this video explains the paradox properly, with a very reasonable explanation.
this video explains the paradox properly, with a very reasonable explanation.
it doesn't really matter what the distribution of the amounts are, as long as there's an infinite number of possibilities in the distribution (ie., it's not a finite amount of possible envelopes).
how would one prove that claim? it's not obvious to me. it seems like the specific conditions under which the series of terms in the total expectation has a well defined sum is important, but I didn't fully grasp those conditions
For example if instead of halving the probability of each value as he does in the video we take 1/20 then we get the expected value as the sum of 9/20^2 - 9/20^2 + 90/20^3 - 9/20^3 + … Here the series is absolutely convergent since the positive terms sum to 9/10 and the negative terms sum to 9/10.
but then the probabilities don't all add up to 1.