Automattic (Wordpress) Has Acquired IntenseDebate’s Enhanced Comment System
techcrunch.com
techcrunch.com
Of course, if you're on HN, you might have both =P
This "bad news" was reponsible for a lot of folks switching to Disqus. We were waiting for the feature for our blog, and switched within days of its release. I don't think many serious bloggers are willing to put their community history into the hands of someone without knowing they'll be able to get them back out. So, I don't think this can be viewed as a bad thing, no matter how things shake out--that's just a big batch of users that would have never been Disqus users, if the feature didn't exist.
And Disqus does have the pretty clear market lead...but they will need to keep innovating rapidly to keep growing that lead, particularly in the interim as ID lives in "private beta" while the WordPress folks do whatever it is they're doing with it.
Basically, they gave their users an option to leave if something better came along. If ID integrates with WP.com and everybody ends up having an ID account, that would probably be the "something better" that would push people over to ID.
A quote from their post for anyone worried that it'll be WordPress exclusive: "You will still be able to use IntenseDebate on Typepad, Tumblr, Blogger, Movable Type, and other platforms with more to come!"
Congrats!
Disqus will probably have a long time before they are troubled :)
If you mean on an install count basis, then I'd disagree.
edit: i misread your comment, and thought that you meant having an exit means ID can better execute. You're totally right that my comment should be future tense. It's a prediction.
http://siteanalytics.compete.com/disqus.com+intensedebate.co...
"My intuition" is Intense debate will see more comments than Disqus. But this does not mean Disqus is in trouble either. I use Disqus sometimes on enabled blogs and it is a great product.
I think comments are something special, a developing arena that are the heart of "the conversation".
But my comment is probably naive in that there are so many unknowns that we can't really predict all that much. Intuition is like that though: you get a gut feeling that is the integral over all your experience. I think that matters in personal decision making quite a bit, but clearly isn't respected in an 8 word comment :)
:)
A megalodon release is a bit different.
Still, people do install Firefox, so people will upgrade included components for good reason. Also, Disqus will probably continue their lead on all other platforms.