Teenagers Will, Like, Totally Abandon Facebook for Google+
readwriteweb.com
readwriteweb.com
I do see Google+ slowly taking away from Facebook's hold on teenagers, but I cannot see a complete transition from Facebook to Google+ happening. Perhaps a small group of teens that go into the world of Google+ with an exponential growth, similar with MySpace and Facebook. I see the beginning process being similar, but not a complete end of teenagers on Facebook, but rather just a slightly lower activity level as people use both Google+ and Facebook, or solely use the former.
P.S. How did 14-17 year olds even get a hold of a Google+ account when you have to be 18 or older =P
P.S.S. How was this comment. This is my first comment on Hacker News. Hope this was a quality post.
Well, there's plenty of ways to communicate! And plenty of ways to say something publically, too. I think one key thing Facebook has that other (currently well-known) things don't is the area between the two -- ability to write something directed at a specific person, which is also public. Namely, making a post on their wall. I was very surprised to learn Google+ doesn't do this when it was being touted as a replacement for Facebook. IMO, Google+ is actually more like LiveJournal but without threaded comments.
I have no doubt that Facebook extensively tests their changes to the UI features with a focus on how much more time people spend on Facebook. For example, the lightbox photo UI was panned as being confusing and slow, but brings in an extra billion (+5%) photo views a day [1].
While 48% of teens claim that they try to ignore or see no real value in the ticker, I bet that a large chunk of them are clicking on it (whether they consciously want to or not).
[1]: https://www.facebook.com/notes/facebook-engineering/developi...
If the interface is confusing, then it sounds like those extra billion image views a day were probably accidental -- which would simply mean wasted bandwidth (and money) for Facebook. Unless those extra image views somehow also produced additional ad impressions for Facebook or something like that, then I'm not sure why they'd consider having to serve up more images a success if people were happier using the old system...
Facebook can do test rollouts of features to specific segments of their users and exactly measure the impact. In comparison, making a survey gives you crap data that tells you nothing about how the usage patterns of Facebook will change. Because what people say they will do and what they actually do are two different things, and Facebook keeps very quiet about the actual patterns.
Sometimes though you can infer that announced features actually wasn't a success. They'll just be quietly rolled back or changed or never rolled out to the entire userbase. What happened to Timeline, for example?
Note that this is from my personal experiences, and has a high probability of being completely wrong when you look at a broader population.
Unless Google can pull something revolutionary out of their
hat (or Facebook has a major blunder) in regards to chat
Don't you know about GTalk? Or what would you add to it, to get to FB chat level? Because it's basically the ~same thing~, based on the same technology (xmpp).Regarding GTalk / GMail: I just want to point out that GTalk features a decent mobile client (at least for Android, WebOS - no idea about the rest), a desktop client (at least for Windows?) and a widget that you can use not only in GMail (think google.com/ig for example). Or - connect with a decent 3rd party IM app on just about every OS.
Back when I was in middle/high school, people I knew used AIM, not Yahoo Messenger, or MSN Messenger because that's where their friends were. The fact that they were essentially the same just served to enforce the point that AIM would have had to make a very major blunder for anyone to switch. The same holds for facebook chat.
(They can get around it on their personal devices with proxies, but the computers owned by the school are pretty well locked down)
I honestly don't think Google+ will ever have more traction than Facebook, at least with the teenage crowd.
How many teens use Gmail? Despite Gmail's popularity among techies, I seem to recall that they only have like 5% market share, so I'm guessing most teenagers don't use Gmail.
Come to think of it, is teenage slang far slower-moving than I had always thought? When not being deliberately driven by Ninja Turtles or Clueless, that is?
People also say "totes muhgotes" (spelled phonetically)
I have a few friends who have decided to leave Facebook, but it's always because they don't like the addiction aspect of it, not any trivial changes Facebook chooses to make.
That said, I really like the new features rolling out. They are definitely an improvement (except for the timeline, that shit's dumb.)
I stopped using Facebook a few months ago.
This is only relevant because I'm a teenager.