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> Am I missing anything?

Bitcoin transactions that use CoinJoin (e.g. Wasabi Wallet). https://en.bitcoinwiki.org/wiki/CoinJoin

It's been a couple of years, but I thought Chainalysis said they could break CoinJoin.

A 2020 Europol (European Cybercrime Center) report seemed to think it was effective[0]:

> is a very effective decentralised Bitcoin mixer with many privacy-focused options

> provides possibly the most convenient and secure way to mix Bitcoins

They also say they can trace Monero, so I don’t fully trust their statements.