Chess Is in Chaos over Suspicion That a Player Cheated Against Magnus Carlsen
wsj.com
wsj.com
Opinions vary but the most widespread one is that while Carlsen may have had suspicions, Niemann didn't cheat in this specific game. A bunch of cheat detection specialists and the arbiters have gone over the game and venue and not found anything untoward. I tend to also believe this, though it is very hard to prove someone didn't cheat.
One not obvious thing is that cheating can be very subtle. If you're a strong player you don't have to play engine moves, which tend to be noticeable. There are 3 kinds of chess positions: 1) there is obviously only one reasonable move, such as a recapture, so you make it. 2) There are several reasonable moves to pick from, so you pick one. 3) It LOOKS LIKE there are several reasonable moves, but deep analysis will show you that only one of them is the right one.
Of course, identifying situation #3 above is very difficult in its own right. Kasparov has said that if a computer could identify such positions and alert him just once per game, that would give him a huge advantage. It wouldn't have to tell him the right move. Just knowing that there was a unique good move in that position would tell him to spend the necessary thinking time to find it, instead of just doing something that looked reasonable. So you need only 1 bit per game from a computer to cheat effectively, not a stream of engine moves.
Someone on reddit told of a time he was playing someone at a tournament, when he noticed that a small crowd had gathered around his board to watch the game. That told him there was something particularly interesting about the position that had developed, which hadn't otherwise occurred to him. So he sank into thought and found a clever way to win, which he wouldn't have even looked for without being alerted by the interest of the spectators.
There is a recent video of two GM's (Naroditsky and Nakamura) discussing the Magnus situation and cheating in general: https://youtu.be/mHZy9TNOGCk
It is about 45 minutes long, but quite interesting. The anecdote about Kasparov is from that video.
By far the strongest chess event out there is at tcec-chess.com. It's a 24/7 series of engine-vs-engine tournaments.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VcbHmHHwlUQ
In the second half they discuss ways of cheating. He also mentions that you have a psycological disadvantage if you play against someone you suspect to cheat.
"non-technical example of people using signals when players leave the board (in the bathroom, over a balcony etc) and in technical ways suggests that certain earpieces could pass checks or potentially other small devices"
Two sided un paired t-test.
T-value of 4.9. SE of 56.325
Group 1 mean of 2383 with sd 125.56. Group 2 mean of 2659 with sd 119.16 39.7 SEM.
P value of 0.0001.
By conventional criteria there's about 0.01% chance the differences in the means is due to chance alone. That's 0.0001.
I.e. If you were to play 19 tournaments randomly 10,000 times, only 1 in 10,000 would you perform better on live boards as well as Hans did due to chance alone.
Ja Rule could not be reached for comment.