Perhaps not, because you need to have a qualitative sense of context variation, and some contexts/fields of sense are not Bayesian in form - historical understand, for instance, depends on amassed narrative/empirical ...so that, for instance, my knowledge of progressive-era America depends on knowing a lot of facts and stories about different fields/metanarratives -- what Ann Douglas called the "feminization of American culture" --- the managerial revolution (burnham, Chandler), modern imperialism.