Open Letter to Noam Chomsky (and Other Intellectuals) on the Russia-Ukraine War
blogs.berkeley.edu
blogs.berkeley.edu
> I think that support for Ukraine’s effort to defend itself is legitimate. If it is, of course, it has to be carefully scaled, so that it actually improves their situation and doesn’t escalate the conflict, to lead to destruction of Ukraine and possibly beyond sanctions against the aggressor, or appropriate just as sanctions against Washington would have been appropriate when it invaded Iraq, or Afghanistan, or many other cases. ** > However, I still think it’s not quite the right question. The right question is: What is the best thing to do to save Ukraine from a grim fate, from further destruction? And that’s to move towards a negotiated settlement.
Chomsky is also quite critical of Russia:
> Well, two questions, points of fact: You’re quite right, that the overwhelming mass of the war crimes, the ones that we should be considering, are carried out by the Russians. That’s not in dispute. And they are major war crimes.
Saying that Chomsky isn't anti-imperialist because he disagrees with the method of ending the conflict in Ukraine reminds me of how people who opposed the war in Iraq were said to be friends of Saddam and against Iraqi people getting freedom and democracy. Whenever war fever grips the establishment, even disagreements on tactics coming from people who share the same general goals gets treated as abhorrent heresy.
It would be nice if open and honest debate was possible before we made major geopolitical decisions.
[1] https://theintercept.com/2022/04/14/russia-ukraine-noam-chom...
This is, unfortunately, half the problem. Western intellectuals are working under the assumption that they are dealing with a state that thinks in modern terms. Ukrainians know that Russia thinks in 19th century terms, but this simple fact seems to be lost on the West. There cannot be a negotiated settlement to an old-style conquest; Ukraine is literally fighting for its existence.
It's like living with a psychopath. He knows exactly what to say to placate or distract or sideline everyone else, and give himself room to abuse and torment his target. And since Russia's propaganda machine is so effective, they actually have the elites in many places (for example Italy) parroting the party line. Hell, they even have the venerable and respected Chomsky playing their game!
To put it in perspective:
- Since when is it acceptable to invade another country, flatten their cities, send tens of millions fleeing as refugees, block their ports and threaten the world food supply, giving "because there are nazis there" as your reason? How in the hell did this ever become a valid talking point?
- Since when is it acceptable to invade country X because country Y is allowing it to join a treaty? Shouldn't country X be allowed to decide with whom they ally themselves without getting killed over it? That's like beating up your girlfriend because some other guy hit on her.
The Western intellectuals have been thinking in imperialistic terms (USA vs Russia), when in fact it's about UKRAINE, a sovereign nation with a right to exist, a country that did not threaten its neighbors or build up troops on the border like Russia has done (and then invaded). All they want is their territorial integrity back and to live securely. And no negotiated settlement with Russia will bring that because allowing Putin to "save face" will involve giving up territory, blocking any potential future defense pacts, and then sitting around waiting for invasion #3.
It's political-economic interests and contradictions and competing interests around global capital. A fight over who controls resources and which country's capitalist classes get dominance over resources and markets. Aka a classic imperialist war.
And clearly the Russians are willing to mobilize 19th century Tsarist style "Great Russian" nationalism + a heaping dose Duginist Russo-fascism in service of this agenda. But I think it's naive to think that Lavrov (Mouth of Sauron) and Putin and the people lining up behind them actually truly believe this cack.
That's for all the useful idiots.
You can see it in how quickly Russia installs collaborators in Ukrainian regions who suddenly declare that they wish to be annexed by Russia.
These kinds of idealistic psychopathic people do exist, and they are incredibly dangerous if they get into positions of power.
https://www.nybooks.com/daily/2018/03/16/ivan-ilyin-putins-p...
American politicians couldn't care less about the actual Ukrainian people. This is about either crippling Russia and scoring the political points to say they did it, or securing money either for their personal coffers or feeding their local Military Industrial Complex.
I personally think that the Ukrainian perspective matters, but we(westerners) won't care until it's too late. Tangentially related, our most recent home grown white supremacist shooter was inspired at least in part by Azov battalion, he wore a black sun patch and lifted several parts of his manifesto from Brendan Tarrant directly, another neo Nazi that actually spent time in Ukraine, with the Azov battalion being an inspiration. I imagine Russia will also be facing internal unrest for generations for what's happening in Ukraine. Maybe this is their Chernobyl moment.
This invasion has woken the sleeping European giant.
The US invaded Cuba when the Russians installed missiles, so is it surprising in the least that Russia is intervening when NATO moves up to their border?
If you have serious interest to understand what delusion started this war then please read this text https://www.nybooks.com/daily/2018/03/16/ivan-ilyin-putins-p...
That's a frame, that Chomsky knowingly pushes forward, and it sweeps a number of significant issues under the rug (trusting the Russians, freedom, future deportations, threats to other countries, all of which are addressed in the open letter). And the facts might have proven him wrong. He's been saying so since the start, but Ukraine seems to have been rather successful in repelling the Russians.
> It would be nice if open and honest debate was possible before we made major geopolitical decisions.
Tell that to Vladimir Vladimirovitsj.
Best case scenario now is Russia and Ukraine settle with Ukraine losing a bunch of territory.
Russia gets time to regroup, and if unsatisfied, invades again in another 3-5 years.
Remember, this didn’t start this year, it’s been going on for almost a decade.
Russia can win by simply keeping Ukraine unstable and ungovernable and slowly taking more and more territory. And keeping NATO at bay.
What are the same threats to Russia today? They are under no threats from the outside. Simple as that. The issue is that they’ve become increasingly irrelevant. They may work to become a modern economy. Russia is full of educated people, with a proud culture. Or they may rely on their past glory, expanding their empire by interfering with their neighbors. They’ve chosen the latter.
1. It's suicide
2. the Russia doesn't -really- need Ukraine and neither does Putin
3. see #1
Long term the only way for Ukraine independence is the equalization of it's military capabality with that of Russia. This war is a grinding machine causing heavy material and human losses for both sides but Ukraine with international support have better odds than sanctioned Russia. And frankly it's a bargain for the European democracies to support Ukraine now and later get a better aligned energy supplier and a weaker ideological enemy.
What's at play for Russia is the monopoly over European energy as Donetsk and Crimea have large recent-discovered oil & gas reserves. An independent Ukraine would certainly take over this market.
