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> Or, read what Stratfor (if you have a subscription) has been predicting for a decade now: Germany's slow decline, to be replaced as Europe's power center by Poland.

The Polish GDP per capita is 30-40% lower than the German. Assuming it will ever happen, it will take decades for Poland to replace Germany.

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And it‘s half Germany‘s heads as well.

German GDP is ~$3.8T to Poland's ~$600B, a roughly 6x difference. And there is hardly any trajectory change in the last 15 years, so color me skeptical Poland will overtake Germany economically anywhere in the next 50 years.

Germany'd GDP per capita could be halved much faster

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