Affirming the consequent fallacy:
> If Brian had been thrown off the top of the Eiffel Tower, then he would be dead.
> Brian is dead.
> Therefore, Brian was thrown off the top of the Eiffel Tower.
> If Brian had been thrown off the top of the Eiffel Tower, then he would be dead.
> Brian is dead.
> Therefore, Brian was thrown off the top of the Eiffel Tower.
I say this as someone who thinks $15 is too low.