Covid models underestimated the number of cases, just as climate models did not largely predict such extreme heat this soon.

If you choose to be skeptical of models on these two topics, it seems safer to assume they are underestimating the issues rather than overestimating them.

https://www.theguardian.com/theobserver/commentisfree/2021/m...

https://www.nationalgeographic.com/environment/article/this-...