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> Also, the next hiring round will most likely be from a fresh crop of graduates

Sure, if you're only hiring new graduates. They're always cheap. And frequently those positions are a revolving door.

I would be more concerned about hiring senior people, and what they heard through their network.

You're right. You need quite strong leadership from upper management to accomplish this as middle management will tend to bias for increasing their own headcount now.

It's not even necessarily out of selfishness per se - more just that most managers are confident and believe that if they have more resources, that will inevitably translate into success for the company.

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