City-based soda pop taxes don’t effectively reduce sugar consumption
news.uga.edu
news.uga.edu
This was an effective strategy for smoking. Stopping ads for soda, and similarly producing ads that inform people of the risks of high amounts of soda consumption with the tax.
The relation between a tax and consumption is not linear. Below a certain treshold there is 0 consumption impact. In fact, taxes need to be rather huge to change behaviour especially for addictive/craving substances. We learned those lessons many decades ago with the tobacco industry.
It's so hard to find drinks, portable snacks, and similar that are in the 3-8% sugar range with no artificial sweetener to make them inedibly sweet. You finally find one and a few weeks later the sugar doubles or it is replaced with 5x the sweetness in erithrotol
Just x g of sugar, and y equivalent grams of sweetener on the front in a standard format.
There's usually one or two items on the muesli/nut/cake bar shelf, but you have to read the nutrition info for half of them every time to find it.
A cursory look says a 12oz Coke Cola has 39grams of sugar while a Diet Coke has 0.2 grams of aspartame. How would you like it to be labelled?
⇒ I expect they would like to see something like “39 REAL”, respectively “40 ARTIFICIAL” on the label.
Of course there’s a can of worms in that there are multiple ‘real’ sugars (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sugar) and producers will try to talk down that 200, but I think that’s solvable.
What’s less solvable is that producers will talk down the unit size used to compute the amount of sugar, just as they do with the unit size used to compute the number of calories.
Alternatively, this could be shown as a sweetness rating with “x% artificial” added, or just as a sweetness rating alongside the existing ‘calories’ rating.
Talking down the 200 for asparteme is fine as long as the ratio is always the same for asparteme
Total grams of sugar per 100 and total sweeteners equivalent to y grams of sucrose per 100 when both are dissolved in water would suffice.
If the typical consumer drinks the stuff in bottle sizes, maybe the dietary information on the bottle should use ‘per bottle’.
The relevant question is 'how sugary is this substance'. With a secindary question of 'how sweet is it' to set expectations for people who want somet=ing sweet or peoplewho don't. Give people the basic level of respect to decide how much they have after that.
I juice my own lemons, limes and grapefruit and mix each with seltzer water for really tasty beverages. Bananas, apricots, and home made trail mix cover the snacks. If you use a nutrition site and work with what you might have in bulk in a nearby store, you can make some very balanced snacks, and you're entirely in control of the portions.
This all takes very little time. I'm honestly mad it took me 40 years to just do this instead of buying "premade" anything.
It's just plain weird that this tax didn't have the desired effect. I sense an economics doctoral dissertation!
I'd imagine with illegal addictive drugs when prices increase 10-20% it won't stop buyers since they are already making a guilty-pleasure/poor choice so a slightly worse one isn't much of a bigger deal.
Some product and service categories operate under different dynamics than most things.
It's also entirely inconsistent; in Boulder they tax the normal stuff like coke and sprite but will exempt for San Peligrino but then also tax Oceanspray juice. Personally, I've always thought it was a lot like the pervasive green-washing that takes place there as an additional stream of revenue in already bloated bureaucratic system.
I only ever drank kombucha or Water from the SafewayKingsoopers/WF etc... in town anyhow so it never really affected me; but when I think of just how obtuse it is I start to realize how it's a targeted tax on those with poor diets with no real discernible metric for success, it's merely there to self-perpetuate a bad system as poorer people will continue to eat poorly with less expendable income to buy better products as a result of the tax.
The US is obese, and despite Boulder being the time the most healthiest city in the US most of when I lived there it was still clear to see how the economic divide play out where it's most clearest: grocery stores. And it was clear that it was heavily biased to those with larger wages who could fit in 4-5 day workouts per week and the occasional hike and eating from organic sourced restaurants.
If we had a universal healthcare system I would totally be in favour of this, despite being in the lower income level most of time there (boot-strapping founder) I was still on the 'healthiest' demographic but without a clear actionable plan to a desirable end this is one of those 'road to hell are paved with good intention' scenarios.
Assuming they're taxing based on the sugar content, then that's the expected outcome. Coke, Sprite, and juice have sugar in them, sparkling water doesn't.
But to what end? Those people still ate poorly, and continued to make those poor purchase decisions and had less money to justify making better ones as they didn't miraculously start drinking San Peligrino Italian soda, which also has sugar in them [0].
0: https://www.amazon.com/Sanpellegrino-Prickly-Orange-Sparklin...
No mention of the fact that this study mixes data that was conducted prior to the pandemic with data collected during the height of the pandemic. Casually, it associates a small tax with TREMENDOUS reduction?
> Bleich et al. (2021) similarly found a 42% decrease (6.1 fL oz decrease) in purchases of taxed beverages in Philadelphia
> found Philadelphia experienced a far larger decline than the other four cities using a consumer panel from the marketing firm Infoscout.
> In Philadelphia, Zhong et al. (2018) used a phone survey and found that within 2 months of the tax's implementation
This is bad science, even when it's only a meta-analysis (which necessarily has a lower bar).
In Chicago the tax was ineffective as there were many close municipalities without the tax - in addition to grey market stores that didn’t charge the tax - allowing buyers to easily avoid paying it.
Further, while I support a sugar tax, on public health grounds, I'd much rather we stop subsidizing sugar production (esp HFCS).
