when you barely have any chance to win at all?
I did meetup.com for a few years, and the non-tech groups I joined were basically all 20-something single guys and 40-plus divorced women. Looking back it’s no surprise I gave up on it.
I had the best time joining something that was like a Rotary Club but they let in anyone who was willing to pay dues. I guess joining something with long term projects and monthly board meetings provides at least some slight potential to get to know someone who happens to be single.
Fitness classes aren’t really set up to be social, everyone shows up right before it starts, does their 30-40 minutes of exercise with loud music playing, then everyone goes home.
Probably better to join a coed sports league with a group of your friends.
Sure, but I don't see how yoga or kickboxing is much different.
I've known at least one marriage met through coed sports. Agreed that's an activity with more interaction.
You can still ask people out at bars or even grocery stores, etc. The key is to strike up a conversation and not be so intent on asking someone out. If there's some chemistry, then maybe you ask them out. If you get rejected, take it in stride.
If you go in with the singular goal of getting a date or hooking up, there's a good chance that you'll come across as desperate and end up disappointed, but if you go in thinking about having fun and making friends, that can open new doors.
https://ask.metafilter.com/357569/Beyond-dating-apps-how-to-...
https://ask.metafilter.com/355041/Mid-30s-app-dating-post-CO...
https://ask.metafilter.com/305919/I-dont-think-that-online-d...
Historically, romantic relationships didn't rely on these cold approaches because a lot of people met their partners by introduction and/or through the romantic relationship evolving from acquaintance/friendship.
This is just absolutely astounding to me. HALF of all 18-19 year olds have NEVER been in a relationship?! Are norms around what constitutes a 'relationship' different in Japan than the US? Because that figure seems shockingly high.
The people responsible for it, of course, see themselves as victims, and cry to anyone who will listen about how unfair the world is to them.
You're parading a collection of nonsense just-so-stories dressed up in a lab coat, and the beauty of them is that you can cherry-pick whatever narrative fits your pre-conceptions. That is, of course, also why they are utter rubbish, and not worth the paper they are printed on.
Are you saying something that isn't built on a quicksand of naturalistic fallacies? What exactly is it?
> but we shouldn't clutch our pearls when a boss dates a secretary
Right, because quid-pro-quo relationships, or even the appearance of quid-pro-quo relationships are fantastic for the workplace! Isn't it great for everyone else to see Sally get a raise after she starts fucking the boss? There's no conflict of interest, potential for abuse of power, or problem for anyone else involved!
Are there any other naturalistic practices we should normalize again in the workplace? Maybe kickbacks and bribes? Do we need a few just-so-stories to justify these practices, or can we forego that exercise in creative writing, and skip straight to the conclusions I want?
You want to have a sexual relationship with your report? There's a very simple, professional, solution for you, which is to do as you advise - 'prioritize family over work', and have one of you move jobs so that you aren't ruining it for everyone else. There are more people in society than the two of you, and they are negatively affected by quid-pro-quo behaviour, or the appearance of quid-pro-quo behaviour.
Boss A dumps his menopausal spouse and dates a young secretary. An evolutionary psychiatrist says "He evolved to do that! Dating a younger woman increases his reproductive opportunity."
Meanwhile, Boss B stays faithful to his wife. An Evolutionary psychiatrist says "he evolved to do that! Women increase their reproductive success by looking for mates that are monogomous, because monogomous mates will stick around and keep their children safe, so men evolved to exhibit monogomy so as to be chosen by women for reproductive opportunities"
Boss C would rather not date and has no kids. Evolutionary psychiatrist "He evolved to do this! Or rather specifically, he evolved to run around in the evolutionary environment prowling for mates, so since he's not in that environment but a modern city it's not surprising he doesn't want kids or sex, his genes were only selected to date and mate in the evolutionary environment."
So basically these explanations are about as scientific as saying "God did it" over and over, since there is no way to prove or disprove them as the claims is tailored to any conceivable fact pattern.
So people should be wary of the line of reasoning you presented in your post, since whatever it is it isn't scientific.
Also am I to understand that you will be conducting an experiment as to whether or not we should clutch our pearls when a boss dates a secretary? And you have little evidence in support of this notion at the present time, you were proposing it to begin your investigation?
As for people having no trouble reproducing, well... lots of people had lots of trouble reproducing. Evolution doesn't work if everyone reproduces. There pretty much has to be a whole lot of people not reproducing for natural selection to "select" the ones who will be reproducing.
I think you really mean people in recent years had no trouble reproducing but I'm being pendantic and just wanted to push back a little on the idea we should expect everyone to reproduce.
