Albania expelled Iran’s embassy staff over July cyberattack
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Albany is hosting a military group that plans and conducts physical operations inside Iran (for whatever benefits it has received). A cyberattack is a minimal response, frankly.
You've got some simple facts wrong. Iran's democratic government was overthrown by the CIA and MI6 in 1953, not in the 60s or 70s. And it's not "according to Chomsky", though I'm sure he says it too. The primary source for this is the US Government, they declassified some of the documents.
Afghanistan:
Literacy rate 15-24 (2015): m 80.4%, f 29%
Tertiary education rate (2020): m 15.1%, f 5.8%
Iran:
Literacy rate 15-24 (2016): m 98.3%, f 97.9%
Tertiary education rate (2020): m 59.2%, f 57.2%
I think your argument is completely invalid.
Also, Iran wasn't invaded by two superpowers within the span of two decades like Afghanistan was.
Yes, it was Mosadegh’s parliamentary regime in 1953. I corrected the error, am refined the wording. Thanks for linking.
edit:Changed data to 1953
It's just not realistic to treat countries, organizations, or other large groups of people the same as if they are individuals, any more than it makes sense to treat a computer program like a transistor.
Of course, in the USA at least, there is a pervasive culture of pretending the past doesn't matter, but this is childish. Two books I can recommend if you want to expand your ability to think this way are Why Nations Fail and Prisoners Of Geography.
[1] But since common sense isn't so common: a democracy can vote to become authoritarian, but an authoritarian place can only usually become democratic by force. Also, a democracy, to survive, needs an economy that is dominated by a relatively large, not relatively small number of interests, so they will check and balance each other and no single interest can capture the whole system. But once you become authoritarian it is easy for the economy to decline, simplify and become less diverse (and thus even better fit for authoritarians). It becomes an attractor. Have you not noticed that authoritarian states have a tendency to suppress development/innovation sometimes when it seems "irrational" to pass up economic gains? This is to avoid creating more powerful elites that would compete with the existing elites. Once you own a huge enough part of the pie, it becomes more important to keep yourself on top than to make the pie bigger.
I'm not actually sure this is correct. Consider: every democracy in the world used to be an authoritarian state. But not every authoritarian state used to be democratic.
> Have you not noticed that authoritarian states have a tendency to suppress development/innovation sometimes when it seems "irrational" to pass up economic gains? This is to avoid creating more powerful elites that would compete with the existing elites. Once you own a huge enough part of the pie, it becomes more important to keep yourself on top than to make the pie bigger.
Which, in the long run, leaves authoritarian regimes vulnerable to more prosperous and thus better-armed democracies. Which is why Germany and Japan are two of the biggest examples of large authoritarian states that were transformed into democracies.
This is a very good question, but I think the real answer lies elsewhere in your comment:
> Which, in the long run, leaves authoritarian regimes vulnerable to more prosperous and thus better-armed democracies.
My interpretation of history is that democracy and the industrial revolution is like panspermia: it is rare and hard for it to happen on its own, but once it has somehow happened, it does tend to spread easily through "conquest" (literal or indirect/metaphorical)
But without some outside competitor or existential threat, it is very hard for an authoritarian, static system to become a more democratic, dynamic system, for the reasons I mentioned.
Thus, by installing an authoritarian government in a place that used to be democratic, we condemned them to likely stay authoritarian until EXTERNAL factors are able to force things otherwise. And that is outside of the population's control and could go on for a very long time. Especially if the ruling elite have some accomodation with the global system that allows them to avoid the competition you speak of, like an unspoken deal to keep fossil fuels flowing in exchange for being left alone.
I think you might be slightly underrating the internal stability of democratic institutions. Nascent democracies like the Weimar Republic are vulnerable to the "vote to become authoritarian" failure mode (though even the Weimar Republic "voted to become authoritarian" via the dubious mechanism of a minority government and a political culture where every major party engaged in street violence), but a well-established democracy has a fair amount of internal stability. France, for instance, has successfully reestablished democracy even after foreign conquest and the military coup of 1958. The US and UK have been even more stable.
