If cryptocurrency is actually confiscated I'm sure that the US government at least will be obliged to pay out. Given the volatility of bitcoin (and the extent to which it will likely drop if governments come out full square against it) I'm sure there will be legal arguments about what the compensation for the taking should be. But if the use-case is largely either (1) speculation or (2) hiding things from governments and governments limit the upside of (1) with tax or structural changes and crack down on (2) I don't think anyone's going to make the bag-holders whole in case of regulation rather than confiscation. Bigger companies than ~$4bn have gone bankrupt by misreading their market risks before.