Bugs Matter: counting insect ‘splats’ on vehicle number plates [pdf]
cdn.buglife.org.uk
cdn.buglife.org.uk
I think I've done that like... four or five times, total, since the year 2000. And I think every time it was for a single big bug-splatter.
[EDIT] I also recall there being tens of times more large insects—butterflies, large moths, grasshoppers, katydids—around in general back in the late 80s and early 90s, even in the 'burbs, like they were just all over the place in the Spring and Summer, you'd walk through lawn-length grass at the school playground and tons of them would be all around you, hopping away or taking to the air, and now I have to try pretty hard to find even one... but surely that can't be right, can it? That'd be super noticeable by scientists who track that kind of thing. Right?
... Not me. Other boys.
Anyway. I don't think the mosquitoes got the memo. I feel like I get more and more bites every year.
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'( )------( )=However a tiny bit of investigation into this will lead you to realize that this hypothesis is false.
More than just being false, research has discovered that modern cars hit more insects than less aerodynamic cars [0]:
> The research included vintage cars up to 70 years old to see if their less aerodynamic shape meant they killed more bugs, but it found that modern cars actually hit slightly more insects.
So, given what research has shown us, we should expect there to be more insects observed if it were the case that insect populations remained stable while cars became more aerodynamic.
0. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/feb/12/car-spla...
> This is contrary to a suggestion that finding fewer insects on number plates in recent years might be attributed to increasing streamlining of vehicle aerodynamics over time. Our data show that newer vehicles sample more insects than older vehicles, and we have observed pattern of fewer insects on number plates more recently than in the past in spite of this effect of vehicle age, which is assumed to be correlated with aerodynamics.
In fact the researchers posit a few more possiblities other than collapse of insect populations that could explain their data. For example they can't eliminate the possibility that there's some change in the management of roadside verges that specifically decreases the insect population in those environments, without reducing the population in other environments.
The challenge for all the explainations which involve something other than population change is that there's now an increasing nubmer of studies using different techniques which consistently show declining populations. For example [1] uses Malaise traps in nature reserves, which presumably wouldn't be affected by roadside management practices, and finds a ~75% decrese in flying insect biomass over 27 years, whereas [2] uses light trap data to look at moths specifically and finds a ~40% decline in biomass over 50 years (and ~50% in woodlands).
Whilst it's possible to find studies that show increases in insect numbers e.g. as a result of site-specific conservation work, there's a lot of data suggesting that in Europe at least numbers are in significant decline. As far as I can tell (and I'm really not an expert) we don't understand the reasons all that well, but habitat fragmentation and pesticide use are leading theories. We at least know that common pesticides (notably, but not exclusively, neonicotinoids) are toxic to bees, and will reduce populations even at sub-lethal doses (e.g. [3]). So changing our agricultral practices to eliminate these chemicals looks like a necessary, but perhaps not sufficient, part of the solution.
[1] https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal... [2] https://resjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/icad... [3] https://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.66...
National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. 2005. Assessing and Managing the Ecological Impacts of Paved Roads. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. https://doi.org/10.17226/11535.
But it would be very difficult to measure that effect.
In the 90s, it needed a weekly scrub to keep the headlights and plate visible.
I have literally not washed my car a single time over the last year. It has moss and pollen all over, but there are hardly any bug splats.
This frightens me _so_ very much.
Here's a big list, for anyone interested in some numbers: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Automobile_drag_coefficient
Motorcycle engines, however… Some of those are 14-16K stock.
My first Mark 1 Ford Fiesta from 198something had its plate at about the same place as the Honda S2000 I had in 200something and the Renault CLio I have now and the Ford Transit van I also drive.
The S2000 did the best doughnuts though. Rear wheel drive, variable valves, 13,500 RPM red line and quite a lot of welly.
I live in Yeovil, Somerset - the Ariel mob are from down the road - Crewkerne (pronounced something like Kruken!)
Motorcycle engines, however… Some of those are 14-16K stock.
Not doubting you just genuinely interested as an enthusiast. edit: saw your other reply
$ gti
,---------------.
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/ /_______|_______\\________
|] GTI |' | |]
= .-:-. |________| .-:-. =
` -+- -------------- -+- '
'-:-' '-:-'I can't really refute it, but it doesn't ring true to me either.
Insects don't even touch the car before exploding, mind you.
[1] https://www.ucf.edu/news/new-study-shows-impact-of-roadkill-...
> The results show that the number of insects sampled on vehicle number plates in the UK decreased by 58.5% between 2004 and 2021, and that these differences were statistically significant. A comparison of the 2004 national data with the 2019 data from Kent showed a 53.7% decrease. The greatest decreases in splat rate between 2004 and 2021 occurred in England (65%) whilst journeys in Scotland recorded a comparably smaller decrease (27.9%), with intermediate decreases in Wales (55%).
[1] https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal...
Just anecdotally, I see almost no bugs swarming street lights anymore, and have personally experienced the windshield phenomenon on several road trips.
Now they seem to be able to navigate their way out with comparative ease. Open a door or window and waft them in the general direction and they seem to be able to escape.
I've been wondering for a few years if this was evolution.
Still, there is no doubt that the insect population is in a massive decline.
incorrect
As I've pointed out in another comment, research has shown [0] that counter-intuitively "modern cars actually hit slightly more insects."
It's a reasonable hypothesis, however what this research shows is that we would have expected to see more dead insects on cars had populations remained stable.
0. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/feb/12/car-spla...
It depends on what the nature of the airflow around a specific car looks like. Bugs have a harder time than air making a "hard corner" but the mass of air stuck at a hard corner can cause other air to go around in a more graceful way and carry the bugs with them.
Coefficient of drag hasn't improved much since the 90s and most of those improvements have been with regard to the vacuum behind the car so aerodynamics is probably only a contributing factor either way.
There are a lot of very plausible explanations to work through before you have to consider something exotic like EM sensitivity.
Extremely high power extremely low frequency radiation can also cause electrical flow but it's not been found to be problematic in humans at least. I doubt anyone has done a study on extremely low frequency radiation for arthropods in the specific time frame specified by the GP but I also doubt this portion of the EM landscape has changed significantly enough compared to before that time frame to be a relevant explanation.