It’s in Ukraines best interest to find some co-existence with Russia at an acceptable cost.
NATO is not going to do it for them and in fact is happy to sacrifice Ukraine if it benefits the overall security of Western Europe.
Total population means nothing as it ignores that Russia demographics is skewed towards old women and that a large share of the youngers are from ethnic minorities. Russia is struggling to replenish losses and haven't mass conscripted. And sheer numbers alone aren't enough to win a war. Equipment, training, moral, tactics and logistics are also important.
"acceptable cost" here is losses in fighting for freedom or genocide. There is no choice at all, in case of fighting you have chances, in case of giving up it's death/rape/torture/gulags/deportations anyway.
Will the war end with a much smaller Ukraine? Most definitely.
This isn't really fair to the context in which he's saying a negotiated settlement is the best option. Its more like he's saying its the least bad option.
Russia has not been doing well, but they are not on the verge of defeat and if they fully committed to it they could probably continue fighting for a year or more. The entire time they would continue their scorched earth policy that has already done so much damage that it will likely take decades to recover from.
Chomsky seems to believe that because Russia was considered a formidable opponent on the world stage before this conflict and many assumed they would win in a few days, that Putin is going to come to the conclusion that his only option for remaining in power is to keep fighting and escalating. Chomsky thinks that this will lead to the destruction of Ukraine without intervention from powerful allies.
He also thinks that the intervention of a nuclear power would significantly increase the chance of a nuclear war. He thinks that if a nuclear war happens that it is very possible for it to spiral out of control into a global nuclear annihilation.
So a more honest assessment of his promotion of a "negotiated settlement" is that he simply thinks that its preferable to the near total destruction of either just Ukraine or the entire world.
Note that I'm not saying his three imagined possibilities are infallible, just pointing out that he isn't ignoring all of the things that make a negotiated settlement a bad option.
I don't agree with everything Chomsky said, but he seems to try and understand all of the opposing viewpoints in this conflict as a way to figure out what the possible outcomes are. It didn't come across as blatantly or negligently pro-Russian to me.
For example, I think its pretty reasonable to hold the opinion that Ukraine probably isn't getting Crimea back without forcibly taking it (and I have no idea if they are capable of it). Chomsky and I could be wrong about this but I don't think it makes either of us pro-Russian shills. He's not attempting to predict what ought to happen in the fantasy world that we want to exist, he's trying to predict what may happen in the deeply flawed world that we actually have.
His 2 ways of ending the war are of course correct, but in his follow-up he misses an possibility: weaken and tire your opponent before negotiating in earnest, to provide a better negotiation position. Russia is still in a mindset to plough ahead at any cost, and won’t settle for reasonable concessions. They want Ukraine beaten, humiliated and subdued to Russia.
What I’d imagine US “no negotiation” stance means is to call this game of strength, support Ukraine so that Russia’s continued war becomes untenable and then settle.
Is that pig-headed, arrogant or cavalier? I don’t think so. I think it’s just a recognition that right now Russia doesn’t respond to reason, only strength. So strength and resolve must be served up in copious amounts.
You can ignore that noise coming from "experts" like Noam.
[1] https://twitter.com/kamilkazani/status/1498377757536968711
[2] https://twitter.com/kamilkazani/status/1516162437455654913
To me, the west sponsoring the war in Vietnam comes close. The ideological basis for that war was the "domino theory", which postulated Asian countries would fall the communism like domino's. It's not too different from the way Galeev paints Russian's motivation for invading the Ukraine today. The west wanted to expand it's western way of doing things. The domino theory postulated the reverse was happening - western style culture would be snuffed out in Asia by communism. So the west decided to sponsor a horrific war to force the issue.
The west lost that war emphatically in the end. Amazingly, that loss didn't stop the US and it's allies trying to pull the same stunt again and again in subsequent years, most recently in Afghanistan. And unless it's some tiny nation as happened with Russia and Georgia, the outcome has always been the same - humiliating loss. It always costs enormous sums, inflicts huge human suffering, lasts for years, brings down governments, and yet we in the west do it over and over again. It just boggles the mind.
Russia's foray into Ukraine looks very similar to me. Ukraine was moving from a Russian style culture to a more a western style. Russia loathes and fears the displacement of their way of doing things just as much as the west loathes any drift from capitalism and individualism to communism and cooperatives. Russia's attempt at fixing this by installing a puppet government in Ukraine failed. So they decided to fix it with a war.
It's amazing two cultures believe they are so different they are willing kill each other over it, are nonetheless near identical in their instinctive approach to solving those differences.
The outcome will be no different - Russia will lose this war, just as they lost in Afghanistan and the west lost most of their similar wars. And it will have no effect on the outcome in the end. The west lost the Vietnam war, so we got to see the domino theory pan out. Turned out it was a crock of shit, little more than a mass paranoid delusion. Asian countries (including China) has been moving from communism to their own unique style of capitalism ever since.
Unfortunately I doubt it will work out that way for Russia. Unlike the domino theory, its fears are well justified. Rule by law and well managed markets work better than a kleptocracy. It means you get to have nice things. In raw numbers, Russia's economy is about the size of Australia's - a nation with 1/5 the population. Another number: Australian GDP per capita: USD$50k, Canada GDP per capita: $40k, Russia GDP per capita: $10k. All are resource rich nations.
Young Ukrainians compared what they saw in the west and the east - and made the rational decision. You can only see so far in either direction, so in the east of Ukraine where their view of the west is obscured, they are still endorse the Russian way. But if you look at poll results on joining NATO there is a line dividing east and west. People on the western side voted to become more like NATO, on the east to remain with Russia. That line has been moving steadily eastwards over time. Russia decided to wage a war to stop the advance of that line. It makes about as much sense as trying to stop jelly sliding down a wall with nails. Insane.
I wish I could say our politicians in the west were better, but history demonstrates otherwise. That's something else Russian's and westerners have in common.
1. Crimea is a settled issue. You may not like it and the referendum was obviously flawed by repeated Western polls since 2014 have shown annexation by Russia to be widely popular (~70% support). So much of this post talks about agency. What about Crimean agency?
2. While Russia is the bad guy here without doubt, you can't gloss over Ukraine's failings here. Stop with the binary thinking here that one or the other is wrong or that criticizing Ukrainian actions is victim-blaming. Prime example: cutting off the water to Crimea following 2014 by any objective standard is a human rights violation;
3. Ukraine has been a pawn for US foreign policy. It's wild to pretend otherwise. For the US military-industrial complex the current situation is basically ideal. Russia is mired in a war they cannot win, Russia has been isolated from the international community, Europe is set to become less dependent on Russian energy exports, NATO is strengthened and the US gets to sell lots of weapons to Ukraine.
