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Recommend following Peter Zeihan, who has been talking about this for months: https://zeihan.com/a-ukraine-war-and-the-end-of-russia/

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He even talked about it in his book Accidental Superpower nearly 10 years ago. His writings/videos have been instrumental in helping me to make some sense of what's going on in Ukraine

Yup, was going to say the same thing. Here is a secondary source from 2014 confirming this: https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/is-putin-risking-world-pe...

He’s the guy that convinced me

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