> Thus, by installing an authoritarian government in a place that used to be democratic, we condemned them to likely stay authoritarian until EXTERNAL factors are able to force things otherwise. And that is outside of the population's control and could go on for a very long time. Especially if the ruling elite have some accomodation with the global system that allows them to avoid the competition you speak of, like an unspoken deal to keep fossil fuels flowing in exchange for being left alone.
I assume you're talking about Iran again here. Iran's democracy was already in the midst of an internal collapse towards authoritarianism even before the coup, though. Mossadegh suspended Parliament and invoked emergency powers in the face of internal opposition. Even the coup itself arguably had more internal than external causes (see: https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/middle-east/2014-06-... as archived at https://archive.ph/wdEy8).
But if you look at things more broadly, there are examples of authoritarian regimes giving way to democracies for largely internal causes, in countries such as Chile, Argentina, Spain, Portugal, and South Korea. So there's some evidence for democracy also being a stable attractor, though this is far from universal if you look at countries like Russia, Afghanistan, or most of the Arab world.
Was that maybe answering the first questions of the GP? The following:
> So We should have just supported them developing intercontinental ballistic nukes while they have continued to chant death to America and called for the destruction of Israel to wipe it off the map for decades and heavily find terrorist groups
Dropping a "maybe" after that is worrying to me. For me it's a definite no, we should not allow such behaviour. I feel as if you should have a definite answer on something like that or you can't really have a debate on it, as it's the core issue.
On a related note, how do you feel about the Ukraine / Russia conflict and US involvement?
> If only we had left them alone they’d have developed into a perfectly rational democracy like all the other Middle East / western Asian countries guided by principles of freedom and womens rights would have flourished?
If they lost their democracy, they don't control their destinies. All the executed, prisoners, 10 y.o. girls, etc. seem to have very little control.
https://imgur.io/gallery/IzEWU8o
The UK (and US) overthrew Mossadegh and Iran's parliament in the 1950s and installed a dictator (who the US had to beg to come to Iran at one point, the diplomatic record is now open). They got the right wing mullahs as support (Mossadegh gave women the right to vote) and the CIA worked with the SAVAK secret police to wipe out the secular left. Finally towards the end of 1970s Iran threw itself off the boot of imperialism, but as the CIA had wiped out the secular left, the patriotic moves came from the mullahs the US had backed (and bazaari merchants too).
So Iran throws off the boot of imperialism, and suddenly the US can decide it won't let Iran develop nuclear power any more (but no such rule for the orthodox Jews making the aliyah to west Bank settlements, they can have not just nuclear power, but weapons).
For some reason, we did not object so vehemently when Venezuela did this with PDVSA.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/1953_Iranian_coup_d%27%C3%A9...
...I did not know this:
"On 21 March 1935, Reza Shah changed the name of the country from Persia to Iran."
While literally true, Marg bar Amrika is used to mean something closer to "Down with America". Just like saying damn isn't wishing eternal suffering upon someone. It's an expression.
> Nothing we did truly changed their path
A literal coup didn't truly change their path?
It is funny as hell that Iranians will happily chant "Death to America" in Tehran but many of their STEM graduates can't wait to get to the US on a student visa and work on moving to a green card. IMO, all green card applications from hostile nations like China, Russia, Iran, must be very heavily scrutinized, with most of them getting rejected.
It’s very likely that you would chant the same, if living in Iran. As the joke goes, the guy in the USSR could freely complain… about the President of the USA
In a few years, these people will be Canadian citizens. Pretty cool, eh? (/s)
Same with the Iranians. Many of them are in support of their government and their anti-America and anti-Israel agenda. Of course they seem to forget that, once the aroma of the US dollar hits their nose.
Lebanon in particular has to be subservient to the funders of Hezbollah or else. Just some months ago a couple of terror attacks were thwarted at the last moment against Israelis in Istanbul, Yemen is a mess in the middle of a civil war thanks to their meddling.
But of course if they were the hegemon everything would be peaceful. That's what they claim..
Why is a cyberattack against a random, uninvolved country a "minimal response" to the grievances you're saying they're upset about?
It's in the article, Albania hosts a group of Iranian dissidents. Maybe the Iranian 'intelligence' thought it was a great idea to perpetrate a cyberattack on Albanian government websites and services, as this would somehow convince the Albanian government to extradite them to Iran? Instead their diplomats got kicked out of the country.
