Paris suspends electric bus fleet after two fires
lemonde.fr
lemonde.fr
This page has good info but doesn't include the newest batch of buses yet: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Low_emission_buses_in_London
The reason I ask is that I was under the impression people commonly get black snot from the the tube (eg. https://www.reddit.com/r/london/comments/16jjgt/london_why_d... ).
Apparently there are already 5k TX electric taxis out there, which is a good start:
https://levc.com/levc-celebrates-sale-of-5000th-tx-electric-...
Not sure it is an advantage. My city had electric troley buses for many years. People are complaining about fast acceleration. Some bad drivers just slams gas with bus full of standing people.
edit: grammar
As for intercity travel, this should be set up as rail, not a bus, in basically 100% of cases.
It's also, I would guess, a lot more difficult to get off the ground. With battery powered buses, you just buy however many buses, and throw them on whatever pre-existing route. With a trolleybus, you need to install the overhead wire system before you can get started.
And then, I would imagine the overhead wire system itself becomes a problem. Do you have to worry about transporting oversize loads on or across the same streets? Is it going to become another electrocution hazard for people who need to work above the street? etc.
That's not to say there aren't advantages to trolleybuses, too. Just that the claim that it's "in every way superior to batteries" is an overreach.
I guess it can be improved thoug.
Metro, trams, trolleybuses should be used primarily and then you can add electric buses for gaps. That would make sense, not trying to go straight for the most expensive and wasteful option.
So detours and overtakings are no big deals.
Modern batteries can go for decades.
A battery based system is far more flexible, you can uses buses all over the place and dynamically adjust routes based on demand.
Overhead wires are also significantly ugly to have in a city.
Exactly, or any electric vehicles. Interesting to see this here to remind others that a bad electric bus should not spoil the bunch of other electric buses.
> It will just take some time to get all the tech worked out everywhere as all these buses are custom spec and not mass produced models yet, but we will get there.
Yes. There will always be issues in the technology and it takes time to iron the issues out. Question is with that specific manufacturer / developer / maintainer however is whether if partners or clients are going to wait for fixes to be resolved or will they move to a competitor or back to the status quo.
It does pollute the air, but not at the same place (where the energy is produced) and not where the bus is running (in town)
But I don't have a source on hand.
And much of the energy can come from renewables or whatever energy is available for cheap at night.
Just like all technology, there may be some fault in the busses used in Paris and until investigation is complete they should be suspended.
Battery fires are a general problem that needs a better solution but that doesn't chip on the rest of the benefits.
It's FAR cheaper and it's already proved they can last 50+ years without much maintenance.
Batteries are meaningful for cars and trucks waiting for some aerial electrical network like starting from highways, so again we need smaller batteries just to being able to travel on 100Km (~60+miles) ranges.
There might be benefits with trams, but I do not know what.
They should be, at least. San Francisco runs historic (interesting, attractive) cars on the Market Street line, some of which sound and feel like the rails are surfaced with gravel.
Every time I ride one of the orange cars from Milan Italy, I am reminded that the Milanese in the 1930s had bigger things to worry about, and that I should just get over it. :)
Good tram systems don't share the asphalt except at intersections making public transportation a win for the individual which in turn reduces traffic. Buses always suck, that is an important part of their design.
There is obviously a trade off, some routes are obviously suitable to trams, some others to buses, be they all electric or hybrid. So possibly in ICE mode out of urban areas, and on battery within?
Trams and trains are incredibly energy efficient even with heavy loads because of that.
In the long term their TCO wins.
> Tracks are also dangerous for bicycles, and slippery for cars and trams
Not really. Besides, bicycles should have their lanes anyways.
I think battery-buses are the future - the ability to roll and change routes without capital infrastructure set up will be king
https://www.translink.ca/-/media/translink/documents/about-t... (page 77, PDF page 90)
I nevertheless object with a side reasoning: costs are complex beast, in an age of scarcity, where oil is pushed aside no matter if for good or bad reasons, how costs can change?
I mean: maintaining an aerial network and relevant trolleys is surely expensive, but expensive in what? In natural resources or in worked hours q and hour of vehicle mandatory stops? If it's just in worked hours/maintenance time than in the aforementioned age of scarcity such cost does not matter much.
Few marginal notes:
- at page 77 the graph 5-35 show a curious cost per km change in late 2008, why? Is this due to aging or to purely economical factors like supply chain changes for spare parts, safety norms changes etc?
- the ability to roll and change routes without capital infrastructure set up will be king is another complex beast: on scale that's the reason many researchers try to push naval and very-short-range aviation, from flying taxis to city-to-nearby-city small scale logistics: STOL/VTOL have almost the same industrial cost (beware, industrial not price tag on sale) than modern cars and vans, they cost more in opex but new physical road/rail infra development and regular maintenance/changes cost skyrocketing high capex for an uncertain future since they demand 10+y just to be finished on scale and they need 30-50+y to be paid back enough. At city scale though maintaining a complete coverage of a municipal aerial electrical grid for vehicles especially if we ALSO open if to future other transports (like food distribution logistic till even private cars) might be sustainable. Not in today economy, but in the new world one. In the end actual cities are not sustainable already, we figure out new smaller cities that look like much to small factories with workers inside also for this issue...
- with actual battery chemistry we simply can't sustain a real BEV fleet, we can't produce enough batteries for a new FIRST generation of vehicles nor we know how to recycle them to having enough resources for the next generation in just 5-8 years. BEVs can be done for a small scale of private vehicles, mostly targeting wealthy people + some "glorified golf cart" [1] for specific short range usage...
