Russia is going to have a better Winter than Ukraine, Europe, and America
smallwarsjournal.com
smallwarsjournal.com
Additionally, a lot has changed since the article was published ( July).
Fun fact: the winter that Germany attacked the USSR, a lot of nazi's were 3 years on speed ( daily) and were having severe withdrawal symptoms.
https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/were-nazis-drug-fueled...
I wouldn't attribute it too much on "Russian" experience. We have seen the contrary the last months and the indoctrination is probably similar now as then.
And the USSR wouldn't have survived without foreign aide ;). Eg. The lend and lease act that Ukraine has been given now.
Tbh. I'm a bit disappointed at giving another point of view. It's badly ( if even) researched.
Russia invaded Ukraine because of the gas found in Crimea. If Ukraine can get Crimea back, there's not much reason for Russia to invade.
Worst case scenario is that it takes 4 years to fix ( starting from June). But this is hurting Russia more than Europe. Russia has no alternative economy any more than natural resources.
There are geographical limitations with Russia claiming to change exports to others, since it's false.
The pipelines/ source supplying China is not the same even as the one's supplying Europe.
And yeah, they pay a lot less => a lot less profit for Russia. Which needs to sell cheap to their allies ( eg. Csto )
And once Europe ( especially Germany) switched to LPG ( takes some time), Russia loses its future.
A lot of countries also don't rely on Russia ( eg. Belgium, where I live only imports 6% from Russia).
Letting the bully do/kill what it wants is no option at all.
And that's just stupid too.
Fyi, We already had cheap gas compared to the rest of the world.
Note: the more expensive it is, the better/faster the alternatives are innovated.
I donated for Ukraine, because Putin started war in Europe. I follow OSINT almost daily and read up about Russian military interventions in the last 30 years and their capabilities ( eg. BTG) - > 1200 pages.
I am VERY much affected by all of this. Not only prices, because that's selfish shorterm thinking.
Use some reasoning instead of just saying; let Russia do.
If you think that would be a good thing, you should give me a reason why. Because Russia won't stop at Ukraine then and if China invaded Taiwan because we let Russia invade/kill the expensive prices you see now are going to be a joke compared to what you see then.
Just ask Poland, Georgia, Chechnya or Finland why we must resist.
I'd say you aren't affected if you're talking only about prices. Other countries don't even have enough food.m ( Egypt) and that's all part of what Putin wants... To get people on the table and be in a comfortable position as "negotiator" to get what it wants.
And how: killing 30% of the population/families and displacing them to a new neighborhood ( and mixing with "ethic Russians" so they can't trust anyone.