You really can’t make this up.
Embrace this. It’s exactly what crypto is all about.
You really can’t make this up.
Embrace this. It’s exactly what crypto is all about.
What's left unsaid of course is that the only interest deep-pocketed investors have in dismantling elements of the financial system (MC/Visa dominance, KYC/AML checks, suspicious transactions disclosure rules), is so they can replace it with a system that they personally have an equity stake in.
Isn't this a fact about capitalism and not at all specific to the financial sector?
1. Entrepreneur notices an opportunity to avoid overzealous regulations and provide better value to customers
2. Everyone wants a piece of the action, bad actors start to move in and updated regulation is required
3. New regulations get out of hand and start to become extremely costly to comply with (see banks)
4. New entrepreneur comes along with a novel way of avoiding said regulations, providing better value to customers again. Repeat.
At any given point in time the industry is either in cowboy crypto mode, or crusty overregulated bank mode. Both have drawbacks, and it’s just a pendulum that swings back and forth.
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2018-09-24/earnin...
Most companies funded by professionals go bust and the risk adjusted returns to VC as an asset class aren't that great: the funds that have spectacular returns being balanced out by those that lose their LPs money. And few unicorns are going to be spending their effort pitching average earners for $2k cheques. Why would we expect the average joe to invest better than the pros with less capital to diversify, no board seats and substantially worse dealflow?
That regulation seems sensible to me, and not overzealous.
https://www.sec.gov/education/capitalraising/building-blocks...
You understand I imagine that the regulations don't use the word "unsophisticated" and as such it's a red herring. We have these (few) regulations because banks and their consumers are not entering into a business arrangement on similar footing. I'm not "too big to fail". I don't get a bailout.
Banks love to collude with one another or engage in predatory behavior, and when we repealed the Glass-Steagall act in 1999 it took less than a decade for the subprime mortgage crisis to rear its ugly head. Allowing banks to also act as securities firms will continue to show us these "once in a lifetime" economic recessions every decade or so. And would you look at that? It's been over a decade since the subprime mortgage crisis, yet here we are back in the same glut.
Crypto doesn't solve any of that. It solved double spending. Most of the "exchanges" that people are using are mixing banking and securities, and when crypto blows out there is nothing left to catch most of the retail investors that shoulder that cost. There already are so many examples that listing them is prohibitive, but I'll remind everyone that Mt Gox handled 70% of all Bitcoin transactions at the time and lost 6% of the entire Bitcoin circulation at the time to hacks. No FDIC insurance, do not pass go, do not collect $200. Laissez faire becomes laissez tomber.
I wish people were honest about why they like crypto -- it's a speculative asset in a time when most people can't afford appreciating assets, and it doesn't require an ID if you avoid exchanges so you can buy contraband. The drawbacks are someone can code a button that is difficult to inspect and if you press it your entire wallet is drained with no recourse. Haven't even touched on the energy or silicon expenditures for a system with laughably tiny adoption
But it doesn't mean the moral hazard doesn't exist.
Also quantitative easing began as a result of the massive loss of trust between banks as a result of the crisis. Every central bank in countries with big financial centers had to follow a similar playbook.
Bank upper management just didn't care that they'd be bailed out or not because their incentives were on fairly short term horizons.
Congress changed the regulations, not the regulators.
I really have no idea what examples you're thinking of.
Visa was not the first, and other tries to do a credit/charge before them were much worse or limited in scope. This is similar today to what is happening in web3/crypto. If you don't think the ingenuity of humans will get us somewhere productive with these technologies, then I don't know what to say to you.
Quotes from the article about the launch of visa:
> In the weeks leading up to the launch of BankAmericard, BofA had saturated Fresno mailboxes with an initial mass mailing (or "drop", as they came to be called) of 65,000 unsolicited credit cards
> By March 1959, drops began in San Francisco and Sacramento; by June, BofA was dropping cards in Los Angeles; by October, the entire state of California had been saturated with over 2 million credit cards and BankAmericard was being accepted by 20,000 merchants.[18] However, the program was riddled with problems, as Williams (who had never worked in a bank's loan department) had been too earnest and trusting in his belief in the basic goodness of the bank's customers, and he resigned in December 1959. Twenty-two percent of accounts were delinquent, not the 4% expected, and police departments around the state were confronted by numerous incidents of the brand new crime of credit card fraud.[19] Both politicians and journalists joined the general uproar against Bank of America and its newfangled credit card, especially when it was pointed out that the cardholder agreement held customers liable for all charges, even those resulting from fraud.