About the dissidents Albania is hosting:
"It was during 1988, the regime carried out its worst atrocity ever, when Khomeini ordered the deaths of 30,000 dissidents, mainly belonging to the Mujahedin-e-Khalq (MEK), who were fervent opponents of his regime, having turned against him when they realized he was replacing one dictatorship for another."
https://english.alarabiya.net/features/2018/08/31/How-Iran-d...
Why 1965? The shah was there until 1979; we didn't have a particular beef with Iran while he was running it. Why 1965?
> The number 2-3 person in the country (head of the army) was killed by a missile a couple of years ago.
Head of the Revolutionary Guards, which is probably politically above the army. Yes, he was killed while in the act of meeting with a terrorist organization that attacks US military personnel.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/1953_Iranian_coup_d%27%C3%A9...
More: Do you think that the US military was the only ones that militia targeted?
In 1941 the British and Russians invaded and occupied Iran. US armed forces were eventually deployed there too. After the war the US diplomatically worked to remove the Soviet-backed secessionist states of north Iran in 1946. Then US intelligence was involved in supporting the Shah's coup in 1953. Thereafter the US and Iranian governments had good relations until the revolution of 78-79.
The US Government has admitted their role in the 1953 Iranian coup: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1953_Iranian_coup_d%27%C3%A9ta...
Mistakes were made. That doesn't mean the world should accept Iran's war mongering.
No they don't. If no one makes them pay for it, they don't have to.
Obviously Iran and the west have different moral and philosophical frameworks, but since none of that is objective the only thing that matters is who is strong enough to enforce theirs.
Attacking and effectively shutting down Albania's public electronic services, or any country's public electronic services, is a very low blow that's uncalled for.
Can we please not normalize extremism?
> "Mandiant, a leading U.S. cybersecurity firm, expressed “moderate confidence” last month that the attackers were acting in support of Tehran’s anti-dissident efforts."
A US based firm expresses mere "moderate confidence" that the attacks were meant to support Iran is being taken as confirmation? From the same country that claimed it was positive that Iraq had WMDs just to drum up support to go to war?
Even the experts who don't like Iran say that the Iranian government is smart and only takes calculated risks when going on the offensive. Hacking a website for the sake of demanding a few bitcoins in "ransomware" hardly sounds like a surgical government led attack against it's opponents.
Agreed. The GP is presenting a weak case for something that shouldn't be controversial. The US did overthrow Iran's democracy in 1953, and has officially admitted it.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1953_Iranian_coup_d%27%C3%A9ta...
1. Paint the US as a monster.
2. If you counter them with the "xyz is an authoritarian nation", they'll all circle back to #1 as the main reason as to why some country is authoritarian.
Far left academics and their followers are some of the most annoying people.
US foreign policy after the Korean War has been terrible, and Iran is the epitome of everything that's wrong with it. Iran is a country full of people of culture that could have been basically a Western country in the Middle East. It's only a dystopian religious hellhole because America went "lmao xd communism". Some of it is just basically racism: "they're arabs, they're all the same", ignoring that Iran in the 70s was on its way to become a modern society.
I find these analyses strange, as if Iranian people lack autonomy, and are merely passive victims to the vicissitudes of Western will.
These claims have been debunked so many times, please stop repeating them.
Pretend for 2 years, then it's widely understood fact, like so many other topics of the day.
And this is not to excuse Russian activity either.
The two situations (Estonia and Ukraine) aren't comparable unless one has a preconceived notion that current Russia is intent on conquering as much area militarily as possible. (Which, given history, some might be excused for believing).
This isn't really the place for geopolitical discussions. But even you appear to admit expansion was occurring because "reasons".
I just hate pretending, that's all.
This is absolutely true, if by Russia you mean the revaunchists who are in power right now. And especially so in regards to former colonies, which are universally viewed with contempt, aggression and racism by people from these circles.
I know regular Iranians can be quite nice. We have an Iranian acquaintance. Aside from some cultural oddities he's okay. But their leadership and the Revolutionary Guards aren't anything like that.
