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But this is not true. The life expectancy for an 80 year-old Caucasian American woman is over 9 years. The life expectancy a 90 year-old Caucasian American woman is less than 5 years.

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Yes the coin of death remembers how lucky you were in your eighties and skews towards tails in your 90s. Still 50/50 as its a coin.

There’s only two possibilities: I’ll either win the lottery or I won’t, so it’s a 50/50 shot!

I guess I am a bayesian :)

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