They won't, because they achieve nothing that can't already be accomplished with proven technologies. Axie Infinity could easily be built using regular plain old databases, but they built in on the blockchain using a terrible bridge architecture and as a result had $600 million stole. Such innovation.
To me, and many others active somewhere on the "regulated finance" spectrum, the way crypto kept going on and on how awesome "deregulation" is from a consumer standpoint was tragically ironic. The vast majority of regulation is there to protect market participants.
Anyone involved with GME knows this isn’t true.
If a market allows shorts it should allow a squeeze as a mechanism of balance.
People involved with GME used to refer themselves as the "Apes", and reading their main forum on /r/wallstreetbets back then, that would be a pretty accurate characterization of what they "know".
If you want more transparent investments then you should be advocating for reforms that will encourage companies to go public sooner. This would be reversing the trend in recent years where companies stay private longer, which allows them to not disclose how they’re doing.
There are a few ways that someone bankrupting themselves via bad investments does hurt others:
Dependents will be significantly harmed
They are more likely to end up homeless or in jail on the dime of society
They are less likely to be a productive member of society.
I suppose the libertarian response would be that if someone bankrupts themselves, let them die homeless on the street - but I don't think you'll get agreement from any significant portion of society on that approach and even then someone has to pay to clean up their body.
However, reporting requirements and auditing are all about making sure everyone has access to the same, accurate information about a company's financial situation. Insiders will learn about changes in a company's finances before outsiders. If they can disclose this to some investors but not others, or even disclose it to some investors first, then that increases information asymmetry.
But this doesn't seem to be something that crypto fans are interested in, because they're not really investing in companies?
The difference being: Under this interpretation insider trading is purely a dispute between the shareholders and their hired employees / agents. No one else has any standing.
When are we going to admit that the current rules are no longer working?
1. Having an income that qualifies you as an accredited investor doesn't mean that you will have access to higher quality investments.
2. Even if you don't qualify as an accredited investor, you probably still have access to the same set of investments that a capital-poor accredited investor has access to. As an accredited investor, I've never had access to an investment opportunity which I couldn't have also accessed without being an accredited investor. No one checks, and the "opportunities" are mostly not great anyways unless you have a lot of capital and connections.
The operative things that unlock unfair investment opportunities are 1. one's professional network (or family), and 2. access to large amounts of capital.
You can counter this assertion by providing a list of investments which are open to all accredited investors, do not require significant amounts of capital, and which have higher expected return with lower risk than investments that are available to non-accredited investors.
The common misconception that becoming an accredited investor suddenly gives you access to high quality investments with super high returns for low risk is one of the best justifications I've ever seen for keeping the rule in place... which is particularly funny because I'm not even an avid fan of the accredited investor rule.
I think you missed my point. To reiterate: the fact that people believe that it's not true is, ironically, a convincing justification for the accredited investor rule.
I'm pointing out the irony, not defending the rule per se.
> If you want to have an even playing field for investing, every barrier is an obstacle.
This clearly isn't true.
First, it's sort of prime facie false. Investments usually happen in markets. Markets are human inventions comprised of collections of barriers on behavior and enforcement mechanisms for those barriers. (Investments that happen outside of markets do exist, but they usually involve violence and/or coercion under threat of violence, so probably not what you mean when you say investment.)
Second, there are many ready examples. E.g., SEC filings and public exchanges are clear barriers to entry in fund raising, but also clearly level the playing field. The alternative is that the only way to know about a company's finances is to know the right people.
>> I think you missed my point. To reiterate: the fact that people believe that it's not true is, ironically, a convincing justification for the accredited investor rule. I'm pointing out the irony, not defending the rule per se.
and
>>> I'm not even an avid fan of the accredited investor rule.
So, as I've stated in every single post in this thread, I'm not defending the accredited investor rule. Cool?
The justification for the accredited investor rule is "people are idiots". Again, not even that rich = less of an idiot. The premise of the rule is that rich people can afford to be bamboozled by scams and shitty investments... er, I mean, take on "higher risk investment opportunities".
I find that justification uncompelling on face.