You're speaking of the Charlie Hebdo attack right? I'm looking over the wikipedia pages for it and I don't see any links to Iran. The two were ethnic Algerians born in France. One of them got arrested while trying to travel to Syria, presumably to fight for al-Queda in Iraq. Mentored in prison by an Algerian terrorist who had been radicalized by Jordanian and Egyptian preachers. Arrested again for recruiting fighters for a Jordanian jihadis. Trained with al-Qaeda in Arabia (AQAP, a Sunni group.)
Where is the Iran/Shia connection? When I search for "charlie hebdo attack Iran" I find articles about Iran denouncing both the cartoons and the attack. Denouncing the cartoons doesn't make Iran culpable for the attack; free speech cuts both ways. The cartoons are free speech and so is denouncing the cartoons.
https://old.iranintl.com/en/world/irans-khamenei-calls-publi...
They still need to be supported because having a state using war as a geopolitical tool at the border of Europe is unacceptable but people need to realise that what was pushed by the media at the beginning of the war doesn’t necessary paint a realistic portrait of the country.
I feel this has to be said because they were made a candidate member to the EU for electoral reasons.
But, ignoring the Azov guys (even though that's hard to do), what gets me it's stuff like this [1] or this [2], i.e. Ukrainian kids being brainwashed behind the lines to adopt the Nazi ideology (because, yes, adopting the Nazi salute en masse means that you're teaching those kids to adopt the Nazi ideology). I had sincerely hoped that we had managed to come past those very dark times, that Europe's kids wouldn't have to do the Nazi salute of their own volition anytime soon. Looks like I was wrong, and it's frightening that the West takes the side of those who teach their kids the Nazi salute.
Later edit: To say nothing of Bandera, whose name is still carried by lots of streets in Ukraine. But I've had this discussion before here on HN and I was told that it's totally ok for a WW2 war criminal to be idolised in this day and age, so I will not fight that battle anymore.
[1] https://twitter. com/anatoliisharii/status/1567434109886111745/photo/1 (pls. remove the white space between the . and com, not sure it is legal inside of the EU to link to people doing the Nazi salute, this looks like it's back from 2018).
[2] https://twitter. com/DeuNachrichten/status/1566044503680884737 (the same, pls remove the white spce after the ., this is from a few days ago)
here you go https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1567010713473802241
in case you missed it https://twitter.com/bentarzynski/status/1567017093777989633 https://twitter.com/zolotoybaton/status/1567018154617880578
>that bold dude with lots of tattoos from Wagner
Dmitry Utkin, founder of wagner. Yes, even the boss is a nazi.
You mean the leader of Wagner group who literally has nazi ss symbols tattooed on him and named the group after one of hitlers favourite composers?.
> I have seen lots of Nazi memorabilia and branding on Azov, Right Sector and other brigades that are part of today's Ukrainian Army.
There’s plenty of nazi symbology on non Wagner soldiers in Ukraine too. Here’s one example.
https://www.newsweek.com/russia-ukraine-mariupol-azov-nazi-1...
A single city in Russia has more Nazis than that.
Chomsky also is saying the same thing he has been saying about the Ukraine since 2013 and before that.
Kissinger said Ukraine is fighting a civil war against Nazis? Really?
Iran has never been a democracy in its entire history. The supposedly democratic leadership that was overthrown was appointed, not elected. Mohammad Mosaddegh was not elected by democratic vote of the people of Iran, he was installed by feudal lords (Majlis) and a king (the Shah).
Today Iran is a theocracy, not a democracy. 70 years ago Iran was a feudal kingdom, not a democracy.
The Parliament of Iran circa the early 1950s could hardly have been any less democratic.
Expelling embassy staff is within the range of acceptable responses, so good for Albania here. The vast majority of nation-state cyberattacks get far less response.
[1] - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vault_7#Marble_framework
For example: Stuxnet was one of many responses to Iran's nuclear weapons program. Another response was, allegedly [0], assassination of some senior scientists. Attribution is still disputed about the latter, but not the former.
[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_program_of_Iran#Possib...
Is anyone seriously considering that it was not Mossad/CIA? Cui bono?
> "In its release, WikiLeaks described the primary purpose of "Marble" as to insert foreign language text into the malware to mask viruses, trojans and hacking attacks, making it more difficult for them to be tracked to the CIA and to cause forensic investigators to falsely attribute code to the wrong nation."
