Zelensky is going to do a civil lawsuit if he looses the war ... makes sense.
Anyway. An NDA is silly and unnecessary when you have far more powerful laws governing state secrets, treason etc. than anything under civil law.
It also provides a route to prosecute someone who might be caught sharing information they shouldn’t maliciously, but where treason etc could not be proved.
It also gives them legal cover if they need to charge someone with something.
AKA just today they announced a 'mole' high up in the civil service.
We will do everything possible to avoid repeating of the genocide, but RF is a strong opponent with a lot of resources, so we need to be smarter, see better, be better equipped, and be faster. Otherwise, they will just push us inch by inch to Western border.
My grandfather survived this and was the one who told me about the famine.
Since then I have panic attack from time to time from the idea I won't have anything to give my children when they ask for something to eat.
It's even worse now, because that's what is happening on occupied territories.
Or to people in occupied territories, whoever needs it. Life has ups and downs. Thank God I'm doing OK these days, so the only appropriate response to that prosperity is to share freely. Then if/when the tides turn, someone will be able to show the same kindness. So yes, I would like to help if you can specifically say how to do so.
Expecting current situation I and my family left Ukraine in 2012, so we currently help refugees arriving to Germany.
I doubt there is a way for Russia to win here in any meaningful way. Russia already lost too much armor without gaining anything but a land route to Crimea (which it needs to secure somehow).
Russia does not have any modern tech of its own production and population that is not a supportive as the government would like. Even now real support is not as widespread but it will only get worse with economy going south. People are cheering while they still feel safe and relatively comfortable.
I highly doubt Russia can do much without WMD here. And using WMD's will be a loss anyway.
Either this shit is over by September or we are going for the red button in August.
I wouldn't be so sure about that. If the Russians are brutal enough (and continue to be brutal) and the survivors have some place to flee too, they might be able to hold on to quite a bit if they can defeat the organized military by "evaporating" away those that would challenge them.
Well, there's no need for millions of survivors in wars. Right now, Russia is keeping it's line about "Ukraine is Russia" and with that, reasonable restraint towards civilians compared to Syria, but, if that is no longer "necessary" or "reasonable" in their point of view, using nukes and leaving no survivors is a cheap, cost-reducing strategy.
I disagree with this. Mariupol, Kharkiv, etc. were bombed and shelled indiscriminately like Aleppo was.
If Russia fully mobilizes (ie, declares this a war, calls up reserves, etc) AND the west slows their support, Russia can win.
Ukraine has the people and the will to win, but without heavy weapons, ammo, the training to use western weapons and logistical support that's not enough. Right now Biden is trying to pass a $33B support bill. But Congress is playing their stupid politics and if it doesn't pass the alliance will probably fracture and Ukraine will also likely lose support from other Western nations.
Russia is currently manpower & materiel constrained. They can fix the former by fully mobilizing. The latter is harder to fix, but they have destroyed Ukraine's production. So they if Ukraine is cut off from Western arms shipments....
But even after winning Russia still has the problem of occupying Ukraine. It's not clear that's possible with flattening the country.
Very big if here. People over here are not very eager to go to the frontline. Painting Z on your car is one thing. Marching to your almost certain death is another.
>heavy weapons
I was under the impression that heave weapons are on their way already though? Old but usable T72's from Poland and some tanks\howitzers from other countries.
Surely they still need fuel, ammo and training but right now it looks like Ukraine has some time.
> occupying Ukraine.
I think the current plan is to destroy as much as possible (fuel, storages etc), cut off from support as much as possible and maybe enter Moldova.
I'm mostly just pushing back against the narrative that a Ukrainian victory is inevitable. If it's seen as inevitable, then it becomes easier to justify not delivering the help they need.
The biggest problem right now is to maintain unity across all of the countries that are on the other side of this line, Russia has a much easier job there than the West, with Hungary and Switzerland as the latest in the pack of useful idiots carrying Putin's water for him. With friends like that you don't need enemies.