There's no hiding on the blockchain. Monthly volume has gone down from a peak of nearly $5B in January to $372M in June so far.
* we're just at the middle of the month
* the price has dropped 4x, those charts are in USD
So comparing June (14 days) to Dec is not entirely fair.Your point still stands.
Meanwhile, your revenue is in ETH.
Even if you can maintain the same volume, your revenue can drop drastically if ETH price drops.
A 100 ETH sale earns you 2.5 ETH. In January, this was worth $7.5k. Now, its worth $3k. Your revenue dropped by over 50% but your expenses are going to stay the same.
I can't see how the economics of businesses like this can work out.
nobody (sane at least) would mix expenses and long term, high volatility investment as crypto. I own some crypto and I don't care today's price, it's a 10y investment.
But prior to June, they had been doing ~$200M in "fees" monthly -- fairly consistently, for almost a year. That's more of a "business" (and more stable) than I would have guessed.
Otherwise they wouldn't trade.
Opensea takes a % fee, and the seller takes a % fee. Can you prove it's also including gas fees?
On average, you should assume that OpenSea takes around 30-40% from this 200M fees.
Sounds like a classic bubble that people have been warning about. Tulips all over again?
https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2022/05/02/warren-buffett-wouldnt-s...
A few months ago I read a post on Reddit who someone who is now a teacher uses them as a occasionally gift for pupils: https://www.reddit.com/r/mildlyinteresting/comments/s5rz7s/c...
No-one learned their lesson after 2018, so they aren’t about to start now.
People like easy money. If you tell them the truth, they’ll just accuse you of trying to trick them into staying poor.
It’s a can’t lose business model!
Sarcasm aside, the total return of Bitcoin since the peak in 2017 is now approaching 0% ($20k peak). I suspect that alone will do more to break the spirit of the twitter hype mafia than anything else.
Even after everything that has happened lately, regular old S&P 500 index funds are up about 65% in that same time.
Then there are people who simply don't know better and were conned into throwing money at crypto.