4. The idea that Russia doesn't want a buffer to NATO is laughable and hypocritical. It ignores 200 years of the Monroe Doctrine where the US will not accept any foreign military presence in the Western hemisphere (it's self-declared sphere of influence). This was practically tested when the US almost started World War Three over a Soviet presence in Cuba. So why is that OK for the US but not Russia?
5. These authors make the same mistakes most US wonks do: they view the US as benign. Even if you agree with that you should at least accept that not everyone else does and there's plenty of evidence it isn't. I mean NATO's raison d'etre was to destroy the USSR. The USSR is gone so now it's by default the destroy Russia alliance.
6. As for the diplomatic solution, there ultimately will be one. There always is. Even unconditional surrender is a diplomatic end. Russia is a nuclear power. The pre-WW2 standards of defeating hegemonic powers just don't apply any more. There's a whole straw man bit in this about how the only alternative is unconditional surrender. Nobody is saying that.
I think the only thing I agree with is the justification for the invasion (most notably "denazification") is completely ridiculous. This is propaganda and it's what imperial powers do. It's really no different to the US spreading democracy in Iraq and Afghanistan.
Would it be valid?
Theres a reason the Crimea "referendum" is not accepted, and the issue is far from settled.
Tell me: in 1941, did the Baltic States enter the Soviet Union willingly (via democratic votes of coincidentally brand new Soviet-aligned governments) or did it happen due to Soviet military coercion, threats and ultimatums? Was it a settled issue in 1945-1953[1]? In 1989[2]? How about now? Same question about Czechoslovakia, Hungary, Poland, and Romania.
2. Finding it really hard not to see this as victim blaming. Do you believe cutting off the water supply to Crimea was what prompted a military invasion that targeted Kiyv, among other targets? Should Ukraine have absorbed the infrastructure costs, maintenance, etc. to keep the water supply operational for a, your words 'settled issue'? Since it would then be an international matter, the water supply question would be governed by treaties, yes? Again, at the very least, there are costs involved in keeping the water flowing. Unless you feel this is a situation where Russia can take what ever it wants and get paid for it. A sort of Bullying as a Service, if you will.
3. First of all: what if Russia's the pawn? Secondly: did the US organize the 2003 Tuzla Island incident, where Russia tried to annex Ukraine's island in the Kerch strait? Might this be a pattern that's not solely the interest of the US military-industrial complex?
4. Whataboutism. Or, as the Soviets used to say: "Oh yeah? And you're lynching negroes in the US!".[3]
5. Since you are equivocating the Soviet Union and Russia, the US is objectively more benign. To paraphrase your point: you are making the same mistake that most US "anti-imperialists" make by seeing it as the most active and subversive force in human history. In terms of repressiveness and meddling in foreign countries (coups, revolutions), Russian and Soviet history is hard to beat. Bucha in 2022 is what my great grandparents and grandparents had to live through when the Soviets occupied our country. The equivocation is justified.
6. It takes two to tango, but it's hard to listen to the crowd shouting about how you should start dancing when the other side has just left the floor and stabbed your mother in plain sight of everyone.
Fascinating how you agreed that the Russian narrative is completely ridiculous and then ended with another whataboutism about the US.
1- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anti-Soviet_partisans#During_S... 2- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Baltic_Way 3- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/And_you_are_lynching_Negroes
This is a complete lie. Also the USSR settled Crimea with many Russians to change its demographics.
But it does seem like in his own way he adopted a belief in American supremacy. The US is powerful, and unprecedentedly so (especially throughout the 90s), but they don’t control all world politics.
IMHO the reason Chomsky's views are disappointing is that he in effect picks the oppression of Ukrainians by Russians as a lesser evil compared to them fighting for their freedom. War is ugly and Chomsky is of course a life long pacifist. So that isn't a surprising point of view. But you'd hope he'd value his own freedoms a bit higher. To deny that freedom to others is the bit that disappoints.
I was surprised to read this, and indeed a quick google of "is chomsky a pacifist" returned many examples of Chomsky saying and writing that he's not a pacifist.
NATO is not a singular person or one monolithic entity, and I am saddened by the black & white quasi-religious thinking which seems to not see the complexities and contradictions here.
The people of Ukraine need to be defended from the vicious authoritarian gangsterist government that holds power in Russia. No amount of whataboutism and pseudo-pacifist handwringing will change that. Western leftists need to listen to what Ukrainian socialists are saying, instead of yammering about in a purist echo chamber.
My definition of socialism is of a worldview that stands on the side of the oppressed. To me, this is a litmus test that some people on the "left" have failed.
Actually what I've seen from Chomsky though so far is a bit more subtle than others. One of the worst I've seen was from Yanis Varoufakis.
What do you mean by "travelers" in this context?
I was assuming the poster spoke of Romani people (or "gypsies", but this is a racial slur) and it was clearly out of context.
This goes for Chomsky as well.
That is, if by left, you mean socialists rather than liberals.
1. https://github.com/binka/essays/blob/master/us_atrocities.md
The playlist is more up to date
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Corruption_in_Ukraine
Both Ukraine and Russia have been dominated by a set of oligarchs since the fall of the Soviet Union, who have amassed an extreme amount of wealth and therefore, because of weak laws and bribery, control their respective countries to an extreme degree.
I don't see why anyone on the left, should prefer one of the sets of oligarchs to the other.
Jeez, it's almost like one could be opposed to both autocracies and still support resistance against the Russian state. Like the actual left (or what's left of it) in Ukraine (and Russia) are.
A good resource is https://lefteast.org/
They call those people "radical right wing extremists" and "Nazis"
You'll have to get out of the "left" far enough to see the rest of the spectrum first. That's hard right now.
Or maybe I'm just nuts and there's no one else that thinks individuals should have agency to decide whether they're suffering or how that suffering should be alleviated.
THE FUCKING RUSSIANS WERE OCCUPYING YOU A COUPLE DECADES AGO, IT WAS NOT A GOOD TIME, HOW DO YOU NOT REMEMBER THIS?!?!?!
fwiw I would say the plurality of people are in support of Ukraine but I never imagined there would so much visible support for russia, or even concessions to russian aggression. It's very disheartening to see any question about the validity of Ukrainian sovereignty.
