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It’s a deeply unsatisfactory situation, because on one side we expect evidence for such a serious accusation, and on the other side we know such evidence is all but impossible to gather retrospectively.

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I believe the takeaway is exactly that. We are in a situation where we can’t know for certain. We can’t go back in time and learn if there was cheating going on. But we can go forward and increase security so the next time we are more likely to be confident about if cheating happened or not. And that is what Carlsen is asking for.

Magnus can't even say he KNOWS he cheated. He only says he SUSPECTS he cheated. That's all he can say.

No, that's all he has said thus far. You don't have the faintest idea what he "can say". In fact, Magnus hints that he has more to say, if GM Cheatboy gives him permission to do so without threat of a lawsuit.

I imagine Magnus is telling the truth about that.

Exactly, and if he really wants to, he'll just give Magnus permission to say what he needs to say and they can discuss the matter transparently.

I mean, he is the greatest player in history, he definitely can feel if something is odd, it's not the first match he loses.

Bobby Fischer was one of the greatest players in history, and he was EXTREMELY paranoid.

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