I can't imagine it NOT being above 5%. I'd bet it's over 25%. But I am hoping real numbers come out of this.
In concrete numbers, twitter is saying there are 1 billion twitter accounts, but most of those are bots or inactive accounts or API accounts or people posting through Tweetdeck (no ads) or joke/duplicate accounts or developer test accounts or... but 230 million of the users per day use a client that shows ads. And of that subset, less than 5% are generating those ad views fraudulently.
If twitter's been lying about that (i.e. their revenue) all along to the SEC that would be a problem for twitter, though not a big enough problem for Musk's claims in his Notice yesterday to work out in his favour.
credo quia absurdum