JFC being implicitly in favour of a powerful military occupying and bombing its weaker neighbour is not an edgy or contrarian or clever position. It's ethical bankruptcy.
Communism is a totalitarian cult after all.
Or were you trying to make some sort of point about the differences in the repressive mechanisms or social constraints established under Khrushchev vs Brezhnev?
I strongly believe there are several key factors to this: a similar cultural experience and societal identity for people over 50[1] and a strong influence stemming from the combination of only knowing Russian as their single foreign language and the prevalence of Russian TV channels in the 90s/00s as well as Russian YouTube channels more recently. The 90s were hard in post-soviet countries, many people got disillusioned, some never really got back on their feet.
In terms of misremembering the occupation: cognitive biases and flaws[2], nostalgia, regressively conservative, hyper nationalistic, as well as anti-US/Western sentiments, etc. are all abused by Russian propaganda and conspiracy theories. Some narratives are really textbook political myths[3] about the Savior, the Golden Age (I guess the US got a real taste of this one with the MAGA movement). Much like a significant number of Trump supporters in the US, supporters or Russia in my country are more likely to believe in chemtrails, sovereign citizen claims, global pedophile conspiracies, anti-LGBTQ narratives, etc.
1- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Homo_Sovieticus 2- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/False_memory#Mandela_Effect 3- http://facta.junis.ni.ac.rs/pas/pas201201/pas2012-08.pdf
By using the word „misremembering“ you only show the misunderstanding of real experiences of people which lived in that period. They may have experienced oppression, but it could be subtle and perceived very differently. Those people are not necessary living better now, often on the contrary. Transition to capitalism has left many behind, and being old, poor and misunderstood is certainly felt worse today than being young and not being able to buy American jeans back then. Calling it a false memory is intellectual snobbery.
Me too.
I am also very disappointed about their reactions to other issues too. Seems a lot of people on the left like to philosophize about issues but don't really like to acknowledge real world issues. I saw this when the rioting after the George Floyd went on. A lot of people refused to even think that maybe burning down shops is not a good response to racism. Instead they just kept on talking about systemic racism while ignoring the riots.
And now the response to Ukraine is often "Why do these Ukrainians make so much trouble? They should stop the killing and give up. They are losing anyway. We are pacifists, we don't like war". I agree that there may have been ways to deal with the situation better before the war but there is simply no excuse for Russia to attack the country and bomb cities. If somebody has responsibility to stop this, it's clearly Russia and nobody else.
Mr. Varoufakis definitely has excellent rhetoric skills, but many of his and his comrades positions and emphasis on resolving Ukrainian conflict would put put Ukraine on a plate for Putin. Makes me wonder what arrangements Mr. Varoufakis had made with Putin regime.
Perhaps apparachik does his analysis and writes books for him in exchange. Maybe popularity pumped up with bots in views, sales, invitations. Or an arrangement which protects the ground of democratic elections in Bolivia, Chile and others against a coup orchestrated by US.
All these things seem possible as the left never in history have been weaker to challenge those who have. And the prospects with Ukrainian war looks even more grimmer. And all of that because of a man who learned that wealth does not bring happiness.
There's also a significant % of the so-called "left" which has inherited from the dark and vile Stalinist past some sort of bizarre Russophilism. A kind of binary thinking that divides the world into "imperialist western bloc" and "anti-imperialist bloc" [that somehow Russia and even Iran and Assad's Syria are a part of]. Idiots like George Galloway are parroting lines like this.
Chomsky is literally an anarchist who opposes the existence of all states.
This opportunity has existed for some time. It’s clear to me at least where most Americans stand on this matter. I watched an In Depth with Chomsky on C-SPAN about a month back when in my opinion he summarized the position succinctly: America is willing to fight Russia and the invasion with every last Ukrainian.
It's the opposite of nuanced.
It's propaganda, and makes no sense - against barbaric Russian soldiers committing countless rapes and civilian executions... Ukraine would fight to the last Ukrainian even without any external support.
That people can say that Ukraine is being manipulated by others into defending their country to the death makes no sense at all. The remaining claims are wife beater logic: Look what you made me do! Russia had to invade Ukraine because they wouldn't behave, because NATO wasn't cowed and showed no respect!
A necessary consequence of the logic of opposing interventionist US foreign policy is acknowledging that there will be no “Team America: World Police” to help countries like Ukraine in regional conflicts. There’s nothing ideologically inconsistent about it.
You can’t micro-focus on a single incident. Maybe we are doing the right thing by arming the Ukrainians. But maybe we’re not. We thought we were doing the right thing arming Afghan freedom fighters against the Soviet Union. Look how that turned out. The US was ready to oppose the independence of my home country, to support western-aligned Pakistan against Soviet-aligned India: https://www.ndtv.com/india-news/kissinger-nixon-tape-declass.... There is a long track record of global powers intervening in regional wars that we can evaluate to see if on the whole the policy is a good one.
I completely accept that opposing interventionist foreign policy in the case of Ukraine support is a valid stance for US citizens.
However, I hope that in this case the US continues to support Ukraine - we need it - as the price Ukraine has paid for Russia's truly barbaric aggression is already too high.
While given a particular set of moral values this may be a legitimate argument, it is strangely inconsistent with other comparable events. Virtually nobody on "the left" will ever claim that France and the UK should have not declared war on Germany when it invaded Poland so as to decrease suffering.
Going to a more local context, in my home country of Spain, many on the left hold a historical grudge against France and the UK for not coming to the support of the legitimate Spanish Republic in 1936 when a military/nationalist coup triggered what eventually became the Spanish Civil War and lead to Franco's far-right dictatorship. The USSR, in contrast, did come to the aid of the Republic for better or for worse. However, funnily enough, whenever I bring this point up with those who claim the West is "prolonging suffering" by supporting Ukraine, they never concede that France and UK's decision at the time would be consistent with their claimed non-interventionism, nor that the USSR prolonged suffering by supporting the eventually defeated Spanish Republic.
[0] I hate the oversimplification and forced dichotomy that results from talking about "the left" or "the right", hence the quotation marks.
For this I have the following possible explanations:
- They supported a war against Germany not for the protection of Poland but in order to topple the fascist government and stop the atrocities that were being committed.
- They supported an early war against Germany because they believe that the German government would keep going with their demands and that the war was inevitable.