But then people come along and complain "I can't use prosper.com to make unsecured personal loans to randos for an expected return of 5.7% per annum on loans with 15%-20% APY during a time when every other asset class out-performed and with the front end of that window overlapping with a time when unfathomably higher quality debt products were offering similar returns on 3 year timeframes". And just listening to them makes me second-guess myself.
My point? It is ironic and humorous that the most compelling justification for the accredited investor rule is listening to people talk about how they would invest if the accredited investor rule didn't exist.
For the record, since people keep completely losing the plot: I think something like an educational requirement makes a lot more sense.
This is the accredited investor rule. You qualify as an accredited investor through income, net worth, or having a current Series 7/65/82 license.
1. An effective return of 5.7% on unsecured loans with 15%-20% APY is... not a good deal. This signals either exceptionally high origination fees or extraordinary risk. Except it looks like you are investing in individual loans? So you don't even get this amortized 5.7%, but actually something that looks closer to "either 15% return or you lose your principal".
2. The rate of return is lower than every other broad asset class over that time period except for investment grade bonds, which weren't that far behind in 2019 and were probably a better deal given the enormous difference in risk profiles. Certainly high yield corporate debt was a way better deal on a risk-adjusted basis than given randos high-yield unsecured personal loans.
3. Most importantly, to my original point, you can get much higher quality exposure to high yield consumer debt via any brokerage account.
This is sort of exactly what I mean. Most of the "opportunities" widely available to accredited investors are really shit deals.
Last I checked to be an accredited investor, in the EU at least, you had to have 1 million EUR available for investments. So an organism (like a bank), where you have that amount, will certify that you have it and then you can get labelled "accredited investor".
As a sidenote I don't see it as proving you're savvy or anything: it's more like a club where they don't want "plebs" to pollute their members.
The whole concept stinks.
Also, if prosper.com is the "club", then it's a pretty shit club. VISA provides exposure to the high yield consumer credit market and had returns that were modestly higher than prosper over the same time frame. By which I mean ~100% appreciation over 3 years vs. 5.7% per annum. And the risk profile of the equity play might even be lower; we don't know, since the distribution of defaults is not published by prosper.
(WeFunder, specifically, tries to skirt the accredited investor regulation and offers tiny (they advertise "as little as $100") investments to non-accredited investors. It's not clear to me how they're doing that legally other than handwaving "crowdfunding platform" around.)
Accredited investor status itself doesn't give you access to higher quality investments, but it keeps the poors out from being able to angel invest in their professional network. If I'm not an accredited investor and I have $10k that I've saved up and want to plow into my kid's friend's uncle's big thing that they're working on? It might turn out that the uncle's a total scam artist or the next Elon Musk, but it's my $10k. I'm allowed to go to vegas and put it all on black if I wanted to, so why aren't I allowed to invest same as an accredited investor?
Is it objectively better than non-public financial statements? Maybe. Is it worth saying this alone should draw the line on what is considered a "safe" investment? No.
Again, the OP is asking about access, not what you believe about "transparent investments"
We want deregulation when it comes to our money. We want the ability to transact with absolute unconditional freedom and privacy. These exchanges? Hell yes, go ahead and regulate the crap out of them. They are not our friends. They're banks. The biggest failure of crypto is the need for exchanges. We were supposed to mine our own coins and use them in everyday transactions.
I’m curious as to where you’ve seen this sentiment from crypto fans? It seems most of the people getting angry about this are people who already disliked crypto and are using this event to add more fuel to the flames.
I mean, Ethereum itself forked over "hey that's no fair" when the DAO got compromised.
For both points, I'd like to mention that there is no universal value set or profile.
I am a crypto fan and do not “want deregulated finance”. It is not “exactly what crypto is all about”. I think most in the space would actually like to see more sensible regulation.
This is unfortunate. However, in my experience of crypto fans it seems like a large - probably very large - majority of them are fans of deregulation and consider this one of the main positive points of crypto. Would you say that's incorrect?
Even Cobie's tweet is absent any specific stance, and features a funny gif of Nancy Pelosi who is also a beneficiary of some really awesome trades.
Many people are fine just watching addresses and filings and copying their trades. Now we know one address that loads up before Coinbase announces.
However, one should keep in mind that certainty is not necessarily better—it depends on what the rules are. Operating in a grey area is better than being banned outright, and overly strict regulation can nullify all the advantages of a new system by forcing it into the mold of the old system it's meant to replace. The ideal outcome is that they explicitly adopt a hands-off approach so that the threat of adverse regulation is removed without being replaced by known adverse regulation in the present.
