If the risk is that an ISP would spoof the entire website at AI, then that can be done regardless of HTTPS.
No, an ISP cannot spoof a valid certificate for a website
On the infinite list things to worry about, "ISP-based MITM attacks" ranks somewhere around "getting bitten by a shark while fighting a velociraptor" and "accidentally getting abducted by a UFO".
Please, please, let's start solving real problems.
P.S. I know about dishonest ISP's that try to inject ads into pages. Switch to a better ISP, problem solved.
There are a lot of people in this world who can choose between exactly one ISP.
Should you equip everyone in the world with an e-coli tester? You know, it's super-easy for a supermarket employee to infect your food with e-coli!
Some problems don't need a technical solution, okay?
Yeah, if "e-coli testers" were free, easy to distribute, and consumed no resources, including them with every supermarket purchase would be a great idea.
I'm kinda happy that the worst scenario in yours are internet ads, but you can't say that if your country don't force providers to inject fake pages for selective pages, there is not need to protect traffic for the whole world.
And no, you can't switch ISP in the case if the hacking comes from gov censorship agencies.
So https does nothing for censorship unless you're worried about the absolutely unrealistic case of a government entity running search-and-replace on your webpage content at the ISP level. (Unrealistic because they can just send a legal order to whoever is hosting this content instead.)
1) They block the whole-domain only in case of https which reminds you to turn-on the VPN. In case of http you could just have something like 404 response for particular page and you would never know that it's actually not 404, but ISP block (depends on ISP and DPI). So still https is preferable to be able to distinguish between two types of blocks.
2) They don't do "replace" in general, true, but for opposition resources they might be creative.
3) Most of hosters and content providers (if they don't have legal presence in Ru) don't care about legal orders from Russia (as well as from other third-world dictatorship regimes) until it's some real valid stuff to complain about.
But to be perfectly honest: between the uncle with TS at a defense contractor, the ex-girlfriend Political Science valedictorian with an Arabic minor who “taught English” in Waziristan, and the pre-IPO Facebook job, I just sort of assume that if the Equation Group wants to know if I watch Internet porn, “I will do nothing, because I can do nothing”.
Incidentally you can bet your ass that someone at YC has a model of their amortized differential deal flow per page view and that they work harder at keeping it up-to-date than the RustHN discord channel where they call in the Team.
So troll-ass threads like this are pure free-ride.