You really think that reaching a stalemate with a military as small as that of Ukraine was his aim? The equilibrium reached is slowly but surely swinging against Putin.

He ran away from the capital. He is running out of troops and is getting close to conscription. He is dragging out ‘50s and ‘60s tank relicts to fight after losing his prime weapons. His airforce is hiding and his best ship was sunk. His oligarchs are starting to desert him and are getting bombed or falling out windows.