- They are against the war but admitting it would be a social suicide.
- They don't have an opinion about it or just have not voiced an opinion about it. (as it is an event that happened decades ago instead of one that is happening at this moment)
"funnily enough, whenever I bring this point up with those who claim the West is "prolonging suffering" by supporting Ukraine, they never concede that France and UK's decision at the time would be consistent with their claimed non-interventionism, nor that the USSR prolonged suffering by supporting the eventually defeated Spanish Republic."
This is interesting. What is their usual counterargument? I Presume that they either don't have a consistent logic behind it or they believe that protecting Ukraine would not benefit the common people (or would benefit them marginally) in comparison to the Spanish civil war which in their mind supporting the republican side would benefit the common people enough to counterbalance the loss of lives.
> - They supported a war against Germany not for the protection of Poland but in order to topple the fascist government and stop the atrocities that were being committed.
What on Earth are you talking about? France and the UK did not come to Poland's help in September 1939 not due to an altruist aspiration to stop Nazi atrocities that had not yet begun, but due to a mere fact that neither country was ready for an all out war with a heavily industrialised Nazi war machine.
Nazis invaded Poland on the 1939-09-01, but the first ever death camp at Bełżec in Poland had not been built and had not become operational until March 1942 (Operation Reinhard) with more to follow over 1942-44. The truth about the nature and the scale of Nazi atrocities had not surfaced to Western Allies until 1943 which was well into the WWII, and when it did surface, the Western Allies at first refused to believe in reports due to the unfathomable and previously unseen scale of the atrocities.
According to the official Nazi racial doctrine, all Slavic peoples (Poles, Czechs, Serbs, Ukrainians, Belorussians, Russians – all of the Slavs, indiscriminately) – with Poles specifically – were subject to a complete and indiscriminate extermination; from Himmler's speech on 1940-03-15 in Poznan:
Himmler spricht in Poznan vor den versammelten Kommandanten der Konzentrationslager. Eine seiner Aussagen: "Alle polnischen Facharbeiter werden in unserer Rüstungsindustrie eingesetzt. Später werden alle Polen aus dieser Welt verschwinden. Es ist erforderlich, dass das großdeutsche Volk die Vernichtung sämtlicher Polen als seine Hauptaufgabe versteht.".
"…das großdeutsche Volk die Vernichtung sämtlicher Polen als seine Hauptaufgabe versteht" is key here.The worst was yet to begin in 1942, not in 1939.
> > "What is their usual counterargument?"
One that stuck to my mind was, believe it or not, that an internal armed coup against a democratic government does carry the moral obligation of other democracies to intervene and defend it if said government requests it—which is not the case apparently when a democratic government requests support to defend itself from a neighbouring state which invades it without the slightest provocation. It's basically all post-hoc rationalisations of their emotional beliefs.
You can try to rationalize a distinction by saying in that case, the US failed to support the people seeking independence. But then you have to be in the business of deciding which people’s claim of independence is legitimate. Supporting the jihadists in Afghanistan against the Soviet Union didn’t exactly end up well. Intervention is always rationalized in the moment.
(Preemptively: you do not under any circumstances "gotta hand it to them", etc, etc).
[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/War_cabinet_crisis,_May_1940
WW2 could have been stopped before it started if Britain or France marched into Germany (ad they could have won at many points) at any time between 1933 and 1939.
So by arming Zelensky et al, maybe we are creating a monster (unlikely) but maybe we are stopping a much worse monster from starting WW3 (more likely).
First, when a country with nukes is involved in a conflict I think a good case can be made the "region" is the whole world if there is even a small chance nukes might be used.
Second, Russia, the US, China, and others have an agreement to not use military force against Ukraine (the Budapest Memorandum on Security Assurances). Russia is violating that agreement, which automatically makes it a conflict with the US and so not regional.
So it's possible to say he's anti-imperialist, but not sincerely so and be correct.
I think you can be an anti-imperialist and not have a strong preference for neither USA nor Russia controlling Ukraine.
And you can be against the war, and against imperialism and so naturally be against arming Ukraine to keep the war going and becoming even more vile and bloody.
Yes it does [1][2], the list is huge [3]. I don't know how you could possibly be this ignorant with the Internet existing.
1. https://github.com/binka/essays/blob/master/us_atrocities.md
2. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Neocolonialism
3. https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/how-many-...
I’m sure Central and South America are glad to know now.
Self-determination and agency is only available to those who have the means to fight for it. Ukraine has none, it has whatever the nations providing 10s of billions in military aid allow it to have.
Wishing for a fair world does not make it so.
> Self-determination and agency is only available to those who have the means to fight for it. Ukraine has none, it has whatever the nations providing 10s of billions in military aid allow it to have.
Self-determination and agency is available to those who have the will to fight for it. Clearly they do have the means to fight for it based on their ability to secure vast military support from the west.
Oh okay, it's just a coincidence that almost always get what they want and when they don't there's just coincidentally disaster.
Fascinating claim about a country that has been successfully resisting a Russian invasion for 3 months with predominantly locally-produced (and upgraded) weapons.
Nevertheless, if we steelman your argument and agree that Ukraine can never be truly self-determined and that it must choose between US or Russia, then not choosing a country that has done to Ukraine what the Russian Federation has been doing at least since 2003[1] seems favorable.
There's also the matter of centuries worth of historic memory of repression and subjugation, tortures, rapes, murders, man-made famines, forced mass deportations, etc. perpetrated by Russian autocrats and dictators. And now, quite alarmingly, we are seeing Stalinist-style atrocities being committed in 2022[2,3]. With this in mind, falling under Russian occupation is the worst case scenario for Ukraine and Ukrainians.
1 - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2003_Tuzla_Island_conflict 2 - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_filtration_camps 3 - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bucha_massacre
This isn't even close to true... Where have you been?
Perhaps there is more nuance than “controlled by the USA vs controlled by Russia - equally bad?”
And then USA's actions in Ukraine seems a lot like their Middle Eastern or South American policies. Which I doubt is in the interest of the vast majority of Ukrainians.
this is a bold claim to make without any tangible evidence to support it. Especially as it contradicts your very next statement about not having "a strong preference for neither USA nor Russia controlling Ukraine". It seems like you are claiming that Ukraine has no agency and autonomy in this situation or that the country is only allowed to resist with the armaments it has? Care to elaborate?
