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Comment by smallstepforman | Hacker News Reader

I must make the assumption that you’re young. China today has set its path to carry out an action in 5-10 years when it’s ready. You never engage when you’re not prepared. You build up, plan, prepare, then act. That takes time. Remember, revenge is best served cold. China has stepped down today, but I can reassure you, in 5-10 years it will act militarily to avenge its current embarrasment. Just like Russia prepared for the last 8.

Russia won the war in the first 72 hours, now its grinding Ukraine and its supporters, they’re too stubborn to back away. Russia has also only committed 10% of their resources, the rest are on standby in case NATO intervenes.

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> Russia won the war in the first 72 hours. Russia has also only committed 10% of their resources, the rest are on standby in case NATO intervenes.

Imagine the mental gymnastics you have to do to believe this.

Some sources:

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-06-14/russia-tu...

> There are indications the Kremlin is running out of troops for its war with Ukraine.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-62496905

> the nation has been "forced into a greater reliance on old Soviet-era equipment, such as personnel carriers offering limited protection, and tanks last produced in 1973." > Kremlin is increasingly using "older, less-precise missiles for strikes, killing and injuring innocent people." > "These outdated tactics are a sign of Russia's desperation amid its equipment shortages and tactical deficiencies,"

https://www.newsweek.com/russia-running-out-steam-growing-de...

I wouldn’t call those links reliable sources, more like “imaginative projection”. Remember when NATO bombed little Serbia for 79 days and engaged in a media blitz with mindboggling projection of Serbian army loses, only to discover after Kumanovo agreement that only 13 (in words, thirteen) armoured vehicles were actually hit. Generals openly stated afterwards they were lucky not to commit ground forces based on these projections since the opponents strength was not diminished. Serbia only surrendered when NATO started hitting power stations, water facilities, food factories and realised the NATO lunacy wasn’t going to stop on its own, sending Serbia to the stone age.

> Russia won the war in the first 72 hours,

This is a hilariously bad take considering they attempted to take Kyiv in the first 72 hours and now they're grinding for minimal gains in the south while losing most of their modern equipment and taking heavy losses.

> I must make the assumption that you’re young.

I am 39.

> "Russia won the war in the first 72 hours".

In which universe?

Russia is absolutely humiliated, their tanks are rusting in Ukrainian fields by hundreds, there are no new human reserves, morale on the front is all-time low, and Ukrainians are now bombing Crimean targets without any retaliation.

Which is a good thing, of course.

Sorry to burst your bubble but so far Ukrainian army did 0 wins and only suffers losses. They don't bomb Crimean targets, they do sabotages (or terroristic acts, depending on your side) which sometimes work. I will not carry on this conversation because this is US website and US fight for Ukraine, so it's pretty pointless, but you can't deny the big picture. I'll agree that Russia is not winning when Russia would lose any big city it captured. Like this mystical attack on Herson which is promised for months but not happening.

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