White House releases plan to boost housing supply
thehill.com
thehill.com
Aaaand it's priced in.
> The White House also urged lawmakers to pass Biden’s 2023 budget request, which includes a proposal for $10 billion in HUD grants to increase accessibility to affordable housing.
"The House on Tuesday night passed a $40 billion military and humanitarian aid package" (https://www.nytimes.com/2022/05/10/us/politics/congress-ukra...)
... how anyone can treat politics seriously is beyond me.
(edit: would love some actual replies into A - how the market is not going to price this in and B - how a package 1 / 4 of some foreign aid is really going to help up)
The primary way to actually improve the housing market is to shift taxes away from improvements and onto land value. This would remove the disincentive to build and add a disincentive to engage in idle speculation.
Secondarily, we should remove the local regulatory hurdles that constrain supply, such as restrictive zoning, mandatory parking minimums, etc.
This plan is even worse, in that they’ll also provide “rental and downpayment assistance”, causing home prices to skyrocket in exactly the same way as college tuition.
Switching to plant-based foods (at least removing beef & dairy from our diets) would free up 30 mil. km2 of land.
We can have enough plant-based dairy and proteins to feed the population many times over, simultaneously decrease our carbon footprint, stop anthropogenic extinction and increase housing availability.
[0] https://ourworldindata.org/uploads/2020/01/Global-land-use-g...
I will not return to a plant based food diet -- and many people will agree with me, often quite aggressively. Eating beef is so important that I will spend my last dollar buying that expensive hamburger.
What I am trying to say is your line of coercion is a waste of time and doomed to fail. You cannot force dietary habits on people with an argument of sustainability. I don't care if the planet ends, I just want my damn steak, and that is a primal urge far stronger than sustainability ethics.
The US still has plenty of land that could be used for housing that currently isn't used at all. Last I checked, I think there's even currently enough housing for everyone in the US. The problem is that the land and houses aren't where people want to live, because of jobs or family or etc.
E.g. Detroit has a bunch of cheap and open housing. Rural areas could probably have 10x the current population density without touching agriculture.
Carbon footprint arguments are fair, but a change in diet is unlikely to change the cost of living in San Francisco, New York, LA, etc.
This does not apply in central Europe.
Real estate market in Europe is severely constrained now. There is a demand overhang (for every property you've got hundreds of interested buyers) for family housing (I'm not monitoring situation in other markets) even in rural areas, at the same time all villages/cities are limiting new construction by zoning and/or building regulations.
My suspicion is that increasing the area of land intended for urban construction should decrease the house prices and increase their availability.
There is a tendency to limit expansion of villages/cities into surrounding areas for some decades now (in Europe, not sure about US). And that surrounding areas would be (mostly) agricultural land.
Many young people have trouble buying places to live in because the prices are too high - in some areas houses cost multiples than few decades ago (inflation adjusted).
Mega cities/high density housing are a solution for a crowded world without remote work/work from home, concentrating people into as small area as possible, not without its cons, of course.
Single family housing on the other hand (usually) offers higher quality of life, and is more desirable (for many, at least). And for that the solution may be creating new cities/suburban areas, therefore we would need to allocate more land, land not currently used for housing, of which we have plenty - although the current political/administrative notion is that we don't have where to expand, because agriculture land is sacred/not to be touched/built on.
P.S. I know the article is about US and I'm talking mostly about Europe. But European politicians have a tendency to copy down US policies in quick succession, so my comment may be relevant.
P.P.S. To say it clearly, I don't think that helping new homeowners to get into debt by providing down payment assistance (for housing units overpriced because of existing regulation) is better than lowering prices of said properties by changing zoning/building rules.
There is NO housing crisis in the broader US. Just in the large mega cities and their bedroom communities. Many places suffer from a LACK of residents actually. We all learned how Zoom works because of COVID and some folks took that to heart and moved away from the big cities. In certain areas housing is booming. In others, it's seeing a decline. NYC has seen almost 2 million residents leave in the last 2 years.
https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2021/08/13/migrant-enc...
Why not just enforce existing laws against illegal entry to the country, and deport the 10-20 million already inside the USA? That would free up a lot of real estate.
The tech industry was built and maintained by immigrants, and all families are immigrants to new lands at some point in their history. Look around, you will see there are folks that are doing things that you will not do for money. If you want those things to stop and collapse society, keeping pushing for deportation of the labor pool.
The government is not a business.
That's kind of a non-sequitor; downstream income has nothing to do with the cost of the good. Somebody could quadruple the price of steel, but people down the line will still make income.
Student loans is a great example here. Government comes in, gives everyone financing, and the price of college just so happens to rise to the level of financing the government will offer.
I don't see a way this ends well. If they offer it to everyone, housing prices simply factor that in. If they only offer it to the very poor, it just collapses two existing housing brackets into one (the very poor can spend like they're only kind of poor, making very poor cease to exist as a category and lumping the existing "very poor" housing into the "kind of poor" category).
We need more housing or lower demand. That's the solution. Anything else is just shuffling around hardships.
In this instance, the proposal is to dramatically increase the price of housing by giving away free money to people that they can only use if they buy housing
They also have the nasty side effect of doing far more than anyone intended.
Like that time they gave away subsidized loans for college and then acted surprised when the price of college increased.
The purpose, of course, was a massive transfer of wealth to the colleges and universities which were an important political ally and perpetual source of newly-indoctrinated voters. But people wouldn't have supported "giving a trillion dollars to the elite colleges that support the party"
Some politicians promised a more generic student loan forgiveness, but politicians promise a bunch of things.
They gave out subsidized loans so more people could go to college… and guess what, more people went to college.
If government puts me on their shit list I wind up in a cage.
If your local power company thinks still you owe them $50 after you move out of a rental you might get harassed by collectors and have your credit dinged. If your local government thinks you owe them $50 there's a good chance eventually wind up with a warrant out for your arrest. It gets even worse when you consider how often these kinds of entities make paper pushing errors.
The entity we entrust with the power to use violence shouldn't be sticking its fingers in anything where we aren't willing to accept more violence.
https://www.zmescience.com/science/nestle-company-pollution-...
This means that when it goes south Biden can let the next president handle the fallout.