I already gave you one evolutionary psychiatrist's vague proposal for why we should have trouble reproducing: we no longer live in the evolutionary environment, so it wouldn't be unexpected to see us not acting like our ancestors.
It's vague enough that it isn't obviously wrong, or obviously made up by someone trying to sell you something.
While "we shouldn't clutch our pearls when a boss dates a secretary" sounds suspiciously like what someone would say who is trying to sell us something
I don't believe you have such a motivation, but I recall watching a lecture where the professor was saying how all the old evolutionary psychiatrist professors were divorcing their wives to hook up with young women half their age. They were clearly inventing a justification for their behavior, or drawn to that field because of their personal oddities.
I bet you didn't know 70% of marriages in japan used to be arranged marriages. Now much less than 10% are.
Really demonstrates how "normal male sexuality" is culturally bound, not whatever you are picturing.
Wouldn’t there be social pressure just as strong or stronger to be married/in a relationship?
1. Does this survey include or correct for homosexuals?
2. How correct is it to say there is a "growing indifference" when the levels seem to mostly be approaching their value in the 1980s-90s?
Thankfully, a lot of the data in the article is explicitly about "sexual experience". Even so, there is still the loaded question, "Do you want a relationship?" That's just too vague. How can we learn what people's goals are if we aren't willing to ask?
All we know boils down to two data points: fewer people are pursuing traditional marriage, and fewer people are having sex.
That's not enough to answer the interesting questions. We can't learn what obstacles people have if we don't know their goals.
Romance itself is not sex, nor sex romance. Just because that's historically been a very popular and socially accepted method does not mean it is today.
The entire purpose of doing studies like this is to learn something new. The more assumptions we make, the fewer opportunities we have to learn.
Relationships are important on a micro scale. Fertility is absolutely critical on a macro scale.
The data in this article asks people if they have had sex, then in an effort to figure out why not, asks if they want a relationship.
Place it in context of the culture. One that hammers the importance of family and community. Where every year, without fail, on Christmas Eve and Valentine's, tons of individuals lament being alone or being asked by parents when their child will find someone.
The goals are pretty on the nose. Of course, you're more likely to find them in the far less academic women's magazines and whatever manga incorporates romantically.
There are more reasons to have sex than making babies. There are more reasons to get married than sex.
The average person's relationship goals may be shifting drastically away from conservative marriage. We would be wise to accommodate that possibility in our data collecting methods.
So the data is definitely ambiguous. That's my entire point.
On top of that, my complaint is directed much more broadly than this article. As I mentioned before, this particular article did provide some data explicitly about sexual relationships. That's really great. Most studies don't.
Personally I find people who don’t read the (short) article and go on a long strawman rant more problematic than what you complain about.
2. The article was taking about some specific data points and some vague data points. The ambiguity I am referring to is in the data provided by a vague question's answers. Asking if people want to be in a relationship does not tell us clearly and unambiguously what kind of relationship they are interested in.
3. The article is treated as a topic for discussion here. I'm allowed to expand discussion to other closely related information. Taking about a general trend that applies to all relationship studies, when the topic is a relationship study, is not a strawman or way off topic. You are just gatekeeping conversation.
I am someone who in my mid 20s has never had a relationship. Not worth the effort to me.
And on top of that, a lot of problems that were before solved by having a partner (something breaking, don't know how to cook, just lonely and want to chat, etc) now can be solved by various businesses and services.
I think that it's possible that for some people classical relationships aren't as optimal anymore.
For one thing, there's the validation that someone is interested in having sex with you in the first place.
Your line of questioning is not useful and is perhaps okay to use on 5year old child to eat broccoli.
I can use same argument you make for drugs or mass murders or anything else .
the rational way to evaluate an activity is the perceived value , effort needed and our desire to do it.
There could be informed discussion on why the perceived value is so low or natural desire is not strong, but arguing try it once is not helpful.
Why not? If you want to get a better idea of how much you'd value an experience, doing it seems like a pretty good idea, and this certainly falls more towards the eating broccoli end of the spectrum of moral reprehensibility and likelihood of ruining your life than taking up recreational murder or heroin.
As another poster points out, there is an example with flouride (though I am no anti-flouridist). Other examples might be widespread use of BPA and PFAS. Air-pollution might be another example of something that could effect much of a population (though it's not in the food chain).
I'm not a conspiracy theorist, and until we have strong scientific evidence I won't claim that there are population-wide effects.
But saying it's "impossible" is wrong.
edit: Okay, now it's on page one. xD