For example, perhaps you are in favor of crypto because it is (i) harder for a state to seize or (ii) impossible for a single state to inflate. Those are in part possible because of the distributed decentralized nature of cryptocurrency. Being in favor of those two things does not mean you cannot also be in favor of regulating people that manipulate crypto market by wash trading, in favor of arresting thieves and hackers, in favor of banning insider trading, etc. You can have a system with trustless elements and that still relies on the laws and regulations to enforce certain aspects.
Americans want abortion rights then they pass laws against abortion. Can’t make this up!
Developers want open source then they make closed source products. Can’t make this up!
Literally only 32% of Americans are completely pro-choice: https://news.gallup.com/poll/1576/abortion.aspx
And, actually, most Americans support limitations on abortion.
I'm not sure how you came to the idea that the vast majority of Americans are pro-choice.
There is obviously a spectrum to being pro-choice, but if I had to bet I'd put the majority of pro-choice folks follow: that woman has the right to choose to have an abortion while the fetus is generally considered pre-viability by the medical profession and under extreme circumstances where the life of the mother is at risk and/or the baby is now non-viable or will suffer a short and traumatic life.
It gets muddy when you start to talk about wanting it "legal only under certain circumstances". How the people in that group identify is essentially a coin flip.
> And, actually, most Americans support limitations on abortion.
Yes. Like, I think it should only be legal during the first trimester. I still call myself pro-choice.
First, a quick note. The gallup poll posted by onlyrealcuzzo seems ripe for "lying with statistics" on either side of the issue. For example, we could say "only 32% of people are totally pro-choice" but could also say "open 19% of people are totally pro-life". We could say "60% of people support Roe vs Wade" or we could say "most Americans do not support third trimester abortions without special reason".
Interpreting the poll with respect to a specific claim therefore requires care.
As a reminder, GP stated:
>> Americans want abortion rights then they pass laws against abortion.
First, do Americans want abortion rights?
The only question on the poll that directly asks about "rights" is the question about Roe v Wade, and nearly 60% of respondents do not want Roe-Wade overturned.
Second, do Americans oppose laws being passed against abortion?
Only 22% of respondents are dissatisfied with current laws and also want stricter abortion laws. More importantly, GP's characterization is STARKLY true if we look at how laws have changed recently. E.g., the new Oklahoma and Idaho laws ban abortion in cases of rape/incest. The gallup poll indicates that a whopping 83% of Americans support support first trimester abortions in cases of rape/incest, and that number is still over 50% in the third trimester. This is a clear and unambiguous case of GP being correct according to onlyrealcuzzo's source.
I think it takes a lot of mental gymnastics to interpret the gallup poll as stating that Americans don't oppose the types of abortion laws being passed now, sometimes in strikingly huge majorities.
Im not close to being alone on this. I don’t know anyone in my life who is a “crypto fan” and doesn’t think rules should exist around exchanges.
It’s easy to fight the boogeyman and the HN boogeyman is one of the silliest ones I have seen.
There certainly are some extreme libertarians that think nothing in the financial world should be illegal and that the Free Market(tm) will sort everything out on its own. To them, insider trading isn't unethical, quite the opposite. People should be using every advantage at their disposal. To them, getting a job at Coinbase to get the inside scoop on upcoming coin listings would be a genius move.
This does not follow. Even under the most "extreme libertarian" position insider trading, narrowly construed, would still be an unethical violation of the agent/principal relationship which exists between the employee and the company's owners (the shareholders). Abusing confidential information you have access to as a result of your position for personal gain at the expense of the shareholders would be violation of trust—and most likely a direct breach of your employment contract.
I don't think this is a fair characterization. Most crypto fans I know want regulations, they just want them clearly defined and enforced with software and distributed consensus rather than through corrupt and ineffective organizations like the SEC.
There’s no universe where there’s no insider trading and you’re asking me to switch the Coinbase situation for the Pelosi situation. And I prefer the Coinbase situation.
So I can accept the lesser of two evils and kick up a fuss when I don’t like it. After all, if switching to regulated finance is what you recommend, the cure is worse than the disease.
The "GME level fiasco" was only possible as a one-time event. You don't get situations like that on a recurring basis because the market adapts.