Hacker News Reader

Comment by causality0 | Hacker News Reader

What bothers me is the sheer mass of factually incorrect statements Zeihan makes that would be trivial to check if he bothered. Things like "China only makes the low-end computer chips, anything that's going into a cellphone or laptop is made in the USA"

View on HN

He's not incorrect on that point. Huawei sources its SoCs from Taiwanese and American fabs, which is why the trade war has absolutely gutted their bottom line. HiSilicon licenses chip designs, adds their specific stuff on top of them, and has the chips fabbed by TSMC.

He's incorrect in that he thinks the destruction of the Taiwanese semiconductor industry during an invasion by the mainland would be a minor inconvenience for the US but an insurmountable obstacle for China.

Why? The US has Intel and AMD, and increasingly TSMC employees. China can’t replace those fabs, they don’t have the knowledge. The US is already building new fabs.

https://www.shiphub.co/worlds-top-semiconductors-producers/

Unfortunately, for understanding the root argument that isn’t super useful. China has lots of semiconductor manufacturing, but not with modern processes.

Dude you are so incorrect here, its unbelievable. Why don't you go sit down in the corner before you hurt yourself

"You're wrong" + insult is not the kind of reply we are looking for here on HN. Either post a constructive argument explaining how they are wrong in your opinion, or abstain from commenting.

Make me tough guy!

What bothers me is you are obviously a chinese Shill

Zeihan is completely right about China's demographic nightmare. I just don't think we're going to get off as Scott-free as he thinks we are without major domestic investments done now instead of later.

Reply on news.ycombinator.com