Mine have been up to a week now. Prime stuff shipping 5-9 days, only very few select items show up in 2 days. Since 2020 or so the "FREE 2-day shipping" has been replaced with "Free Prime shipping" in the UI and I no longer see 2-day promises. Most "basic needs" items are often 3-4 weeks out or "in stock soon"
> My grocery store is still stocked full
I won't starve, but it's weird noticing a lot of holes in the shelves. They're stocked, but missing certain flavours or product lines. Sure there are lots of other energy drink options, but I can't find Mountain Dew Energy in cherry limeade and haven't been able to for 3 weeks now.
- I have a Baseus USB power bank that was ordered yesterday, arriving next Friday.
- I have some ESP32 kits that has gotten this multiple days in a row: Your package is on the way but running late. We’re sorry for the delay. Now arriving tomorrow by 10 PM.
- USB cable from prime day, amazon basics brand, no shipping ETA, no prediction, and "not yet shipped"
- Random assortments of things like a gigabit switch, common equipment, cat6 cables, screwdriver: https://i.ibb.co/dtMRDVy/image.png
I don't envy the Amazon people though. Already seeing pileups in the mailroom, floor to ceiling boxes dumped on the floor, every delivery locker filled.
Most things I order from Amazon arrive the same day or overnight. A tiny minority takes 24 hours.
but I can't find Mountain Dew Energy in cherry limeade and haven't been able to for 3 weeks now.
That’s the universe doing you a favor haha
That’s a completely different part of the supply chain issue, even if you can produce the goods you have to get it shipped which is yet another bottleneck.
Not enough warehouse workers to load the trucks, not enough drivers for the trucks, shipping costs are pretty high due to the fuel surcharge tacked onto each load and having to complete with other manufacturers who also want their goods sitting on the shelf.
Without invalidating your larger point that getting something to eat is generally a non-issue, there is nonetheless one group in the US for whom the food shortage is at this very moment acute, national in scale, and unprecedented in recent memory. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_United_States_infant_form...
We've had to make an extra trip to another grocery store on a few occasions, and we've had to substitute brands a few times.
[1] https://www.homedepot.com/p/Clopay-Classic-Collection-16-ft-...
you said it ;)
"Supply is unlimited" was 'fleddr's impression of the old status quo, but I don't think that was ever accurate. I think demand was predictable and well-planned-for is a better description of what the status quo was. Historical supply constraints showed themselves in areas like console launches - a certain level was planned for, and it wouldn't be economical to meet that all on day 1 vs a lower steady-state production, for instance.
Covid-induced behavioral changes shifted a lot of demand around very rapidly. We are learning that the system can't respond instantly, but:
* how surprising is that, and is it really something that could realistically be avoided in the future in case of other major instantaneous changes? Investing a lot of money in new garage door production right now is a big gamble - what happens if you clear that backlog and demand settles back to historical levels?
* and, how concerning should that be? Is it indicative of permanent societal decline or future failure? That's the part I'd consider alarmist and poorly supported based on what we've seen so far. Many sorts of leisure goods, grocery store items, etc, have nearly fully recovered compared to summer of 2020 shortages. My amazon orders anecdotally mostly are coming in 1 day. Not all of them have, but which way do we think it'll go?