My prediction is that in the next 10y we will really struggle to determine between fake-people and real-human. There will be an explosion of fake-identities posting more and more human-like.
But I'm not Nostradamus so I could be very very off here.
My prediction is that in the next 10y we will really struggle to determine between fake-people and real-human. There will be an explosion of fake-identities posting more and more human-like.
But I'm not Nostradamus so I could be very very off here.
I’d say Neil Stephenson has a pretty good take on what this might look like in his recent book: Fall, where in everyone has a “feed” and those that or more savvy/wealthy have better editors (AI, etc) of their feed.
You know, the PGP web of trust idea may yet take off all these decades later, not because we need a web of trust to send 100.0000000% safely encrypted messages to each other to protect from governments, but because we need a web of trust just to know who the real humans are.
[1]: https://forum.agoraroad.com/index.php?threads/dead-internet-...
There would be some of the usual web of trust problems, e.g., trying to explain to Joe Q. Public that you only sign for people you know, beyond doubt, are human. Preferably in person. Many other problems, too.
I guess you could say, my thought here isn't that this would solve the problems. The problems at this point are somewhat well known. What has been missing is any benefit significant enough to motivate us to get past those problems. If there is, it's obviously many years away. Wouldn't exactly suggest building a startup around this idea right now, if you get my drift. We still need to go through a phase of the problem getting larger before we even get to the phase where people start to realize this is a problem and start demanding that people online prove they are actually people, and goodness knows "I'm a human" is merely the lowest of low bars itself, not the solution to all trust problems.
And even if the powers that be manage to get those future AI bots to post stuff that will very much resemble what we now post in here, it is my belief that the uncanny valley will be, in the end, impossible to pass (in fact that's one of the main motifs of many of Asimov's books when it comes to robots).