As for the war becoming "even more vile and bloody": do you believe Ukraine should just give up so that the Russians could be able to indiscriminately torture, rape, murder and disappear countless citizens of Ukraine, as they have been doing for centuries in the region? Again, Ukraine used its own armaments to resists and Bucha, Irpin, Mariupol and other bloody and vile atrocities still happened.
Many things in history and politics are dense. It's expected that people will disagree on these things.
But every so often something happens which is genuinely quite simple to understand. This Ukraine invasion allows you to discriminate between those who are still committed to reality and those who are not.
If you cannot understand that countries desire to join Nato (because they understand the Kremlin better than most Westerners); that ex-KGB Putin holding a candle once a year doesn't make him the grand protector of Christendom; that Russians are victims of this regime too; that this invasion was predicted by many (see Kasparov); etc etc... Then I really cannot take you serious anymore.
Ukraine is just another Iraq or Afghanistan because of similar incompetent and selfish leadership who care more about politics than the suffering of their fellow citizens.
I have no doubt that by the time the conflict ends, US and Russia would have balkanised Ukraine, and the war will turn into a stalemate prolonged low-intensity conflict with proxy battles between the superpowers in this region. Both Russia and US want to prolong the battle, as it is in their interest to do so, and the incompetent Ukranian leadership is totally blind to this.
I think he needs weapons but he has no money, so he is running the biggest tv donation marathon ever.
Also the "snubbing another", i.e. Russia is quite the victim-blaming. Ukraine snubs Russia, which it has the right to do, therefore Russia is allowed to invade?
Also Iraq and Afghanistan were attacked by the US, which according to your words means the leadership there should have just surrendered to the imperialist USA instead, instead of caring about "politics".
Yes, it is, obviously! India was once the wealthiest country in the world. It was then conquered by the British who ruled over them for 300+ years to become one of the poorest country in the world by the time the British left. Why? Weak, incompetent leadership that lacked vision. Incompetent politicians ignorantly or deliberately create suffering for their country. This war happened because of the political incompetence of the current Ukrainian leadership, and perhaps even because of their own selfish ambition to cement their political positions.
> ... and they should just surrender to Russia's interests, which would somehow would end the suffering?
Temporarily, if need be. But don't consider it as a surrender but a strategic retreat. International pressure against Russia can be diplomatically used to soften some of the demands they make, but yes, Ukraine will have to yield more. And whether the suffering ends really depends on the kind of leadership Ukraine's politician are capable of. Right now, Russia is winning the war (it is clear that they are not looking to occupy all of Ukraine and are willing to carve up the country in the long term. They are selectively targeting and occupying areas of Ukraine they consider necessary to protect its strategic interest, in case whatever remains of Ukraine after the war does manage to join NATO in the distant future).
> Ukraine snubs Russia, which it has the right to do, therefore Russia is allowed to invade?
It's the reality of the world order the super-powers have created for themselves. Yes, it is unfair.
As for Iraq or Afghanistan, the point was that they caught the interest of the superpowers, but their political leadership was politically incompetent to deal with them appropriately and couldn't protect their own country's interest. Leaders of both nation snubbed the superpowers. And look at them now. That's what the Americans and Russians will do to Ukraine too, unless Ukrainian politicians understand and accept the reality of their own standing in the world order.
You've predicted 2014.
The left is basically parroting the exact same language the right did for all its foreign interventions.
The left is basically parroting the exact same language
the right did for all its foreign interventions.
I don't find it hypocritical to oppose wars of aggression.GWB's invasion of Iraq was America breaking international law. I was against that.
The Russian invasion of Ukraine is Russia breaking international law. I am against that.
I am for whatever strategy (military aid? diplomacy? alliances?) most effectively addresses the Ukraine invasion and limits future illegal invasions. Nobody can know yet which strategy would be best, but it's not hypocrisy to be open to military aid, etc. I want to live in a world where leaders obey the rules.
And I’m not sure I understand the jump from “i oppose X” to “the US must get involved with X”.
Noam Chomsky is critical of Russia’s invasion, just like you.
But doing “something” is an entirely separate decision. People seem to be operating with the default of “if there is a problem, the US has an obligation to fix it”
It’s that mentality that has gotten us into so much trouble over the past 60-70 years.
My opinion is the default is “we do nothing”, and anything more needs justification and a careful analysis to ensure we don’t make things worse (which has been the outcome of almost every intervention since WW2).
One bad thing about GWB's wars is that the global community failed to prevent or meaningfully punish them. That precedent increases world-wide recklessness and paranoia.
I worry that if the outcome of the Ukraine is not a spectacular failure for Russia, the world will continue backsliding (I bet there are Chinese generals rallying already to take Taiwan)
What faith remains in the rule of law internationally is important to preserve. Eg: if the Hague had managed to imprison Cheney et al, would Russia today dare to invade neighbors?
My worries there are why I am open to escalation, though, like you, I fear it could escalate up to some kind of extinction event :(
Everything for the victory, I guess?
> US Congress quietly enables funding for Ukrainian neo-Nazi-led Azov Regiment
> David Levine
> 1 February 2016
> The 2016 Consolidated Appropriations Act, signed into law by US President Barack Obama late last year, did not include a previously expected ban against the funding of the Azov Regiment, a military organization that originated as a volunteer militia in May 2014 and was subsequently incorporated into the National Guard of Ukraine.
> The Azov Regiment is notorious for the openly white supremacist and anti-Semitic views of its members, and its use of the Wolfsangel, a swastika-like symbol once used by certain divisions of the armed forces of Nazi Germany, as well as its leading role in the Battle of Mariupol in May-June 2014. The regiment’s leader is Andriy Biletsky, a current member of the Ukrainian Verkhovna Rada (parliament) and also leader of the neo-Nazi Social-National Assembly. In a characteristic statement, Biletsky was quoted by the UK Telegraph last August as stating, “The historic mission of our nation in this critical moment is to lead the White Races of the world in a final crusade for their survival, a crusade against the Semite-led Untermenschen.”
I'm waiting for your explanations.
Those debates are a bit dry and a bit pointless, good and evil don't matter, only influence and power matter.
I'm for Ukraine but you can't deny that Putin still has a lot of people rooting for him, even in Ukraine.
If you ask Russians, they will easily answer that Irak was illegally invaded (the lapsus of bush did not help), so it becomes difficult for the west to be seen as the good guy, and it's cynical to say it, but opinions of the masses matter.
