Persist or let it go: a study of entrepreneurial decision making

Thanks for the heads up, I just deployed the reference and main site with fixes for the dead links.

I built the least straightforward board game: Battle Star Galatica ( https://boardgamegeek.com/boardgame/37111/battlestar-galacti... ), and I've also made hearts.

My #1 problem at the moment is focusing, but I'll share the rough plan I am hoping to commit to for the coming weeks.

First, I am seeking a balance between low latency awesomeness and durability. I'm super not happy with the RDS implementation of how I persist game state, so I'm writing directly to disk with a periodic back-up and cold storage migration. I plan on writing about this more on the blog.

Now, this is the wrong priority from a business growth perspective, but it brings me joy.

Second, I am going to ship a new @web aspect where the Adama server can be a read-only web server for assets, json, and other fun things. This is needed for the IDE so assets (i.e. images) can be uploaded and attached to a document and then served publicly.

Third, for actually shipping board games, I'm de-prioritizing how I think about the WYSIWYG editor and focusing on just HTML via RxHTML. RxHTML is a new templating thing that I'm working on which I will post details about in the coming month, but the gist is that I can take a HTML template and then reactively bind it to a tree such that DOM updates are seemless and minimal. I intend to write a post on my own personal despair of dealing with modern JavaScript tooling.

Fourth, I am going to get the web portal online with just a text editor (currently evaluating code mirror) such that I can onboard people quickly with just their email and they can get to typing.

Fifth, with super minimal IDE, I can then introduce examples for a variety of games and applications which can be one-click instantiated.

Sixth, with one-click instantiation, I'll build a reflection base UI where people can send messages to a document and see the document with pretty printing. This will let people actually play a game in a sense as a developer.

Seven, I'll add rxhtml to the minimal IDE and then people could make reactive reports/UIs.

At this point, the vision can start to manifest of Adama as a roblox like website for board games. Now, it is worth noting or pondering "where is the customer in all of this?" and I'm currently the customer.

Pretty much everywhere IN THE PRESENT. When reading this statement, people will immediately come to mind with several canonical examples. What's funny is, those examples will almost invariably be targeted at the political opposition in a way that's almost diametrically opposed.

People, throughout history and the present, share some things in common: a strong affinity for contempt over other groups of people leading them to all manner of false belief and irrationality, and a certainty over their own correctness.

And in saying that... Here I am, expressing contempt over some poorly defined group of people with some hint of a suggestion that I am immune.

It depends on the definition of "rational".

A serviceable but vacuous definition is "the procedure by which a decision is reached." Note that it is vacuous in that it imposes no constraints (not even repeatability/consistency), so anything that results in a decision fits the definition.

It is serviceable because if you want a better definition, you have to argue deviations/changes - eg consistency. You'll find it to be a choice, not a requirement. Eg: Batman's Joker behaves according to his rules. The end result may be unpredictable, but that doesn't mean the decision process doesn't follow his rules.

I didn't list "always succeeds" as a standard for rationality. I said, "chances they say are fifty-fifty turn out like they expected fifty percent of the time." If someone ascribes an 80% chance to each of 1000 possible events, and 800 of them happen, they are almost certainly rational.

I like to use short metaphorically, outside of financial contexts. For example, the decision to own guns is short civilization, as others have put it.

You may be interested in prediction markets for study replication, where you can a real (financial) short position against bad studies: https://fantasticanachronism.com/2021/11/18/how-i-made-10k-p...

This was a curiosity question, not any insinuation!

Have you written about it anywhere? I'd love to read.

Yes, which is why you shouldn't trust what people say about themselves, and why sometimes you shouldn't say things that are true about yourself since people will take it the wrong way. You find many smart people not calling themselves smart, because many people think that smart people shouldn't call themselves smart, so the smart thing to do is to say that you just were lucky or worked hard etc, because that is what people want to hear.

Meta communication like that makes it really hard to gather much information from what people say though, but there is still some informational value in it. If you find some statistical correlation between people saying they have attribute X and what they do otherwise, then that means something. For example, people who are good at X tend to say that they are good at X. Not everyone who is good at X will say it, and some who are bad at X will say they are good anyway, but it still adds some bits of information you can use.