What are the odds that you exist?
visual.ly
visual.ly
-- Richard FeynmanA perfect example of how this is significant is the very first assumption: while your dad may have met 20,000 women, the probability that he would date and then marry your mother given his qualities and preferences in women is most likely much higher than 1/20,000.
Another example: let's say we have a loaded die. If we don't know anything about it, the probability of getting a 6 is 1/6. If we know it's loaded, the probability is something else. Which value is correct? If it's the latter, then wouldn't the probability of your being born really be something like the probability of your being born given a bunch of environmental factors and the like?
Basically, the number presented here is mostly devoid of value. That said, the visualization is very good and gets its point across both succinctly and clearly.
Now comes the nasty part. What is the probability of your existence given my existence? Most of that info graphic does not come into question, as anything that went into making me can be assumed true. So it is higher then zero, but it is certainly not bigger then the initial 1 in 400 quadrillion number.
Minds will be blown.
I think it's fair to believe that we are the only intelligent beings in all the universe.
What are the odds that some form of life evolved the same way we did over billions of years to form something as complicated as human beings? Probably Zero.
I guess the odds would have to be the same that there are also beings FAR MORE intelligent than us as well.
Shouldn't there be a 1 in 1 chance that he'll have his kids with a woman he meets?
P(I exist|I already exist) = 1
Another question someone asked me once was:
1) if 99% of a molecule is space
2) if 99% of a molecules atoms are space
3) if 99% of an atom's sub atomic particles are space
4) if 99% of quarks are space..
We exist?
Or are we just the energy exerted in the forces between tiny bits of matter?
:)
Go ahead, prove it isn't.