So of course that comparison is unfair, but this comparison kind of matter in geopolitics.
Can I suggest "interests and power" instead. Influence is a form of power and it's important to pay attention to interests, which drive the use of power. I should also highlight that cost vs. benefit is the other determining factor.
"Good" and "evil" are loaded stand-ins for sets of values and actions, but consider: the U.S. has more influence and power than China. Which country would you rather live in or be influenced by?
I'm surprised, because I thought that Chomsky was mostly intelligent person. I've heard that he had very strange political views, but to just repeat Putin seems to manifest his lack of an ability to think for himself.
He was mainly doing what Chomsky always does which is point out the crimes and hypocrisies of various western governments.
But he's always been fairly consistently against authoritarian governments and dictators. I'll have to go digging to see exactly what this letter is responding to.
Some other western leftists do sound like this, though. Yanis Varoufakis did an annoying interview for example.
Even Lula said something similar on a Time interview recently. Brazil is very dependent on Russia's fertilizers and is a big (biggest?) food exporter. Brazilian politicians have been very careful to condemn the war while being light on Putin or the result could mean a significant rise on the price of food and even famine.
Lavrov talks like an anti-imperialist while actually basically being the Mouth of Sauron. The talking face of a failing autocratic petro-state.
Then, you would understand more what Chomsky is saying.
Source: I spent the last two years+ full time in Ukraine, much of the last decade in Ukraine.
I'm not Ukrainian - I just know reality from theatre.
He is respectfully old, but this only underscores how remarkable he is, how true to his life-long commitment of exposing the imperialist narratives and giving voice to the oppressed.
However, I guess, russia's war against Ukraine presented a tough topic for him. He is undoubtedly anti-war and in support of people who suffer. Yet he cannot detach this from the fact that indeed the USA, EU, and NATO are in helping position to Ukraine.
This by extension put Mr. Chomsky at odds with Ukraine's struggle, thus all the narratives so familiar from russian propaganda to justify this stance. But by all means, he's not a russia's or putin's proxy. Sadly and predictably, his views are readily weaved into this propaganda, while his name and work is largely irrelevant to most of the russia population.
Ukraine remains the land where Chomsky's father was born. And the present reality is that this land is still being blown and burned on the orders of russia criminal leadership, who gives a damn about Mr. Chomsky's life-long commitment.
In this case the Ukrainian people, their language and culture are the oppressed, historically! So I believe, Mr. Chomsky is on Ukraine's people side too ... just in the depths and breadth of his heart.
Ukraine did not start this war, russia did. Now Ukraine needs every bit of support to withstand and hopefully prevail in this struggle to survive as people and the nation!
Take for example the Bosnian war. People are quick to misrepresent Chomskys views as supporting the Serbs position. He just was against actions which would escalate the conflict. And he was correct. NATO involvement spurred genocide.
His points on Ukraine are nuanced. Ukrainians hate it because they want everyone to just whole-sale support them. True support of Ukraine is pushing for peace. Arming Ukraine is akin to someone encouraging a little kid to fight an older bully. All we will accomplish is the eventual hurt of the kid.
http://goodtimesweb.org/industry-govt-agents/z-chomsky-nato-...
> More important, the U.S. was able to enforce its domination over the strategic Balkans region, ... A destitute Serbia remains the last holdout, probably not for long.
How can you take someone seriously who writes that in the closing paragraphs, and ignores the preceding mass killings with the remark that "it wasn't really genocide, so who cares"? Anyway, the pattern "NATO made them kill" is in that article as well.
Probably they are. I suspect I need to witness them firsthand.
From the perspective of working class unity and logistic/democratic changes to civilization, I've not found any of his advice terribly useful. Becoming an academic and pushing policy is inaccessible to most working people.
In areas like this he comes dangerously close to being a propagandist for Putin. We need a Fifth International where we can all come together and agree once and for all that state capitalism is not socialism, and China and Russia are officially capitalist countries with absurd levels of communist propaganda.
Any hope that the tools of capital will eventually lead to a people's revolution when the primary barrier to that is a totalitarian vanguard party seems silly to me.
What... he's famous precisely for turning many people into progressives and socialists. Nobody would even know he's a linguist or geopolitical theorist otherwise. He's literally a popularizer for the left.
> We need a Fifth International where we can all come together and agree once and for all that state capitalism is not socialism, and China and Russia are officially capitalist countries with absurd levels of communist propaganda.
This I can get behind though. I don't think it will succeed though, Russia and China have paid a lot for their lackeys on the left.
> Simply put, have you considered the possibility that Ukrainians would like to detach from the Russian sphere of influence due to a history of genocide, cultural oppression, and constant denial of the right to self-determination?
Have you considered the possibility that Ukraine is going to attach to the West's sphere of influence? Would Ukrainians really want it or they just want the invasion to be stopped?
Yes.
They’ve already said yes in 2014.
It then mentions the Budapest memorandum which has nothing to do with whether the people living in Crimea like it or not. Then it mentions that "Crimeans" is not a thing, it is clear that by "Crimeans" Chomsky meant the people living in Crimea. Then he mentions that Crimean Tatars are the indigenous people of Crimea, which while I expect it to be considered as true by most people, I do not think that it really matters, after all nobody really cares about the Anatolian Greeks in Turkey. It then mentions that the referendum was held at gunpoint, which I am not sure what it is supposed to mean, could they not vote whatever they wanted in it? As for whether it was declared invalid by the UN assembly, this is irrelevant as to whether the people living in Crimea like it or not.
"In contrast, we argue that prosecuting Putin for the war crimes that are being deliberately committed in Ukraine would set an international precedent for the world leaders attempting to do the same in the future."
This open letter does not try to justify this argument. I would claim that it is false, just consider the various attempts to charge various fighters (in Iraq and other places) against the US with war crimes while at the same time the US refuses to do the same for its own solders.
"Unconditional surrender and then elimination of Ukrainians off the face of the Earth (see above)?"
Here they try to imply that the objective is to kill every Ukrainian while not explicitly mentioning it, while it seems that the goal is to instead eliminate the idea of Ukrainian separatism. (kinda like Spain and Catalonia)
"If you truly value Ukrainian lives as you claim to, we would like to kindly ask you to refrain from adding further fuel to the Russian war machine"
This open letter does not try to justify why they think that providing military assistance to Ukraine will lead to less deaths compared to what Chomsky thinks.
