But what if they weren't? What if one could create something with similar destructive force with materials easily accessible, and the only hurdle is knowledge of how to do so?
It's honestly an interesting moral question.
It's honestly an interesting moral question.
We as a species have only survived ~75 years since we became aware of nuclear weapons, which is only a small portion of our overall history.
This has taught me to be mindful of the state of being unaware, because once you are aware of something it is impossible to reverse unless you're an amnesiac. Collectively forgetting something as a society then becomes infeasible without the technology and the willingness to revert our knowledge to a safer state, and a single outlier can ruin the entire system. When Jobs held up the first smartphone and we all started cheering and fantasizing, did any of us think it would lead to this?
(I also think that a pill to forget the experience of [addictive thing] would be revolutionary, but sadly our ingrained curiosity might undo the effect shortly afterward. A lot of tech takes advantage of our curiosity.)
This makes me wonder: what compels us to keep researching AI despite us also being able to hypothesize all these game-over scenarios? Why does it feel like we have no choice but to be crushed by unbounded progress?
Perhaps 50 years from we may find that nothing short of halting all research in the name of curiosity was the only option that could have preserved our culture/existence/values for another few decades.
Jobs didn’t hold up the first smartphone and smartphone proliferation has little to do with the AI research that led to deepfakes.
Do we aim for security through obscurity or work out how to deal with that increasingly terrifying reality? I think at some point we will be forced to do latter.
Maybe an interesting norm to try to generate in this community would be, “if you plan on publishing attack X, you should publish immediately alongside it your best guess as to the effective counter to X.”
In the case of nuclear weapons, one of those consequences is that poor countries are denied the ability to defend themselves.
This led to the bullying and invasion of countries without nuclear weapons by countries with nuclear weapons (most recently Russia invading Ukraine, but China and the US are equally guilty).
I'm reminded of a line from the TV show The West Wing, something like: "India must and will be a nuclear power. That way, we'll never be dictated to again."