I sympathize with [entity] -> Despite evidence, I cannot admit it was entity.
I dislike [entity] -> despite lack of evidence, the plausibility allows me to attribute it to [entity].
When you disguise yourself to look like somebody else when doing something nefarious, knowing that you will be mistaken for that somebody else, that's a false flag.
> A false flag operation is an act committed with the intent of disguising the actual source of responsibility and pinning blame on another party.
Google "security attribution problem" if you are unfamiliar with the topic, it is a big one.
>Countries should start responding to cyberattacks the same as if a black helicopter landed and a team of commandos damaged or stole the equipment. The intention is the same and the effect is the same, so the mechanism isn't important.
remember stuxnet and what if the roles were reversed, what would your response have been?
Iran should have asked for help to retaliate against attackers but since they did not have friends, they could not retaliate. But, if the same thing happens with Israel, then it becomes a matter of threatening world peace ad everyone must unite against a common enemy. Cool.
Maybe fucking with someone else's computers is not actually worth murdering anyone over...
Edit: I actually like this new form of "war" where no one dies, we just DDOS websites and people cannot renew their driving licenses or enrich uranium for a period of time.
In truth they just want the public to hate them. They might not have a clue on who did it.
I learned a lot about recent Iranian history in the responses to the top comment.
There are plenty of ways for an attacker to give clues to researchers about where they are based out of and who is funding them.
How exactly would you know who is founding what by looking at a bitstream originating from anywhere on earth but last jump in Iran to your server?
When coming from an industry giant that’s been working with US intelligence groups, it’s really a rigorous process.
You mean they pin it on whomever they want to. It's all meaningless. It's like telling how someone voted from their shoe print.
I wouldn't worry about it.
That's why Iran is trying to blackmail/hack the government services.
This is not the first time it has removed embassy officials (a couple of Iranian officials were caught spying). Any response the country does, it usually coordinates with the US, for obvious sensitivity issues. Albania is in Nato, so nothing will escalate further than this.
You also see similar things happening now, ... In Asia and Africa. Smaller countries do try to leave their Hegemon and realign themselves to the challenger.
Yeah, good point, even though I hadn't realised it.
And to share some more about my recent new knowledge on Russia and on the Soviet system, and also related to Albania, I was a little surprised to learn that one of the reasons used to de-throne Khrushchev in the autumn of 1964 was the Albanian–Soviet split [1] that he, supposedly, had helped create. I say I was surprised because I didn't think the highest echelons of power in Moscow cared that much about a country from their hegemonic "periphery", so to speak, one that wasn't directly geographically confronting the West, like Czechoslovakia or the GDR.
To be honest I don't see almost anyone attacking the US President for "losing" a current peripheral ally that is part of their hegemonic area.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Albanian%E2%80%93Soviet_split
More generally speaking, I had expected better from HN-ers than personal attacks and stalking, in my 15+ years on this forum yours is only the second comment that touches on that (the first one was also coming in connection to the current war), but I also realize that this whole circumstance is different: the whole NAFO thing, all the 3-letter agencies controlling FB, Reddit and the like, people do actually believe that the war can be won or lost from behind a keyboard. So I give you the benefit of the doubt. Nevertheless, I hope I won’t have to justify myself about anything on this website going forward.
Agreed nothing more will come out of this.
Even their supposed ally, the US, considered them terrorists until the neocons in DC decided they were more useful than dangerous as anti-Tehran forces. Except, of course, the US wont touch them; Albania is the only country subservient enough to give them refugee status.
Subservient just like when Albania accepted Syria's chemical weapons.
Hence giving them asylum is considered a relatively cheap way for a NATO member state like Albania with limited military and economic resources to pull its weight.
Also, consider that a quarter (half?) of Albanians and Kosovaars have left for Germany and other places in non-muslim Europe and are fairly well integrated.
How is it that the MEK prefers Albania when Albanians themselves prefer to leave?
What's unique about Albania is not that they are muslim, but the stratospheric corruption of the country. Its makes the country a very useful dumping ground for certain problems NATO encounters (chemical weapons, laundering, terrorists)
Curious which group that was.