But ending subsidies for corn, sugar beets, etc. is still a non-starter. Because Electoral College and US Senate.
So we're stuck with virtual signaling our displeasure towards harmful agricultural policies with impotent measures like soda taxes.
Meanwhile, like this OC suggests, we absolutely should be investing and subsidizing in healthy drinking water. It's CRAZY that people in places like Flint MI and Jackson MS cannot safely consume their own tap water.
Your post touches on several key points.
The US "anti-subsidy" laws where they put duties on products they deem were government subsidized, while CORN is massively subsidized.
"Subsidies for corn—the most abundant crop in the United States—have far surpassed those for any other crop, estimated to have totaled more than $116 billion since 1995."
One has to question the logic here. Use tax dollars to subsidize the price of corn, which leaves the country awash in HFCS and "ethanol" to find creative ways to get rid of all the corn. Then attempt to tax the HFCS later?
Seems removing the subsidy would cause the price of HFCS to raise but we cant do that due to powerful lobby groups?
These "sugar taxes" always have so many exemptions to feed some special interest groups requirements creating an ever-increasing complex set of laws.
https://www.eatthis.com/coca-cola-paid-scientists-study-suga...
Look at the nutrition facts label, see how many grams of added sugar there are, and to keep things simple set the the tax at one cent per gram of added sugar. I can't see this being hard to implement.
It's not one of the extremely rare Giffen goods which defy the laws of supply and demand. Most alcoholic drinks have a substitute in drinks with less (or no) alcohol in them, competing on price. Moreover, people's consumption is affected by how much is considered "normal" to drink (one of the early, solid findings of alcohol epidemiology), so there's a positive feedback amplifying small changes to consumption habits from other things.
In countries where the alcohol tax is high enough it reduces alcohol consumption but massively increases sales of sugar and yeast.
Take a look at Canada's consumption numbers and see if the "sin tax" accomplished anything.
We don't have that. But we have other countries and times to compare through, and there really is no question that accessibility affects consumption.
These are massive corporations targeting individuals. If you look at obesity rates people are clearly on the losing side here.
The bulk of US sugar comes from "HFCS" (high fructose corn syrup) which is HEAVILY subsidized in the first place.
So taxing something you are subsidizing makes zero sense.
Remove the subsidy and the price of corn will go up, and with it the price of HFCS.
I also like your idea of keeping things simple. The hard part, as always, are the edge cases. If the tax is associated directly with sugar in some manner than diet sodas won't be taxed. Another possible albeit silly argument is why not tax sugars in fruit?
Note: Im a software engineer. Not a dietician. I really don't know a detailed difference between artificial sugars and natural sugars or how our bodies process them.
Because total sugars and added sugars are not the same thing. It makes more sense to tax added sugars because they are clearly worse, and it strains Medicare/Medicaid budgets.
Adding grape juice or apple juice to a snack or drink would still be considered an added sugar on the nutrition label under FDA guidelines[1].
The reason they do that is often to make sure "sugar" isn't the first ingredient in the ingredient list, which have to be listed in decreasing order of weight[2].
Note that the ingredient list and the nutrition facts label are two different things.
1. https://www.fda.gov/food/new-nutrition-facts-label/added-sug...
2. https://www.nia.nih.gov/health/how-read-food-and-beverage-la...
Running with this idea, there'll eventually be a federal conversion table where any given chemical would be translated to their mass in sugar. From there, tax calculation's simply:
sum((sugar_conversion_lookup[ingredient] * mass) for ingredient in product) * tax_per_gram_of_sugar
But I totally agree with you, but how is weight any different than any other voluntarily arrived at (e.g. skin cancer because of no sunscreen and too much sun exposure) "pre-existing conditions" that must be covered?
Raising their insurance rates to correlate with their free-will choices is another matter.
Am I being "speeder shamed" if my insurance company raises my rates for getting speeding tickets?
I guess you haven't run into that yet.
I agree that shaming people for being fat is counterproductive. But dismissing honest attempts at breaking the status quo under the pretense that it is insulting to fat people is really doing them a disservice.
Obesity is not a choice, it's a result of food insecurity[0] and a common response to child sexual abuse.[1]
0. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4584410/
1. https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2015/12/sexual-ab...
An example: fast-food companies lobbied the government to allow Snap cards to be used for fast food. A Big Mac Meal costs $6 and contains 1080 calories according to Google. For $6, you can buy 3 cartons of eggs (Indiana). At 78 calories per egg, that's 2808 calories. So you can get 2.5x more calories from a healthy food like eggs rather than shitty food like a Big Mac meal.
I've heard people say "poor people are fatter because good food costs more money than crappy fast food". I don't believe that. I think many people are fat because they don't want to bother going to the grocery store and cooking. It's easier to eat shit food in a box and drink a soda or three.
Food insecurity was determined by response (always/usually/sometimes) to the question,“How often in the past 12 months would you say you were worried or stressed about having enough money to buy nutritious meals?”
I'm arguing about cost because food security in this survey is a cost issue. And, it's important to note that the article only covers 12 states. The Abstract ends with:
"These findings are consistent with previous research and highlight the importance of increasing access to affordable healthy foods for all adults."
My point is, we are instead increasing access for poor people to fast, unhealthy foods that cost more per calorie provided (Big Mac Meals) than healthy food (eggs).
As an example in Seattle, Starbucks was exempt even though you can buy a 450 cal drink in a few seconds.