Edit: Please do not take this post as a sign of support of any side. Rather it is just criticism of the specific open letter.
What an utterly inappropriate comparison.
Yes, this usually means exactly that. For example, that Crimean Tartar community members were kidnapped, arrested, disappeared, deported or killed before, during and after the referendum. It also means that vote counting was rigged, ballot stuffing was prevalent, people were coerced into voting, and that the very question posed in the referendum was completely biased.
> Here they try to imply that the objective is to kill every Ukrainian while not explicitly mentioning it, while it seems that the goal is to instead eliminate the idea of Ukrainian separatism. (kinda like Spain and Catalonia)
Your statement seems to imply that Ukraine is not a sovereign country, otherwise it pains me to understand how it could be 'separatist'. Care to elaborate?
Russia's official statements regarding Ukrainian sovereignty, nationhood, and nationality do speak of 'elimination'. Russian actions in occupied territories of Ukraine indicate that this is, indeed, one of their war aims. Since the elimination of a nationality and its culture is what's known as committing a genocide, I have to ask: are you saying that Spain is committing a genocide in Catalonia?
Even if this is true[1] I do not see how this would alert the result of the referendum, given the amount of people who voted in support of joining Russia.
[1] this article is the first time that I saw such a claim. I might search about it later.
"and that the very question posed in the referendum was completely biased"
The question as posted in Wikipedia seems reasonable to me.
"Your statement seems to imply that Ukraine is not a sovereign country, otherwise it pains me to understand how it could be 'separatist'. Care to elaborate?"
I mean regarding the currently occupied territories/after a future annexation of Ukraine.
"do speak of 'elimination'"
Sure, of the ideas of "sovereignty, nationhood, and nationality", not of the people themselves.
"Since the elimination of a nationality and its culture is what's known as committing a genocide"
I (and as I perceive it, the majority of the people) do not personally consider the elimination of the idea of a nationality as genocide. I could perhaps be willing to entertain the idea of a cultural genocide (it is however questionable that this is what is planned for the Ukrainians) but I would not equate it to an actual genocide.
"are you saying that Spain is committing a genocide in Catalonia?"
I have seen some arguing it, but it is not something that I personally believe.
Chomsky having a pop at the US is like the socialist left or BLM in the US having a pop at Democrats. Yeah, in some grand sense they should be focusing on their common enemy, but on the other hand, someone has to remind people that "the best out of the two current options" isn't that great either or we'll never expand the options, as frustrating as that is when you are emotionally attached to another issue that hangs in the balance and you want a broad coalition to focus on.
"If you'd just shut up about racism/sexism/capitalism/war/jobs then we'd be able to totally sort out sexism/capitalism/war/jobs/racism, which is clearly more important!".
John J. Mearsheimer, Professor of political science.
How the US created putin:
The fact that Russia invaded Ukraine’s sovereign territory is irrelevant.
Why? Because the only sovereign territory you have is the one you can occupy and defend. And it’s pretty clear Ukraine can do neither with the regions Russia has already occupied.
Sure, the invasion is “illegal”. But being “illegal” means nothing if you don’t have the means to take it back.
So, if a weaker power like Ukraine wishes to maintain their territorial integrity they need to find a solution with Russia. Sure, that’s not fair and offends our sense of sovereignty, but hey, that’s reality.
That’s what people are getting at with “NATO threatened Russia so Russia invaded”. It’s not excusing it. It’s not saying it’s right. It’s just describing reality.
The West is more than happy to bankroll Ukraine’s defense, but it won’t be their sons and daughters dying. They’ll just fight to the last Ukrainian and then settle with Russia in some way. NATO has zero qualms hurting Russia by burning Ukraine to the ground.
Ukraine’s smartest move is negotiate some neutrality with Russia and move on with life.
It absolutely amazing to read opinions on HN how dumb the population was the get itself involved in Vietnam, Iraq and Afghanistan and then watch them buy hook, line and sinker the exact same arguments for Ukraine.
US/NATO/EU and Russia are just doing business uppon the deaths of ukrainians. Russia is clearly the most responsible for this, however, please, don't insult our intelligence by speaking of "democartic values" of the "free west". The west camp is equally rotten, it just has some nice make up on it's face and the only reason they are supporting ukraine is to make money, pretending they care for the devastated ukrainian people. They did not start the fire, but they are dumping tons of gas on it, because they benefit.
Very black & white, binary thinking.
I don't think you realize the depth of the cleptocracy that is Russia. There is a reason why all the nations from behind the former Iron Curtain would rather fight to the death than end up under their control again.
Of all the bloody, miserable empires of the world, the Russian one is the most dysfunctional and has been so for centuries. It is a historical outlier, a poor and underdeveloped nation conquering its richer and more developed neighbors to the west by sheer brute force. Hopefully it seems that the recipe no longer works.
Is Russia more rotten than the major western players? Ok let's agree on that too. So i should change the wording "equally rotten" to "also rotten". Still rotten as to my standards and still hypocrites.
1. Many countries are dumping old military equipment on ukraine and re-stocking with new. (Profit for the military equipment providers)
2. The gas bans mean US based LNG is going to be transported to Europe as alternate gas source (profits for providers and transporters)
The exonomy will be hurt in some ways (mostly impacting regular people) but it will benefit quite a few buisness sectora (on the expense of others)
So I don’t think the West is in it to make money. Not at all. If it was up to the Eastern EU countries they would send their armies to fight in Ukraine. They are scared of Russia. That’s their primary motivation, not profit. Other EU countries are alarmed but they lack the traumatic experience of Soviet occupation so they are less eager to fight. Still they are smart enough to realize if Russia succeeds the Baltics or Poland could be next. So the EU helps out of self preservation.
The US just sees this as an opportunity to damage Russia, they prefer to stretch this war out. The EU wants it to end as fast as possible.
I don’t see a profit motive.
A Marxist analysis would see the whole thing as a conflict between competing spheres and sectors of the international capitalist class that has broken out into open violent conflict. Contradictions in interests that were not resolvable by statecraft or other means are now being "resolved" through wholesale destruction.
Which is disturbingly similar to WWI.
The formula is simple, you make a narrative that devides to right and wrong. Then you spam people of the hell that will break loose if they do not vote for what you want. People vote it and then you say "hey! The people wanted it, not me!" If they don't vote it you just hold a second referendum.
I am not saying this is what happened there exactly, but referendums have become a joke in the 21st century.