Can someone how understands this give a quick rundown?
Why did mortality jump 40k deaths from 2019 to 2020? AFAIK covid only started in 2020? Or am I reading the charts wrong? (Just looked at the figures, did not read the whole paper)
Why did mortality jump 40k deaths from 2019 to 2020? AFAIK covid only started in 2020? Or am I reading the charts wrong? (Just looked at the figures, did not read the whole paper)
They use actuarial science (what insurance & risk analysis uses) to predict a baseline for mortality if no pandemic occurred. This should be a fairly accurate representation working of historical data.
It is sad that this submission has been flagged by zealots as it represents an interesting approach to determining the impact of the pandemic and attempts to correct for factors that unfortunately alter the data toward the negative- such as hospital funding contingent on diagnosis.