[1] https://www.vice.com/en/article/y3vny5/glorified-electric-go...
re: your point on infrastructure, I think my argument would be that anywhere that's dense and stable enough to invest in capital infrastructure would be better served by rail, leaving electric buses like this relegated to distributed suburban areas. I actually think the future is the marriage of ride-hailing and public transit - fixed, schedule transit routes are from the 60's. I'm really excited by some of the experiments that dispatch buses based on app requests [1]
It's a fair point around battery production - to complement your point, it's a well-known issue that Tesla remains primarily battery bottlenecked over anything else. I guess we're in an interesting conflict between what's best for society/environment (electrify asap) vs cities (best possible public transport), but personally I'd put stock in battery production scaling up faster than expected.
https://onlinepubs.trb.org/onlinepubs/Conferences/2019/DRT/K...
> [...] anywhere that's dense and stable enough to invest in capital infrastructure would be better served by rail [...]
Honestly I'm against public transport, ad I'm against actual/modern cities: yes, in actual cities we absolutely need public transport, especially in dense EU cities where moving by car is a nightmare, BUT if we see in the world the various "economic environments":
- low density/low demographic areas are in mean underdeveloped and not very nice to live in, they tend to be poor areas for humans;
- high density areas tend to be nightmares where some start fleeing not knowing much where to flee and with density issues that have surpassed the advantage of density economic booster and being dense haven't much room to evolve;
- mid-density areas are middle ground, some are bad places some good ones, so looking at them I see a variety pattern:
- areas dedicated to something in general do see a quick flourishing period than agony;
- areas with a variety of activities and residential tend to prosper better than actual cities until density start to be high (in Riviera's terms).
As a result I see the Riviera model the best we have at today technological level: TLCs and logistics make possible to be "near enough" to have the density economic advantage without being a city, so without the downsides of cities. Surely we can't develop anything with this model, mining, heavy mechanics, metallurgic industries etc can't exists in such models, they need to be districts, but also cities nor other solution work form them and pure districts, like suburbs does not work because they have no variety. We can sustain a failure of a dedicated-to-something district if the rest of the country is resilient and agile enough to evolve, like a riviera, we can't evolve cities, so we are not resilient nor agile with them...
Long-story short in this present time I can't identify something stable enough for land-based networks, nor rails nor roads. Surely what's already build and still in a good shape can be used, but no investments in such infra seems to be a good enough one to my eyes... That's why I'm a partisan of aviation and naval, they still need infra, but such investments are cheaper if we remain at a certain scale so changes can happen with contained losses.
Placing batteries in the floor makes perfect sense for lowering the centre of gravity; why would you want to spread them to the roof (which is where the video shows the fire erupting) ?
Kneeling gets you down to a floor height of about 22 - 24 cm, where level boarding with a 22 cm high kerbstone is just about possible, though still subject to not insignifcant requirements where and how the bus stop exactly can be placed in terms of road geometry.
So the basic gist is that kneeling doesn't absolve you from the requirement of getting the floor of the bus as low as reasonably practicable in the first place, and you need both if you want to achieve anything resembling level boarding at all.
All things busses are not evaluated on.
While accessibility and easy access is a prime selling feature. Thus the world has chosen fewer drifting busses.
https://zdopravy.cz/mimo-provoz-dpp-musel-odstavit-vsech-14-...
So the software isn't configured for the way the mass is distributed on the bus vs a strength failure.
So no software BS you wanna believe from some cluless MSM sources and DPP propaganda. Truth in the end finds the way...
https://zdopravy.cz/elektrobusy-skody-opet-nejezdi-kvuli-zav...
It was one of SF Muni's trolley lines up a ludicrously steep hill, which had been temporarily substituted with diesel coaches for a day because of a detour. The coach was crush-loaded in Chinatown as is typical and it was grinding up the hill at a walking pace with the engine roaring at wide-open throttle when it suddenly exploded in a fireball, probably based on my guesswork a blown gasket followed by ignition of a cloud of oil and fuel.
In my current town we have a fleet of hydrogen fuel cell coaches and their potential explosive nature does not concern me.
I don't know if this brand/model is used elsewhere, but it's a french manufacturer that doesn't have a very long record on making buses. They have made quite some of electric cars, without fires, even though they failed to get customers on them.
I would give them a chance to check and fix: it's still a new tech.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-01-12/cctv-captures-sydney-...
With large batteries, once they heat up to the point where they are burning it's tough to cool them back down enough to extinguish the fire.
https://insideevs.com/news/327483/bollore-introduces-12-mete...
Pulling them out of service while they try to figure out the cause of the fires isn't unreasonable.
https://norwaytoday.info/news/by-2023-almost-all-buses-in-os...
All-electric lithium pack buses are +10 year old tech. Nothing about this is experimental.
This is probably more likely an OEM fuck-up or whoever was contracted by the city of Paris to supply these buses.
Agreed that this is an error on the manufacturer. It's actually really hard to get design and manufacturing quality to such a high degree to prevent one of the many many many cells from shorting and causing a fire. The battery manufacturers that have this figured out have built a really great wall for themselves, which is probably why we won't see many new large battery manufacturers from here on out.
No, If we were talking about the effects of some Tech in Human health I would agree with this sort of cautionary principle.
In the context of electronics, lithium batteries are a 46BN dollar market. Modern manufacturing is producing billions of assemblies and power electronics with well known quality assurance, failure-modes, MTTF, etc.
In the context of modern manufacturing processes and volume 10 years is an eternity.